Massachusetts at Toledo - 2022 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 10th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -28 (49.0)
Toledo 55 - Massachusetts: 10

 
Minutemen (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UMASS 2nd straight Road Game
TOL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -16  (SP+ TOL -27)
Projected Score: UMASS: 10 - TOL: 40 (50)
TOL Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
UMASS Travel: 570 miles
Rockets (9 - 5) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (45 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Massachusetts at Tulane+28.559.0L 10 - 42UN
Sat 9/10 Massachusetts at Toledo+28.049.0L 10 - 55ON
Sat 9/17 Massachusetts vs Stony Brook-1.044.5W 20 - 3UY
Sat 9/24 Massachusetts at Temple+10.044.0L 0 - 28UN
Sat 10/1 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+20.053.0L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 Massachusetts vs Liberty+22.545.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 10/15 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+17.047.5L 7 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Massachusetts vs New Mexico State+1.039.0L 13 - 23UN
Fri 11/4 Massachusetts at UConn+15.039.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 Massachusetts at Arkansas State+17.049.0L 33 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Massachusetts at Texas A&M+32.046.0L 3 - 20UY
Sat 11/26 Massachusetts vs Army+20.045.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Toledo's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Toledo vs Long Island University-47.557.0W 37 - 0UN
Sat 9/10 Toledo vs Massachusetts-28.049.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Toledo at Ohio State+34.563.0L 21 - 77ON
Sat 9/24 Toledo at San Diego State-2.544.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/1 Toledo vs Central Michigan-6.556.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Toledo at Northern Illinois-6.559.0W 52 - 32OY
Sat 10/15 Toledo vs Kent State-7.062.5W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/22 Toledo at Buffalo-7.056.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/29 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-4.054.0W 27 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8 Toledo vs Ball State-11.050.0W 28 - 21UN
Tue 11/15 Toledo vs Bowling Green-14.547.0L 35 - 42ON
Fri 11/25 Toledo at Western Michigan-8.550.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 12/3 Toledo vs Ohio-3.554.5W 17 - 7UY
Tue 12/20 Toledo vs Liberty-4.051.5W 21 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS.0938%11.143%3.0314732%1533.34.4249%38.650%48%5.0659.51.70.8
TOL.2940%30.845%3.519636%2394.04.0936%13.336%37%3.2290.20.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.19.337.5%3.341.7163001471534.253%46%43%32%21%.09
TOL Defense1313.37.736.2%3.221.5 - - - - - 52%48%36%37%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1238.642.548.7%5.060.8 - - - - - 59%41%50%48%13%.42
TOL Offense1330.845.840.2%4.040.5214351962395.449%51%45%36%17%.29

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1229:4516.333%44%6.359.51.70.83.80.9026.9
Toledo1328:2020.835%43%1090.20.51.56.82.9529.4
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1253%43%34.71474.214.183.0365%14%1.07
TOL Defense1352%36% - - - - .073.0763%12%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1259%50% - - - - .313.2177%8%1.2
TOL Offense1349%45%36.3196.45.429.353.577%11%1.33

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1246%32%13.627.6152.75.511.21111.041.634%28%.317%2.2
TOL Defense1348%37% - - - - - - 8.181.635%27%.248%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1241%48% - - - - - - 2.581.829%37%.75%2.5
TOL Offense1351%36%17.430239.1813.8223.241.836%25%.276%2.3

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Massachusetts's 2022 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -30.3  #133
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 7.5  #132
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4  #110

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts:    Toledo: 0.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -30.3   Toledo: -3.7




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 0.65 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7  #82
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #68
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #69

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 40
Massachusetts 10

Projected Total Points: 50
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Toledo38Massachusetts23Toledo -17.5Massachusetts50.5Over
202310/07Massachusetts24Toledo41Toledo -19Massachusetts55.5Over
202209/10Toledo55Massachusetts10Toledo -28Toledo49.0Over
202110/02Massachusetts7Toledo45Toledo -26.5Toledo56.5Under
201510/24Massachusetts35Toledo51Toledo -9.5Toledo61.0Over
201410/25Toledo42Massachusetts35Toledo -17.5Massachusetts0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo634 Overs
Massachusetts031 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 32 - 41 - 21 - 2
Road Teams3 - 34 - 22 - 12 - 1

(#) UMASS at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #133 #82
Perf GradeGrade #135 #47
OffenseOff #135 #81
DefenseDef #116 #5
Spec TeamsST #134 #135
TalentTal #124 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCat
UMASS OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #135 #5
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #132 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffTOL Def
Run GameRun #129 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #26
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffTOL Def
Pass GamePass #135 #6
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #47 #21
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffUMASS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #116
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffUMASS Def
Run GameRun #100 #104
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #81 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #109
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePass #64 #106
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #120 #83
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Toledo -28.0 (49.0)
Toledo won vs Massachusetts this year (55-10)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Massachusetts in 2024 (38-23)
Toledo beat Massachusetts in 2023 (41-24)

  
UMASS's OC Steve Casula (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC Mike Hallett (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC Vince Kehres (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD