Tennessee at Pittsburgh - 2022 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo (#22)Tennessee Volunteers at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, September 10th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -6 (63.0)
Tennessee 34 - Pittsburgh: 27

 
Volunteers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 46 - 23 (36 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ TENN -16.5)

Projected Score: TENN: 30 - PITT: 25 (55)
TENN Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TENN Travel: 376 miles
Panthers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (53 - 37)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Tennessee vs Ball State-37.066.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 9/10 Tennessee at Pittsburgh-6.063.0W 34 - 27UY
Sat 9/17 Tennessee vs Akron-47.567.0W 63 - 6OY
Sat 9/24 Tennessee vs Florida-11.062.0W 38 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Tennessee at LSU-2.563.0W 40 - 13UY
Sat 10/15 Tennessee vs Alabama+9.068.0W 52 - 49OY
Sat 10/22 Tennessee vs UT Martin-38.571.5W 65 - 24OY
Sat 10/29 Tennessee vs Kentucky-10.562.5W 44 - 6UY
Sat 11/5 Tennessee at Georgia+9.565.5L 13 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 Tennessee vs Missouri-18.557.5W 66 - 24OY
Sat 11/19 Tennessee at South Carolina-22.566.5L 38 - 63ON
Sat 11/26 Tennessee at Vanderbilt-14.063.5W 56 - 0UY
Fri 12/30 Tennessee vs Clemson+4.062.0W 31 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Pittsburgh vs West Virginia-7.550.0W 38 - 31ON
Sat 9/10 Pittsburgh vs Tennessee+6.063.0L 27 - 34UN
Sat 9/17 Pittsburgh at Western Michigan-10.046.0W 34 - 13OY
Sat 9/24 Pittsburgh vs Rhode Island-32.555.0W 45 - 24ON
Sat 10/1 Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech-21.547.0L 21 - 26UN
Sat 10/8 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech-14.542.0W 45 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Pittsburgh at Louisville+1.555.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 10/29 Pittsburgh at North Carolina+2.565.5L 24 - 42ON
Sat 11/5 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-3.547.5W 19 - 9UY
Sat 11/12 Pittsburgh at Virginia-5.541.5W 37 - 7OY
Sat 11/19 Pittsburgh vs Duke-6.549.0W 28 - 26ON
Sat 11/26 Pittsburgh at Miami-5.543.0W 42 - 16OY
Fri 12/30 Pittsburgh vs UCLA+9.055.0W 37 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.3751%46.151%3.319951%3264.81.1841%22.839%43%3.1669.50.81.8
PITT.1843%31.346%3.2118341%2223.84.0636%24.336%37%3.6263.71.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1346.136.251.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37
PITT Defense1324.325.636.3%3.622.2 - - - - - 42%57%36%37%22%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1322.82641.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
PITT Offense1331.331.943.4%3.841.5214051832224.655%44%46%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Pittsburgh1333:1421.539%50%7.463.71.52.26.43.6530.7
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03
PITT Defense1342%36% - - - - .082.6176%12%1.16
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
PITT Offense1355%46%40.2183.14.630.183.2178%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2
PITT Defense1357%37% - - - - - - 14.081.639%29%.2910%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
PITT Offense1344%41%17.230.2222.27.4131311.261.631%32%.316%1.9

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.2  #5
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.3  #1
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #40

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee:    Pittsburgh: 6.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 25.2   Pittsburgh: 8.6




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 6.8 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2022 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6  #40
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #43
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 46.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.2
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 30
Pittsburgh 25


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Tennessee 26
Pittsburgh 23

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 33
Pittsburgh 28

Total Points: 61
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Pittsburgh's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/10Pittsburgh27Tennessee34Tennessee -6Tennessee63.0Under
202109/11Tennessee34Pittsburgh41Pittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh56.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh111 Overs
Tennessee111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0

(#) TENN at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #40
Perf GradeGrade #54 #12
OffenseOff #31 #43
DefenseDef #95 #10
Spec TeamsST #78 #68
TalentTal #19 #45
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
TENN OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #31 #10
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #22 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #72 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #4
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #8 #5
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #93 #22
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffTENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #43 #95
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #16 #60
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #71
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #60 #107
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #63 #107
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 75° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Tennessee 6.0 (63.0)
Tennessee won at Pittsburgh this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Pittsburgh in 2022 (34-27)

  
TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD