Missouri at Auburn - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 24th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Auburn -7.5 (51.0)
Auburn 17 - Missouri: 14 (SEC)

Tigers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (11 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB 4th straight Home Game
AUB is playing their 4th straight game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ MIZ -3)
Projected Score: MIZ: 22 - AUB: 22 (44)
AUB Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
MIZ Travel: 582 miles

Tigers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Bryan Harsin (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Missouri vs Louisiana Tech	-20.0	62.5	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Missouri at Kansas State	+7.0	52.5	L 12 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/17	Missouri vs Abilene Christian	-31.5	56.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Missouri at Auburn	+7.5	51.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Missouri vs Georgia	+30.5	54.0	L 22 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Missouri at Florida	+11.0	53.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-14.0	49.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/29	Missouri at South Carolina	+3.5	45.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Missouri vs Kentucky	-1.0	40.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Missouri at Tennessee	+18.5	57.5	L 24 - 66	O	N
Sat 11/19	Missouri vs New Mexico State	-29.0	46.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Missouri vs Arkansas	+3.0	55.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/23	Missouri vs Wake Forest	+3.0	59.0	L 17 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Auburn's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Auburn vs Mercer	-30.0	51.5	W 42 - 16	O	N
Sat 9/10	Auburn vs San José State	-24.0	48.5	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/17	Auburn vs Penn State	+2.5	47.5	L 12 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/24	Auburn vs Missouri	-7.5	51.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/1	Auburn vs LSU	+8.0	44.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Auburn at Georgia	+27.5	49.5	L 10 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/15	Auburn at Ole Miss	+15.5	55.5	L 34 - 48	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Auburn vs Arkansas	+4.0	60.0	L 27 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/5	Auburn at Mississippi State	+12.5	50.5	L 33 - 39	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Auburn vs Texas A&M	-1.5	48.0	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Auburn vs Western Kentucky	-5.0	54.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Auburn at Alabama	+22.0	51.0	L 27 - 49	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	.22	44%	30.2	45%	3.13	180	43%	234	3.88	.29	45%	18.9	46%	43%	4.56	59.2	1	1.2
AUB	.18	43%	26.8	45%	3.09	161	41%	240	3.85	.11	42%	20.7	39%	44%	3.52	46	0.9	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	17.5	44.2%	3.88	1	22	414	180	234	5.1	48%	52%	45%	43%	15%	.22
AUB Defense	13	20.7	16.4	41.7%	3.52	1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	39%	44%	18%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	17	44.6%	4.56	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	46%	43%	17%	.29
AUB Offense	13	26.8	26.4	42.9%	3.85	0.9	21	401	161	240	4.7	46%	54%	45%	41%	14%	.18

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	13	30:18	21.7	44%	58%	6.4	59.2	1	1.2	6.4	2.2	2	27.1
Auburn	13	27:52	20.8	40%	57%	5.6	46	0.9	1	7.5	2.8	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	13	48%	45%	35.7	180.2	5.1	22	.15	3.13	82%	10%	0.93
AUB Defense	13	46%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.65	55%	12%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	13	58%	46%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.11	75%	12%	1.09
AUB Offense	13	46%	45%	34.1	161.2	4.7	22	.18	3.09	70%	9%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	13	52%	43%	23.2	35	233.5	6.7	10.1	19	11	.28	1.5	32%	27%	.24	6%	1.9
AUB Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.23	1.4	32%	33%	.32	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	13	42%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.39	1.7	30%	32%	.39	6%	2.1
AUB Offense	13	54%	41%	20.5	35	240.1	6.9	11.7	17	4	.19	1.5	33%	32%	.3	5%	1.9

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2022 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #44
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #67
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #25

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: Auburn: 5.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 8.1 Auburn: 5.1

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 5.05 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2022 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #54
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #46
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 22
Auburn 22

Projected Total Points: 44

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Auburn	17	Missouri	23	Missouri -1.5	Missouri	43.5	Under
2024	10/19	Missouri	21	Auburn	17	Missouri -3.5	Missouri	49.5	Under
2022	09/24	Auburn	17	Missouri	14	Auburn -7.5	Missouri	51.0	Under
2017	09/23	Missouri	14	Auburn	51	Auburn -18.5	Auburn	60.5	Over
2013	12/07	Auburn	59	Missouri	42	Missouri -2	Auburn	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	3	2	1 Overs
Missouri	2	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 3	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1

(#) MIZ at (#) AUB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIZ	AUB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#54
Perf GradeGrade	#63	#106
OffenseOff	#84	#109
DefenseDef	#30	#58
Spec TeamsST	#44	#133
TalentTal	#31	#17
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Missouri Injury Report

Auburn Injury Report

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	AUB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#58
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#72	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#86	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#46

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#51
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Auburn on Offense


CategoryCat	AUB Off	MIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#109	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#46	#25
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Auburn Run Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#42	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#53

Auburn Pass Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#127	#45
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#62	#23
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Auburn -7.5 (51.0)
Auburn won vs Missouri this year (17-14)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Auburn last year (23-17)
Missouri beat Auburn in 2024 (21-17)

MIZ's OC Curtis Luper (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AUB's OC Eric Kiesau (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD