SMU at Arkansas State - 2019 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at Arkansas State Red Wolves  Arkansas State logo
Saturday, August 31st 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -1.5 (58.5)
SMU 37 - Arkansas State: 30

 
Mustangs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -1  (SP+ SMU -7.5)
Projected Score: SMU: 29 - ARST: 24 (53)
ARST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
SMU Travel: 406 miles
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 SMU at Arkansas State+1.558.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 SMU vs North Texas-3.572.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 9/14 SMU vs Texas State-17.562.0W 47 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 SMU at TCU+7.554.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/28 SMU at South Florida-7.062.0W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/5 SMU vs Tulsa-12.063.5W 43 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 SMU vs Temple-9.060.5W 45 - 21OY
Thu 10/24 SMU at Houston-12.065.5W 34 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 SMU at Memphis+6.571.0L 48 - 54OY
Sat 11/9 SMU vs East Carolina-23.074.0W 59 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 SMU at Navy+3.568.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/30 SMU vs Tulane-3.071.0W 37 - 20UY
Sat 12/21 SMU at Florida Atlantic-7.564.0L 28 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arkansas State vs SMU-1.558.5L 30 - 37ON
Sat 9/7 Arkansas State at UNLV-1.063.5W 43 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Arkansas State at Georgia+32.558.5L 0 - 55UN
Sat 9/21 Arkansas State vs Southern Illinois-23.062.0W 41 - 28ON
Sat 9/28 Arkansas State at Troy+7.059.5W 50 - 43OY
Sat 10/5 Arkansas State at Georgia State-6.569.0L 38 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+6.069.0L 20 - 37UN
Sat 10/26 Arkansas State vs Texas State-11.560.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 Arkansas State at UL Monroe-1.069.0W 48 - 41OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina-14.060.5W 28 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern-1.052.5W 38 - 33OY
Fri 11/29 Arkansas State at South Alabama-10.553.0L 30 - 34ON
Sat 12/21 Arkansas State vs Florida International+1.560.0W 34 - 26UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.1139%32.236%2.4511639%2703.39.1843%20.543%43%3.9145.31.21.9
ARST.2246%25.246%3.3518645%2813.4.1339%27.441%35%3.3968.11.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.838.6%3.391.2203871162703.543%56%36%39%17%.11
ARST Defense1327.427.238.8%3.391.5 - - - - - 56%43%41%35%20%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.243.5%3.911.9 - - - - - 55%43%43%43%17%.18
ARST Offense1325.22945.8%3.41.2234671862814.848%50%46%45%14%.22

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1227:132033%59%5.245.31.21.97.42.1129.7
Arkansas State1330:0723.140%53%7.668.11.21.56.82.3328.6
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1243%36%33.3116.13.517-.012.4563%11%1.02
ARST Defense1356%41% - - - - .12.4567%13%1.15
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1255%43% - - - - .132.8164%12%1.06
ARST Offense1348%46%39.1185.74.818.173.3570%8%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1256%39%22.338.8270.4712.2287.231.837%31%.26%2
ARST Defense1343%35% - - - - - - 12.191.938%31%.287%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 12.271.633%38%.385%1.9
ARST Offense1350%45%23.336.3281.57.812.12810.291.631%34%.46%1.8

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2019 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4  #47
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #29
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #65

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Arkansas State: 1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 4.4   Arkansas State: -2.9




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 1.05 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #76
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #49
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 29
Arkansas State 24

Projected Total Points: 53
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201908/31Arkansas State30SMU37Arkansas State -1.5SMU58.5Over
201709/23SMU44Arkansas State21SMU -3SMU72.0Under
200709/15Arkansas State45SMU28
200609/23SMU55Arkansas State9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State101 Overs
SMU321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) SMU at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #76
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #67 #95
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Arkansas State -1.5 (58.5)
SMU won at Arkansas State this year (37-30)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SMU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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SMU's DC ()
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ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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ARST's DC ()
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