SMU at TCU - 2019 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at TCU Horned Frogs  TCU logo
Saturday, September 21st 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
TCU -7.5 (54.5)
SMU 41 - TCU: 38

 
Mustangs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ TCU -2)
Projected Score: SMU: 28 - TCU: 28 (56)
TCU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 35 miles
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 SMU at Arkansas State+1.558.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 SMU vs North Texas-3.572.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 9/14 SMU vs Texas State-17.562.0W 47 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 SMU at TCU+7.554.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/28 SMU at South Florida-7.062.0W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/5 SMU vs Tulsa-12.063.5W 43 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 SMU vs Temple-9.060.5W 45 - 21OY
Thu 10/24 SMU at Houston-12.065.5W 34 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 SMU at Memphis+6.571.0L 48 - 54OY
Sat 11/9 SMU vs East Carolina-23.074.0W 59 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 SMU at Navy+3.568.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/30 SMU vs Tulane-3.071.0W 37 - 20UY
Sat 12/21 SMU at Florida Atlantic-7.564.0L 28 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
TCU's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 TCU vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-55.064.5W 39 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 TCU at Purdue-3.552.0W 34 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 TCU vs SMU-7.554.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 TCU vs Kansas-14.548.0W 51 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 TCU at Iowa State+3.045.0L 24 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 TCU at Kansas State-4.543.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/26 TCU vs Texas-1.557.0W 37 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 TCU at Oklahoma State-1.058.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/9 TCU vs Baylor+3.048.5L 23 - 29ON
Sat 11/16 TCU at Texas Tech-3.553.0W 33 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 TCU at Oklahoma+18.565.0L 24 - 28UY
Fri 11/29 TCU vs West Virginia-14.044.0L 17 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.1139%32.236%2.4511639%2703.39.1843%20.543%43%3.9145.31.21.9
TCU.0642%30.743%2.7615738%2112.68.139%25.340%36%3.3939.121.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.838.6%3.391.2203871162703.543%56%36%39%17%.11
TCU Defense1325.324.238.5%3.391.6 - - - - - 49%49%40%36%16%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.243.5%3.911.9 - - - - - 55%43%43%43%17%.18
TCU Offense1330.73641.6%2.682193681572114.152%47%43%38%18%.06

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1227:132033%59%5.245.31.21.97.42.1129.7
TCU1330:2418.836%35%4.339.121.662.4230.1
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1243%36%33.3116.13.517-.012.4563%11%1.02
TCU Defense1349%40% - - - - .072.6966%10%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1255%43% - - - - .132.8164%12%1.06
TCU Offense1352%43%38.1156.84.114.012.7667%11%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1256%39%22.338.8270.4712.2287.231.837%31%.26%2
TCU Defense1349%36% - - - - - - 12.171.636%31%.296%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 12.271.633%38%.385%1.9
TCU Offense1347%38%18.331.5210.86.711.51815.151.533%27%.087%1.8

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2019 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4  #47
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #29
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #65

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    TCU: 5.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 4.4   TCU: 6.7




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 5.85 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2019 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7  #42
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #65
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9  #35

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 28
TCU 28

Projected Total Points: 56
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20TCU35SMU24TCU -6.5TCU63.5Under
202409/21SMU66TCU42TCU -1SMU58.5Over
202309/23TCU34SMU17TCU -7TCU63.5Under
202209/24SMU34TCU42TCU -2.5TCU72.0Over
202109/25TCU34SMU42TCU -8SMU66.0Over
201909/21TCU38SMU41TCU -7.5SMU54.5Over
201809/07SMU12TCU42TCU -23.5TCU59.5Under
201709/16TCU56SMU36TCU -22SMU64.5Over
201609/23SMU3TCU33TCU -24TCU68.0Under
201509/19TCU56SMU37TCU -38SMU68.5Over
201409/27SMU0TCU56TCU -31TCU0
201309/28TCU48SMU17TCU -19.5TCU0
201209/29SMU16TCU24
201110/01TCU33SMU40
201009/24SMU24TCU41
200910/03TCU39SMU14
200809/20SMU7TCU48
200709/22TCU21SMU7
200509/10SMU21TCU10
200409/11TCU44SMU0
200311/29SMU13TCU20
200209/14TCU17SMU6
200109/08SMU10TCU38
200011/23SMU7TCU62
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1976 Overs
SMU554 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams13 - 118 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#) SMU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #42
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #67 #31
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
TCU -7.5 (54.5)
SMU won at TCU this year (41-38)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat SMU last year (35-24)
SMU beat TCU in 2024 (66-42)
TCU beat SMU in 2023 (34-17)

  
SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD