SMU at TCU - 2019 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, September 21st 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
TCU -7.5 (54.5)
SMU 41 - TCU: 38

 
Mustangs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 33 (38 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 90.7° (46% Hum)
Wind: 13.2 MPH
SMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ TCU -2)
Projected Score: SMU: 29 - TCU: 34 (63)
TCU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 35 miles
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 SMU at Arkansas State+1.558.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 SMU vs North Texas-3.572.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 9/14 SMU vs Texas State-17.562.0W 47 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 SMU at TCU+7.554.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/28 SMU at South Florida-7.062.0W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/5 SMU vs Tulsa-12.063.5W 43 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 SMU vs Temple-9.060.5W 45 - 21OY
Thu 10/24 SMU at Houston-12.065.5W 34 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 SMU at Memphis+6.571.0L 48 - 54OY
Sat 11/9 SMU vs East Carolina-23.074.0W 59 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 SMU at Navy+3.568.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/30 SMU vs Tulane-3.071.0W 37 - 20UY
Sat 12/21 SMU at Florida Atlantic-7.564.0L 28 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
TCU's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 TCU vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-55.064.5W 39 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 TCU at Purdue-3.552.0W 34 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 TCU vs SMU-7.554.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 TCU vs Kansas-14.548.0W 51 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 TCU at Iowa State+3.045.0L 24 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 TCU at Kansas State-4.543.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/26 TCU vs Texas-1.557.0W 37 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 TCU at Oklahoma State-1.058.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/9 TCU vs Baylor+3.048.5L 23 - 29ON
Sat 11/16 TCU at Texas Tech-3.553.0W 33 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 TCU at Oklahoma+18.565.0L 24 - 28UY
Fri 11/29 TCU vs West Virginia-14.044.0L 17 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.2243%41.843%2.7817843%3094.25.1742%33.439%42%3.6357.21.22.2
TCU.1243%30.347%3.2720435%2043.64.1138%26.439%35%3.6561.31.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1341.837.743.3%4.251.2254871783094.348%51%43%43%17%.22
TCU Defense1226.42338.1%3.651.7 - - - - - 50%48%39%35%22%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1333.437.341.6%3.632.2 - - - - - 47%51%39%42%25%.17
TCU Offense1230.334.242.8%3.641.6214082042044.851%46%47%35%21%.12

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1328:5124.844%73%6.457.21.22.210.65.5331.6
TCU1232:5521.447%45%6.561.31.61.76.62.8330.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1348%43%41.1178.24.335.082.7871%10%0.97
TCU Defense1250%39% - - - - .022.5878%12%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1347%39% - - - - .12.870%16%1.02
TCU Offense1251%47%42.52044.823.213.2779%13%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1351%43%24.138.7309.1812.83511.371.732%33%.37%1.9
TCU Defense1248%35% - - - - - - 16.211.835%32%.2610%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 9.241.735%34%.299%1.9
TCU Offense1246%35%17.632.8203.76.211.61510.061.533%37%.37%1.6

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2019 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4  #47
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #29
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #65

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    TCU: 5.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 4.4   TCU: 6.7




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 5.85 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2019 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7  #42
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #65
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9  #35

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 41.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.7
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

SMU's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 34
SMU 29

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 34
SMU 25

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
TCU 34
SMU 32

Total Points: 66
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

TCU's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20TCU35SMU24TCU -6.5TCU63.5Under
202409/21SMU66TCU42TCU -1SMU58.5Over
202309/23TCU34SMU17TCU -7TCU63.5Under
202209/24SMU34TCU42TCU -2.5TCU72.0Over
202109/25TCU34SMU42TCU -8SMU66.0Over
201909/21TCU38SMU41TCU -7.5SMU54.5Over
201809/07SMU12TCU42TCU -23.5TCU59.5Under
201709/16TCU56SMU36TCU -22SMU64.5Over
201609/23SMU3TCU33TCU -24TCU68.0Under
201509/19TCU56SMU37TCU -38SMU68.5Over
201409/27SMU0TCU56TCU -31TCU0
201309/28TCU48SMU17TCU -19.5TCU0
201209/29SMU16TCU24
201110/01TCU33SMU40
201009/24SMU24TCU41
200910/03TCU39SMU14
200809/20SMU7TCU48
200709/22TCU21SMU7
200509/10SMU21TCU10
200409/11TCU44SMU0
200311/29SMU13TCU20
200209/14TCU17SMU6
200109/08SMU10TCU38
200011/23SMU7TCU62
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1976 Overs
SMU554 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams13 - 118 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#) SMU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #42
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #67 #31
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 91° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 4
TCU -7.5 (54.5)
SMU won at TCU this year (41-38)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat TCU last year (66-42)
TCU beat SMU in 2023 (34-17)
TCU beat SMU in 2022 (42-34)

  
SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD