New Mexico at UNLV - 2022 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo   New Mexico Lobos at UNLV Rebels  UNLV logo
Friday, September 30th 2022 (11:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -14 (44.0)
UNLV 31 - New Mexico: 20  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (2 - 10) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Danny Gonzales (5 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNM 2nd straight Road Game
UNLV is playing their 5th straight game
UNM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -10  (SP+ UNLV -15)
Projected Score: UNM: 28 - UNLV: 30 (58)
UNLV Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UNM Travel: 2099 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rebels (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (2 - 16)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 New Mexico vs Maine-6.042.5W 41 - 0UY
Fri 9/9 New Mexico vs Boise State+17.043.5L 14 - 31OY
Sat 9/17 New Mexico vs UTEP+2.038.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/24 New Mexico at LSU+31.544.0L 0 - 38UN
Fri 9/30 New Mexico at UNLV+14.044.0L 20 - 31OY
Sat 10/8 New Mexico vs Wyoming+3.037.0L 14 - 27ON
Sat 10/15 New Mexico at New Mexico State-7.038.5L 9 - 21UN
Sat 10/22 New Mexico vs Fresno State+9.540.0L 9 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 New Mexico at Utah State+14.542.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 New Mexico at Air Force+21.037.5L 3 - 35ON
Fri 11/18 New Mexico vs San Diego State+15.036.0L 10 - 34ON
Fri 11/25 New Mexico at Colorado State+7.536.0L 0 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
UNLV's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 UNLV vs Idaho State-23.050.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 9/10 UNLV at California+12.049.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 UNLV vs North Texas-2.562.5W 58 - 27OY
Sat 9/24 UNLV at Utah State-3.061.5W 34 - 24UY
Fri 9/30 UNLV vs New Mexico-14.044.0W 31 - 20ON
Fri 10/7 UNLV at San José State+6.551.5L 7 - 40UN
Sat 10/15 UNLV vs Air Force+10.050.0L 7 - 42UN
Sat 10/22 UNLV at Notre Dame+26.046.5L 21 - 44OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 UNLV at San Diego State+5.047.0L 10 - 14UY
Fri 11/11 UNLV vs Fresno State+9.061.5L 30 - 37OY
Sat 11/19 UNLV at Hawai'i-11.056.5L 25 - 31UN
Sat 11/26 UNLV vs Nevada-12.549.0W 27 - 22UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM-.0828%27.131%2.2512025%1142.15.2242%22.345%40%3.9257.11.71.2
UNLV.1436%34.136%2.6311036%2034.14.2544%2840%49%4.2637.91.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1227.127.528.4%2.151.7142341201143.159%41%31%25%21%-.08
UNLV Defense122829.744%4.261.4 - - - - - 53%46%40%49%18%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1222.326.342.4%3.921.2 - - - - - 53%46%45%40%16%.22
UNLV Offense1234.136.836.1%4.141.8163121102033.346%54%36%36%31%.14

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1229:5113.825%33%6.957.11.71.25.22.1125.9
UNLV1229:3915.535%25%4.537.91.81.451.8027.5
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1259%31%38.8119.53.15-.082.2557%18%1.02
UNLV Defense1253%40% - - - - .143.0862%13%1.12
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1253%45% - - - - .153.0569%10%0.93
UNLV Offense1246%36%32.9109.83.318.072.6386%20%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1241%25%11.921.7114.15.39.6108-.031.637%15%-.024%2
UNLV Defense1246%49% - - - - - - 9.411.531%35%.525%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1246%40% - - - - - - 9.321.833%29%.356%2.2
UNLV Offense1254%36%16.127.6202.57.312.61114.221.837%27%.2411%2

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2022 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.9  #132
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 6.0  #133
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico:    UNLV: -3.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -26.9   UNLV: -11.9




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -3.45 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2022 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9  #104
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #96
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #99

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 30
New Mexico 28

Projected Total Points: 58
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01UNLV35New Mexico40UNLV -3.5New Mexico61.5Over
202311/04New Mexico14UNLV56UNLV -10UNLV61.0Over
202209/30UNLV31New Mexico20UNLV -14New Mexico44.0Over
202111/06New Mexico17UNLV31New Mexico -1.5UNLV45.0Over
201810/06UNLV14New Mexico50UNLV -8New Mexico62.5Over
201711/17New Mexico35UNLV38New Mexico -3UNLV55.5Over
201411/01UNLV28New Mexico31UNLV -1New Mexico62.0Under
201309/28New Mexico42UNLV56New Mexico -1UNLV0
201211/03UNLV35New Mexico7
201111/12New Mexico21UNLV14
201009/25UNLV45New Mexico10
200910/24New Mexico17UNLV34
200811/08UNLV27New Mexico20
200711/24New Mexico27UNLV6
200610/14UNLV36New Mexico39
200509/05New Mexico24UNLV22
200410/16UNLV20New Mexico24
200311/01New Mexico35UNLV37
200210/12UNLV16New Mexico25
200111/10New Mexico27UNLV17
200011/10UNLV18New Mexico14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV1146 Overs
New Mexico1041 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 120 - 80 - 70 - 1
Road Teams12 - 98 - 01 - 07 - 0

(#) UNM at (#) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMUNLV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #132 #104
Perf GradeGrade #134 #71
OffenseOff #136 #76
DefenseDef #117 #59
Spec TeamsST #71 #71
TalentTal #122 #118
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCat
UNM OffUNLV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #136 #59
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #133 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #132 #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #68
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #136 #78
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #123 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCatUNLV OffUNM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #76 #117
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #96 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffUNM Def
Run GameRun #81 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #59 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCatUNLV OffUNM Def
Pass GamePass #85 #42
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #57 #131
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
UNLV -14.0 (44.0)
UNLV won vs New Mexico this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat UNLV last year (40-35)
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2023 (56-14)

  
UNM's OC Derek Warehime (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNLV's OC Nick Holz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Keith Heyward (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD