Arkansas State at UNLV - 2019 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at UNLV Rebels

Saturday, September 7th 2019 (10:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -1 (63.5)
Arkansas State 43 - UNLV: 17

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ ARST -14.5)
Projected Score: ARST: 26 - UNLV: 30 (56)
ARST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
ARST Travel: 1358 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arkansas State vs SMU	-1.5	58.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/7	Arkansas State at UNLV	-1.0	63.5	W 43 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas State at Georgia	+32.5	58.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas State vs Southern Illinois	-23.0	62.0	W 41 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/28	Arkansas State at Troy	+7.0	59.5	W 50 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas State at Georgia State	-6.5	69.0	L 38 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	+6.0	69.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-11.5	60.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	-1.0	69.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina	-14.0	60.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern	-1.0	52.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Arkansas State at South Alabama	-10.5	53.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/21	Arkansas State vs Florida International	+1.5	60.0	W 34 - 26	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

UNLV's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UNLV vs Southern Utah	-24.5	70.5	W 56 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/7	UNLV vs Arkansas State	+1.0	63.5	L 17 - 43	U	N
Sat 9/14	UNLV at Northwestern	+18.5	52.0	L 14 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	UNLV at Wyoming	+8.0	44.5	L 17 - 53	O	N
Sat 10/5	UNLV vs Boise State	+24.0	57.0	L 13 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/12	UNLV at Vanderbilt	+16.5	57.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Fri 10/18	UNLV at Fresno State	+14.5	52.0	L 27 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/26	UNLV vs San Diego State	+12.0	45.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/2	UNLV at Colorado State	+7.5	63.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	UNLV vs Hawai'i	+6.5	72.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/23	UNLV vs San José State	+7.0	65.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UNLV at Nevada	+6.5	52.0	W 33 - 30	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.22	46%	25.2	46%	3.35	186	45%	281	3.4	.13	39%	27.4	41%	35%	3.39	68.1	1.2	1.5
UNLV	.2	42%	34.1	47%	3.06	225	35%	167	3.74	.28	45%	28	42%	45%	4.38	45.7	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	13	25.2	21	45.8%	3.4	1.2	23	467	186	281	4.8	48%	50%	46%	45%	14%	.22
UNLV Defense	12	28	29.7	45.4%	4.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	48%	42%	45%	16%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	13	27.4	21.8	38.8%	3.39	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	41%	35%	20%	.13
UNLV Offense	12	34.1	36.8	42.2%	3.74	1.4	21	392	225	167	5	58%	41%	47%	35%	17%	.2

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	13	30:07	23.1	40%	53%	7.6	68.1	1.2	1.5	6.8	2.3	3	28.6
UNLV	12	30:04	20.5	37%	55%	5.4	45.7	1.4	1.7	6	1.8	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	13	48%	46%	39.1	185.7	4.8	18	.17	3.35	70%	8%	0.91
UNLV Defense	12	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.84	73%	11%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	13	56%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.45	67%	13%	1.15
UNLV Offense	12	58%	47%	45.2	224.7	5	23	.23	3.06	76%	11%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	13	50%	45%	23.3	36.3	281.5	7.8	12.1	28	10	.29	1.6	31%	34%	.4	6%	1.8
UNLV Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.42	1.8	33%	38%	.51	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	13	43%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.9	38%	31%	.28	7%	2.1
UNLV Offense	12	41%	35%	14.8	28.9	166.8	5.8	11.3	24	12	.16	1.8	33%	29%	.26	6%	2.1

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #49
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: UNLV: -6.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -2.9 UNLV: -17.4

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -6.2 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2019 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.4 #120
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #114
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #114

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 30
Arkansas State 26

Projected Total Points: 56

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/07	UNLV	17	Arkansas State	43	Arkansas State -1	Arkansas State	63.5	Under
2018	09/22	Arkansas State	27	UNLV	20	Arkansas State -8	UNLV	66.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	0	1	0 Overs
Arkansas State	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) ARST at (#) UNLV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	UNLV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#120
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#95	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

UNLV Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	UNLV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sam Boyd Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Arkansas State 1.0 (63.5)
Arkansas State won at UNLV this year (43-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNLV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD