Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Saturday, November 16th 2019 (3:00 PM EST)
Arkansas State -14 (60.5)
Arkansas State 28 - Coastal Carolina: 27 (Sun Belt)

Chanticleers (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 33 (24 - 41 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ ARST -10)
Projected Score: CCU: 25 - ARST: 32 (57)
ARST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
CCU Travel: 676 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CCU Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Coastal Carolina's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Coastal Carolina vs Eastern Michigan	+5.0	55.0	L 23 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/7	Coastal Carolina at Kansas	+7.0	54.5	W 12 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Coastal Carolina vs Norfolk State	-25.5	48.5	W 46 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Coastal Carolina at Massachusetts	-17.0	61.5	W 62 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Coastal Carolina at App State	+14.5	58.0	L 37 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State	-3.5	64.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/19	Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern	+7.0	43.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Coastal Carolina vs Troy	+2.0	60.5	W 36 - 35	O	Y
Thu 11/7	Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana	+14.0	58.5	L 7 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/16	Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State	+14.0	60.5	L 27 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Coastal Carolina at UL Monroe	+6.0	63.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Coastal Carolina vs Texas State	-7.0	52.0	W 24 - 21	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arkansas State vs SMU	-1.5	58.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/7	Arkansas State at UNLV	-1.0	63.5	W 43 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas State at Georgia	+32.5	58.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas State vs Southern Illinois	-23.0	62.0	W 41 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/28	Arkansas State at Troy	+7.0	59.5	W 50 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas State at Georgia State	-6.5	69.0	L 38 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	+6.0	69.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-11.5	60.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	-1.0	69.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina	-14.0	60.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern	-1.0	52.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Arkansas State at South Alabama	-10.5	53.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/21	Arkansas State vs Florida International	+1.5	60.0	W 34 - 26	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CCU	.22	47%	22.2	48%	3.08	195	43%	180	3.89	.33	49%	33.1	51%	44%	3.82	42	1.5	1
ARST	.22	46%	25.2	46%	3.35	186	45%	281	3.4	.13	39%	27.4	41%	35%	3.39	68.1	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CCU Offense	12	22.2	24	46.8%	3.89	1.5	20	374	195	180	4.6	61%	37%	48%	43%	17%	.22
ARST Defense	13	27.4	27.2	38.8%	3.39	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	41%	35%	20%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CCU Defense	12	33.1	41.3	49%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	51%	44%	15%	.33
ARST Offense	13	25.2	29	45.8%	3.4	1.2	23	467	186	281	4.8	48%	50%	46%	45%	14%	.22

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina	12	32:27	20.4	42%	69%	4.4	42	1.5	1	5	1.5	1	27.6
Arkansas State	13	30:07	23.1	40%	53%	7.6	68.1	1.2	1.5	6.8	2.3	3	28.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CCU Offense	12	61%	48%	42.8	194.9	4.6	20	.16	3.08	75%	13%	0.98
ARST Defense	13	56%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.45	67%	13%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CCU Defense	12	58%	51%	-	-	-	-	.29	3.25	71%	10%	1.17
ARST Offense	13	48%	46%	39.1	185.7	4.8	18	.17	3.35	70%	8%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CCU Offense	12	37%	43%	13.6	22	179.5	8.2	13.2	19	7	.34	1.8	29%	40%	.53	4%	2
ARST Defense	13	43%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.9	38%	31%	.28	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CCU Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.39	1.9	28%	38%	.58	5%	2.4
ARST Offense	13	50%	45%	23.3	36.3	281.5	7.8	12.1	28	10	.29	1.6	31%	34%	.4	6%	1.8

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: NR
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Coastal Carolina's 2019 Expected Record: -
Coastal Carolina's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.8 #113
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #98
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: Arkansas State: 1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -12.8 Arkansas State: -2.9

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 1.05 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #49
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.3

Coastal Carolina's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 32
Coastal Carolina 25

Projected Total Points: 57

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Arkansas State	17	Coastal Carolina	27	Coastal Carolina -8.5	Coastal Carolina	59.0	Under
2021	10/07	Arkansas State	20	Coastal Carolina	52	Coastal Carolina -20.5	Coastal Carolina	74.5	Under
2020	10/03	Coastal Carolina	52	Arkansas State	23	Arkansas State -3.5	Coastal Carolina	64.5	Over
2019	11/16	Arkansas State	28	Coastal Carolina	27	Arkansas State -14	Coastal Carolina	60.5	Under
2018	11/10	Coastal Carolina	16	Arkansas State	44	Arkansas State -6.5	Arkansas State	61.5	Under
2017	10/14	Arkansas State	51	Coastal Carolina	17	Arkansas State -16.5	Arkansas State	63.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	3	2	2 Overs
Coastal Carolina	3	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	2 - 4	1 - 1	1 - 3
Road Teams	3 - 3	4 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 1

(#) CCU at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CCU	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#76
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#125	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

Coastal Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	CCU Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Coastal Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	CCU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#108
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	CCU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	CCU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

CCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Arkansas State -14.0 (60.5)
Arkansas State won vs Coastal Carolina this year (28-27)

Previous Matchups
Coastal Carolina beat Arkansas State in 2023 (27-17)

CCU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD