Louisville at Virginia - 2020 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo   Louisville Cardinals at Virginia Cavaliers  Virginia logo
Saturday, November 14th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Virginia -5.5 (64.5)
Virginia 31 - Louisville: 17  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (4 - 7) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU coming off BYE
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: -0  (SP+ LOU -5)
Projected Score: LOU: 23 - UVA: 29 (52)
UVA Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
LOU Travel: 394 miles
Cavaliers (5 - 5) (7 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Louisville vs Western Kentucky-13.055.0W 35 - 21OY
Sat 9/19 Louisville vs Miami+2.565.5L 34 - 47ON
Sat 9/26 Louisville at Pittsburgh+3.053.0L 20 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/9 Louisville at Georgia Tech-4.062.0L 27 - 46ON
Sat 10/17 Louisville at Notre Dame+16.062.5L 7 - 12UY
Sat 10/24 Louisville vs Florida State-5.063.0W 48 - 16OY
Sat 10/31 Louisville vs Virginia Tech+3.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Louisville at Virginia+5.564.5L 17 - 31UN
Fri 11/20 Louisville vs Syracuse-20.555.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/28 Louisville at Boston College+1.057.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Louisville vs Wake Forest-1.562.5W 45 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Virginia's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Virginia vs Duke-3.544.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 10/3 Virginia at Clemson+28.055.0L 23 - 41OY
Sat 10/10 Virginia vs NC State-7.059.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 10/17 Virginia at Wake Forest+2.557.5L 23 - 40ON
Sat 10/24 Virginia at Miami+13.554.5L 14 - 19UY
Sat 10/31 Virginia vs North Carolina+7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Virginia vs Louisville-5.564.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/21 Virginia vs Abilene Christian-38.561.5W 55 - 15OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Virginia vs Boston College-6.553.0W 43 - 32OY
Sat 12/12 Virginia at Virginia Tech+3.064.0L 15 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.2844%29.943%2.7921343%2344.03.2245%21.246%43%4.24601.51.7
UVA.1646%30.844%2.9512145%2683.93.1941%19.643%37%3.5843.71.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1329.92343.5%4.031.5204472132344.960%39%43%43%24%.28
UVA Defense1419.617.741%3.581.6 - - - - - 50%49%43%37%22%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1321.225.545.2%4.241.7 - - - - - 52%47%46%43%22%.22
UVA Offense1430.836.445.5%3.931.5213891212683.840%58%44%45%21%.16

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1331:1220.244%59%7.2601.51.77.92.9129.1
Virginia1433:0321.145%56%4.743.71.51.68.34.3434.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1360%43%43.6212.94.923.152.7970%18%1.12
UVA Defense1450%43% - - - - .22.9477%14%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1352%46% - - - - .23.2669%14%1.03
UVA Offense1440%44%31.6121.23.828.122.9569%12%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1339%43%13.723.2234.510.117.1329.492.135%36%.556%2.2
UVA Defense1449%37% - - - - - - 12.181.736%33%.359%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1347%43% - - - - - - 7.251.732%33%.279%1.9
UVA Offense1458%45%24.137.1267.77.211.12315.191.432%32%.29%1.7

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2020 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5  #35
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #15
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    Virginia: 4.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 8.5   Virginia: 3.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 4.15 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2020 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3  #55
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #54
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 29
Louisville 23

Projected Total Points: 52
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Louisville27Virginia30Louisville -6.5Virginia59.5Under
202410/12Virginia20Louisville24Louisville -7Virginia54.0Under
202311/09Louisville31Virginia24Louisville -20.5Virginia49.5Over
202210/08Virginia17Louisville34Virginia -1.5Louisville47.5Over
202110/09Louisville33Virginia34Louisville -2.5Virginia69.5Under
202011/14Virginia31Louisville17Virginia -5.5Virginia64.5Under
201910/26Louisville28Virginia21Virginia -4.5Louisville51.0Under
201809/22Virginia27Louisville3Virginia -4.5Virginia51.5Under
201711/11Louisville38Virginia21Louisville -14Louisville66.5Under
201610/29Virginia25Louisville32Louisville -27Virginia69.5Under
201511/14Louisville38Virginia31Louisville -8.5Virginia48.0Over
201409/13Virginia23Louisville21Louisville -10Virginia0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia593 Overs
Louisville738 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 57 - 53 - 54 - 0
Road Teams5 - 75 - 70 - 45 - 3

(#) LOU at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #55
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #48 #63
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Virginia -5.5 (64.5)
Virginia won vs Louisville this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Louisville last year (30-27)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2024 (24-20)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2023 (31-24)

  
LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD