Arkansas State at UL Monroe - 2019 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at UL Monroe Warhawks

Saturday, November 2nd 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -1 (69.0)
Arkansas State 48 - UL Monroe: 41 (Sun Belt)

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULM coming off BYE
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ ARST -8)
Projected Score: ARST: 25 - ULM: 21 (46)
ARST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
ARST Travel: 243 miles

Warhawks (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (18 - 22 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arkansas State vs SMU	-1.5	58.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/7	Arkansas State at UNLV	-1.0	63.5	W 43 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas State at Georgia	+32.5	58.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas State vs Southern Illinois	-23.0	62.0	W 41 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/28	Arkansas State at Troy	+7.0	59.5	W 50 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas State at Georgia State	-6.5	69.0	L 38 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	+6.0	69.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-11.5	60.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	-1.0	69.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina	-14.0	60.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern	-1.0	52.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Arkansas State at South Alabama	-10.5	53.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/21	Arkansas State vs Florida International	+1.5	60.0	W 34 - 26	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UL Monroe vs Grambling	-18
Sat 8/31	UL Monroe vs Grambling	-28.0	58.5	W 31 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/7	UL Monroe at Florida State	+22.5	65.5	L 44 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	UL Monroe at Iowa State	+17.0	51.5	L 20 - 72	O	N
Sat 9/28	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	-14.5	59.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/5	UL Monroe vs Memphis	+16.0	63.5	L 33 - 52	O	N
Thu 10/10	UL Monroe at Texas State	-3.5	60.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	UL Monroe at App State	+16.5	65.5	L 7 - 52	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	+1.0	69.0	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/9	UL Monroe vs Georgia State	+2.5	77.5	W 45 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/16	UL Monroe at Georgia Southern	+6.5	57.5	L 29 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/23	UL Monroe vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	63.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/30	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+19.5	71.0	L 30 - 31	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.22	46%	25.2	46%	3.35	186	45%	281	3.4	.13	39%	27.4	41%	35%	3.39	68.1	1.2	1.5
ULM	.21	46%	16.6	48%	3.39	167	43%	248	3.44	.24	46%	31.9	44%	48%	3.87	49	1.9	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	13	25.2	21	45.8%	3.4	1.2	23	467	186	281	4.8	48%	50%	46%	45%	14%	.22
ULM Defense	12	31.9	22	46.5%	3.87	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	44%	48%	16%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	13	27.4	21.8	38.8%	3.39	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	41%	35%	20%	.13
ULM Offense	12	16.6	18.2	46.5%	3.44	1.9	21	415	167	248	4.9	49%	49%	48%	43%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	13	30:07	23.1	40%	53%	7.6	68.1	1.2	1.5	6.8	2.3	3	28.6
UL Monroe	12	27:39	20.5	41%	56%	5.3	49	1.9	0.9	6.8	2.8	2	27.4

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	13	48%	46%	39.1	185.7	4.8	18	.17	3.35	70%	8%	0.91
ULM Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.99	80%	11%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	13	56%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.45	67%	13%	1.15
ULM Offense	12	49%	48%	34.5	167.3	4.9	22	.21	3.39	75%	10%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	13	50%	45%	23.3	36.3	281.5	7.8	12.1	28	10	.29	1.6	31%	34%	.4	6%	1.8
ULM Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.34	1.6	31%	38%	.44	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	13	43%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.9	38%	31%	.28	7%	2.1
ULM Offense	12	49%	43%	19.9	32.3	247.5	7.7	12.4	17	12	.22	1.5	31%	31%	.23	7%	1.8

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #49
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: UL Monroe: -2.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -2.9 UL Monroe: -10.7

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -2.85 NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UL Monroe's 2019 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7 #109
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #43
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #127

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 25
UL Monroe 21

Projected Total Points: 46

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

UL Monroe's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	UL Monroe	28	Arkansas State	16	UL Monroe -1.5	UL Monroe	55.5	Under
2024	11/23	Arkansas State	28	UL Monroe	21	Arkansas State -3	Arkansas State	51.5	Under
2023	10/28	UL Monroe	24	Arkansas State	34	Louisiana Monroe -1.0	Arkansas State	55.5	Over
2022	10/01	Arkansas State	45	UL Monroe	28	Arkansas State -7.5	Arkansas State	58.5	Over
2021	11/13	UL Monroe	24	Arkansas State	27	Louisiana Monroe -3	Arkansas State	66.5	Under
2020	12/05	Arkansas State	48	UL Monroe	15	Arkansas State -20.5	Arkansas State	71.5	Under
2019	11/02	UL Monroe	41	Arkansas State	48	Arkansas State -1	Arkansas State	69.0	Over
2018	11/17	Arkansas State	31	UL Monroe	17	Arkansas State -7.5	Arkansas State	68.0	Under
2017	11/25	UL Monroe	50	Arkansas State	67	Arkansas State -8.5	Arkansas State	69.0	Over
2016	10/29	Arkansas State	51	UL Monroe	10	Arkansas State -17	Arkansas State	55.0	Over
2015	11/14	UL Monroe	21	Arkansas State	59	Arkansas State -12.5	Arkansas State	55.5	Over
2014	10/04	Arkansas State	28	UL Monroe	14	Arkansas State -10	Arkansas State	0
2013	11/09	UL Monroe	14	Arkansas State	42	Louisiana Monroe -3.5	Arkansas State	0
2012	11/08	Arkansas State	45	UL Monroe	23
2011	10/08	UL Monroe	19	Arkansas State	24
2010	09/18	Arkansas State	34	UL Monroe	20
2009	10/13	UL Monroe	16	Arkansas State	10
2008	10/11	Arkansas State	37	UL Monroe	29
2007	10/06	UL Monroe	30	Arkansas State	13
2006	10/07	Arkansas State	10	UL Monroe	6
2005	10/01	UL Monroe	31	Arkansas State	27
2004	09/25	UL Monroe	21	Arkansas State	28
2003	10/04	Arkansas State	44	UL Monroe	41
2002	09/21	UL Monroe	21	Arkansas State	33
2001	11/17	Arkansas State	7	UL Monroe	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	5	1	6 Overs
Arkansas State	20	12	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	7 - 6	7 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 15	6 - 7	3 - 0	3 - 7

(#) ARST at (#) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	ULM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#109
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#95	#106
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

UL Monroe Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ULM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Arkansas State 1.0 (69.0)
Arkansas State won at UL Monroe this year (48-41)

Previous Matchups
UL Monroe beat Arkansas State last year (28-16)
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe in 2024 (28-21)
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (34-24)

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD