Arkansas State at Georgia State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, October 5th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -6.5 (69.0)
Georgia State 52 - Arkansas State: 38 (Sun Belt)

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST 2nd straight Road Game
GAST coming off BYE
ARST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ ARST -7.5)
Projected Score: ARST: 36 - GAST: 37 (73)
ARST Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ARST Travel: 385 miles, 1 hrs behind

Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 36 (39 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arkansas State vs SMU	-1.5	58.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/7	Arkansas State at UNLV	-1.0	63.5	W 43 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas State at Georgia	+32.5	58.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas State vs Southern Illinois	-23.0	62.0	W 41 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/28	Arkansas State at Troy	+7.0	59.5	W 50 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas State at Georgia State	-6.5	69.0	L 38 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	+6.0	69.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-11.5	60.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	-1.0	69.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina	-14.0	60.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern	-1.0	52.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Arkansas State at South Alabama	-10.5	53.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/21	Arkansas State vs Florida International	+1.5	60.0	W 34 - 26	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Georgia State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia State at Tennessee	+24.5	58.0	W 38 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia State vs Furman	-6.0	61.5	W 48 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia State at Western Michigan	+9.0	69.5	L 10 - 57	U	N
Sat 9/21	Georgia State at Texas State	+3.0	62.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	+6.5	69.0	W 52 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+3.5	64.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Georgia State vs Army	+4.0	54.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Georgia State vs Troy	+1.0	67.0	W 52 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Georgia State at UL Monroe	-2.5	77.5	L 31 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia State vs App State	+15.0	61.0	L 27 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/23	Georgia State vs South Alabama	-9.5	57.0	W 28 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	+6.5	56.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Tue 12/31	Georgia State vs Wyoming	+7.5	49.5	L 17 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.22	43%	33.7	40%	2.95	127	43%	313	4.07	.17	44%	34.2	43%	42%	4.05	67.5	1.7	1.7
GAST	.24	49%	31.2	50%	3.33	242	46%	198	3.86	.31	46%	36.2	46%	46%	4.79	42.8	1.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	#81 (.17)	41% (91)		43% (84)	3.01 (77)	148	39% (96)	210	3.96 (63)	#126 (.31)	48% (124)		51% (131)	44% (110)	4.62 (127)	47.8	1.3	1.4
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	13	33.7	34.8	42.6%	4.07	1.7	22	440	127	313	3.6	44%	54%	40%	43%	22%	.22
GAST Defense	13	36.2	34.2	46.4%	4.79	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	46%	46%	18%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	13	34.2	40.3	43.7%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	43%	42%	17%	.17
GAST Offense	13	31.2	39.2	48.6%	3.86	1.2	23	440	242	198	5.3	59%	40%	50%	46%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	13	27:39	22.1	40%	57%	7.6	67.5	1.7	1.7	7.4	2.4	3	30
Georgia State	13	29:36	23.5	46%	48%	4.3	42.8	1.2	1.4	5.3	2.2	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	13	44%	40%	35.1	127.2	3.6	13	.09	2.95	69%	13%	0.99
GAST Defense	13	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.3	73%	10%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.9	72%	10%	1.1
GAST Offense	13	59%	50%	45.8	241.6	5.3	30	.23	3.33	73%	11%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	13	54%	43%	22.9	36.1	312.7	8.7	13.6	37	11	.34	1.8	35%	36%	.46	9%	2
GAST Defense	13	45%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.4	1.7	29%	37%	.47	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.22	1.5	31%	34%	.37	6%	1.9
GAST Offense	13	40%	46%	18.3	29.6	198.2	6.7	10.8	22	9	.27	1.5	27%	35%	.29	7%	1.8

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #49
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Georgia State: -2.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -2.9 Georgia State: -10.5

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -2.75 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #60
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Arkansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 37
Arkansas State 36

Total Points: 73

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 38
Georgia State 37

Total Points: 75

Based on Entire Season
Georgia State 36
Arkansas State 35

Total Points: 71

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.2
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.2

Georgia State's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Georgia State	20	Arkansas State	27	Georgia State -2.5	Arkansas State	60.0	Under
2021	11/20	Georgia State	28	Arkansas State	20	Georgia State -15.5	Arkansas State	66.0	Under
2020	10/15	Arkansas State	59	Georgia State	52	Arkansas State -3.5	Arkansas State	72.5	Over
2019	10/05	Georgia State	52	Arkansas State	38	Arkansas State -6.5	Georgia State	69.0	Over
2018	10/18	Arkansas State	51	Georgia State	35	Arkansas State -13.5	Arkansas State	55.5	Over
2016	11/03	Georgia State	16	Arkansas State	31	Arkansas State -2	Arkansas State	48.0	Under
2015	10/31	Arkansas State	48	Georgia State	34	Arkansas State -18.5	Georgia State	57.5	Over
2014	10/11	Georgia State	10	Arkansas State	52	Arkansas State -13.5	Arkansas State	0
2013	11/23	Arkansas State	35	Georgia State	33	Arkansas State -23	Georgia State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	2	3	4 Overs
Arkansas State	7	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	3 - 6	2 - 4	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	6 - 3	2 - 1	4 - 2

(#) ARST at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#107
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#95	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Arkansas State 6.5 (69.0)
Georgia State won vs Arkansas State this year (52-38)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Georgia State last year (27-20)

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD