Missouri at Florida - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 8th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida -11 (53.5)
Florida 24 - Missouri: 17 (SEC)

Tigers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (11 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA 2nd straight Home Game
FLA is playing their 6th straight game
MIZ is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ FLA -2)
Projected Score: MIZ: 23 - FLA: 22 (45)
FLA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MIZ Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs behind

Gators (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Missouri vs Louisiana Tech	-20.0	62.5	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Missouri at Kansas State	+7.0	52.5	L 12 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/17	Missouri vs Abilene Christian	-31.5	56.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Missouri at Auburn	+7.5	51.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Missouri vs Georgia	+30.5	54.0	L 22 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Missouri at Florida	+11.0	53.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-14.0	49.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/29	Missouri at South Carolina	+3.5	45.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Missouri vs Kentucky	-1.0	40.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Missouri at Tennessee	+18.5	57.5	L 24 - 66	O	N
Sat 11/19	Missouri vs New Mexico State	-29.0	46.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Missouri vs Arkansas	+3.0	55.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/23	Missouri vs Wake Forest	+3.0	59.0	L 17 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Florida's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Florida vs Utah	+2.5	52.0	W 29 - 26	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Florida vs Kentucky	-6.0	53.0	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Florida vs South Florida	-23.5	58.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida at Tennessee	+11.0	62.0	L 33 - 38	O	Y
Sun 10/2	Florida vs Eastern Washington	-32.0	71.5	W 52 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Florida vs Missouri	-11.0	53.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Florida vs LSU	-2.0	51.5	L 35 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida vs Georgia	+23.0	56.5	L 20 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida at Texas A&M	+1.5	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Florida vs South Carolina	-8.0	58.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida at Vanderbilt	-14.0	58.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
Fri 11/25	Florida at Florida State	+10.0	58.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 12/17	Florida vs Oregon State	+7.5	52.0	L 3 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	.22	44%	30.2	45%	3.13	180	43%	234	3.88	.29	45%	18.9	46%	43%	4.56	59.2	1	1.2
FLA	.27	47%	21.6	46%	3.35	209	48%	254	4.11	.17	41%	24	44%	39%	3.73	70.6	1.6	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	17.5	44.2%	3.88	1	22	414	180	234	5.1	48%	52%	45%	43%	15%	.22
FLA Defense	13	24	18.7	41%	3.73	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	39%	16%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	17	44.6%	4.56	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	46%	43%	17%	.29
FLA Offense	13	21.6	29	46.6%	4.11	1.6	22	463	209	254	5.5	52%	47%	46%	48%	16%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	13	30:18	21.7	44%	58%	6.4	59.2	1	1.2	6.4	2.2	2	27.1
Florida	13	30:30	22.4	41%	54%	8	70.6	1.6	1	6.2	2.8	0	28.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	13	48%	45%	35.7	180.2	5.1	22	.15	3.13	82%	10%	0.93
FLA Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.11	69%	11%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	13	58%	46%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.11	75%	12%	1.09
FLA Offense	13	52%	46%	38.1	208.8	5.5	26	.25	3.35	69%	9%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	13	52%	43%	23.2	35	233.5	6.7	10.1	19	11	.28	1.5	32%	27%	.24	6%	1.9
FLA Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.21	1.6	32%	29%	.3	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	13	42%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.39	1.7	30%	32%	.39	6%	2.1
FLA Offense	13	47%	48%	20.4	32	254.2	7.9	12.5	27	18	.37	1.6	30%	30%	.31	7%	2.2

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2022 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #44
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #67
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #25

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: Florida: 7.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 8.1 Florida: 10.4

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 7.7 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #34
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #15
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #79

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 23
Florida 22

Projected Total Points: 45

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Missouri	33	Florida	31	Missouri -12.5	Florida	56.5	Over
2022	10/08	Florida	24	Missouri	17	Florida -11	Missouri	53.5	Under
2021	11/20	Missouri	24	Florida	23	Florida -9.5	Missouri	69.0	Under
2020	10/31	Florida	41	Missouri	17	Florida -13.5	Florida	64.0	Under
2019	11/16	Missouri	6	Florida	23	Florida -7.0	Florida	51.0	Under
2018	11/03	Florida	17	Missouri	38	Florida -6	Missouri	59.5	Under
2017	11/04	Missouri	45	Florida	16	Missouri -1.5	Missouri	61.5	Under
2016	10/15	Florida	40	Missouri	14	Florida -13	Florida	51.0	Over
2015	10/10	Missouri	3	Florida	21	Florida -3.5	Florida	38.5	Under
2014	10/18	Florida	13	Missouri	42	Florida -3	Missouri	0
2013	10/19	Missouri	36	Florida	17	Florida -1.5	Missouri	0
2012	11/03	Florida	14	Missouri	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	6	5	2 Overs
Missouri	6	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	5 - 6	3 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	6 - 5	2 - 2	4 - 3

(#) MIZ at (#) FLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIZ	FLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#34
Perf GradeGrade	#63	#40
OffenseOff	#84	#21
DefenseDef	#30	#72
Spec TeamsST	#44	#99
TalentTal	#31	#12
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Missouri Injury Report

Florida Injury Report

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	FLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	#72	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#86	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#45

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#91
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#54
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	MIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#25
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#37	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#53

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#64	#45
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#23
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Florida -11.0 (53.5)
Florida won vs Missouri this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Florida in 2023 (33-31)

MIZ's OC Curtis Luper (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD