San Diego State at New Mexico - 2022 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at New Mexico Lobos

Friday, November 18th 2022 (9:45 PM EST)
San Diego State -15 (36.0)
San Diego State 34 - New Mexico: 10 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (16 - 6)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ SDSU -22.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 21 - UNM: 22 (43)
SDSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
SDSU Travel: 622 miles, 1 hrs behind

Lobos (2 - 10) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Danny Gonzales (5 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	San Diego State vs Arizona	-6.0	46.5	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/10	San Diego State vs Idaho State	-33.5	50.5	W 38 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/17	San Diego State at Utah	+21.5	48.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/24	San Diego State vs Toledo	+2.5	44.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/30	San Diego State at Boise State	+6.0	38.0	L 13 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/8	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-23.5	48.5	W 16 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	San Diego State at Nevada	-7.5	36.0	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/29	San Diego State at Fresno State	+10.0	43.5	L 28 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/5	San Diego State vs UNLV	-5.0	47.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/12	San Diego State vs San José State	+2.5	41.0	W 43 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/18	San Diego State at New Mexico	-15.0	36.0	W 34 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/26	San Diego State vs Air Force	+2.0	43.5	L 3 - 13	U	N
Sat 12/24	San Diego State vs Middle Tennessee	-7.0	47.0	L 23 - 25	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

New Mexico's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	New Mexico vs Maine	-6.0	42.5	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Fri 9/9	New Mexico vs Boise State	+17.0	43.5	L 14 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/17	New Mexico vs UTEP	+2.0	38.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/24	New Mexico at LSU	+31.5	44.0	L 0 - 38	U	N
Fri 9/30	New Mexico at UNLV	+14.0	44.0	L 20 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/8	New Mexico vs Wyoming	+3.0	37.0	L 14 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/15	New Mexico at New Mexico State	-7.0	38.5	L 9 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	New Mexico vs Fresno State	+9.5	40.0	L 9 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	New Mexico at Utah State	+14.5	42.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	New Mexico at Air Force	+21.0	37.5	L 3 - 35	O	N
Fri 11/18	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+15.0	36.0	L 10 - 34	O	N
Fri 11/25	New Mexico at Colorado State	+7.5	36.0	L 0 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.15	40%	26.4	40%	3	175	39%	168	3.57	.07	36%	15.4	33%	38%	3.46	67.9	1	1.9
UNM	-.08	28%	27.1	31%	2.25	120	25%	114	2.15	.22	42%	22.3	45%	40%	3.92	57.1	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	14	26.4	18.2	39.7%	3.57	1	19	343	175	168	4.3	56%	43%	40%	39%	15%	.15
UNM Defense	12	22.3	18.7	42.4%	3.92	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	45%	40%	16%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	14	15.4	18.3	35.8%	3.46	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	39%	61%	33%	38%	20%	.07
UNM Offense	12	27.1	28.3	28.4%	2.15	1.7	14	234	120	114	3.1	59%	41%	31%	25%	21%	-.08

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	14	32:04	18.6	32%	63%	7.4	67.9	1	1.9	6.8	2.9	5	30.5
New Mexico	12	29:51	13.8	25%	33%	6.9	57.1	1.7	1.2	5.2	2.1	1	25.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	14	56%	40%	40.8	174.9	4.3	26	.17	3	76%	10%	1.14
UNM Defense	12	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.05	69%	10%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	14	39%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.61	65%	12%	0.84
UNM Offense	12	59%	31%	38.8	119.5	3.1	5	-.08	2.25	57%	18%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	14	43%	39%	14.9	25.8	167.9	6.5	11.3	16	5	.17	1.4	33%	28%	.24	5%	1.9
UNM Defense	12	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.8	33%	29%	.35	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	14	61%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.18	1.5	36%	26%	.19	8%	1.9
UNM Offense	12	41%	25%	11.9	21.7	114.1	5.3	9.6	10	8	-.03	1.6	37%	15%	-.02	4%	2

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2022 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #85
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #124
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: New Mexico: -10.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -4.4 New Mexico: -26.9

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -10.95 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2022 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.9 #132
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 6.0 #133
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 22
San Diego State 21

Projected Total Points: 43

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	New Mexico	23	San Diego State	17	San Diego State -1.5	New Mexico	41.5	Under
2024	11/08	San Diego State	16	New Mexico	21	San Diego State -1.5	New Mexico	65.5	Under
2022	11/18	New Mexico	10	San Diego State	34	San Diego State -15	San Diego State	36.0	Over
2021	10/09	San Diego State	31	New Mexico	7	San Diego State -19.5	San Diego State	42.5	Under
2018	11/03	New Mexico	23	San Diego State	31	San Diego State -12	New Mexico	45.5	Over
2017	11/24	San Diego State	35	New Mexico	10	San Diego State -20.5	San Diego State	48.5	Under
2014	10/10	New Mexico	14	San Diego State	24	San Diego State -6	San Diego State	0
2013	11/02	San Diego State	35	New Mexico	30	San Diego State -17	New Mexico	0
2011	11/05	San Diego State	35	New Mexico	7
2010	10/23	New Mexico	20	San Diego State	30
2009	10/31	San Diego State	23	New Mexico	20
2008	10/18	New Mexico	70	San Diego State	7
2007	10/20	San Diego State	17	New Mexico	20
2006	11/25	New Mexico	41	San Diego State	14
2005	10/22	San Diego State	24	New Mexico	47
2004	10/23	New Mexico	19	San Diego State	9
2003	10/18	San Diego State	7	New Mexico	30
2002	11/09	New Mexico	15	San Diego State	8
2001	11/03	San Diego State	15	New Mexico	20
2000	11/03	New Mexico	16	San Diego State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	10	4	2 Overs
San Diego State	10	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 10	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 10	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2

(#) SDSU at (#) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	UNM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#132
Perf GradeGrade	#80	#134
OffenseOff	#121	#136
DefenseDef	#35	#117
Spec TeamsST	#45	#71
TalentTal	#115	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

New Mexico Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#121	#117
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#95	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#123	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#105

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#120	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#63	#131
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#35
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#133	#35
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#132	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#25
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#123	#16
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
San Diego State 15.0 (36.0)
San Diego State won at New Mexico this year (34-10)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat San Diego State last year (23-17)
New Mexico beat San Diego State in 2024 (21-16)

SDSU's OC Jeff Hecklinski (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNM's OC Derek Warehime (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD