Louisiana at Arkansas State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Thursday, October 17th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana -6 (69.0)
Louisiana 37 - Arkansas State: 20 (Sun Belt)

Ragin' Cajuns (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: -4 (SP+ ULL -12.5)
Projected Score: ULL: 26 - ARST: 29 (55)
ULL Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ULL Travel: 397 miles

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana vs Mississippi State	+19.0	61.5	L 28 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Louisiana vs Liberty	-14.0	65.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Louisiana vs Texas Southern	-47.0	75.0	W 77 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Louisiana at Ohio	+3.0	68.5	W 45 - 25	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Louisiana at Georgia Southern	-3.0	56.0	W 37 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9	Louisiana vs App State	-2.5	69.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Thu 10/17	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-6.0	69.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Louisiana vs Texas State	-23.0	55.0	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Thu 11/7	Louisiana at Coastal Carolina	-14.0	58.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana at South Alabama	-27.5	52.5	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/23	Louisiana vs Troy	-13.0	74.5	W 53 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-19.5	71.0	W 31 - 30	U	N
Sat 12/7	Louisiana at App State	+6.0	57.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Mon 1/6	Louisiana vs Miami (OH)	-15.5	55.5	W 27 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arkansas State vs SMU	-1.5	58.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/7	Arkansas State at UNLV	-1.0	63.5	W 43 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas State at Georgia	+32.5	58.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas State vs Southern Illinois	-23.0	62.0	W 41 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/28	Arkansas State at Troy	+7.0	59.5	W 50 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas State at Georgia State	-6.5	69.0	L 38 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	+6.0	69.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-11.5	60.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	-1.0	69.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina	-14.0	60.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern	-1.0	52.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Arkansas State at South Alabama	-10.5	53.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/21	Arkansas State vs Florida International	+1.5	60.0	W 34 - 26	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	.26	44%	26	44%	3.17	219	42%	206	3.99	.29	47%	29.2	47%	44%	4.2	44	1.2	1.1
ARST	.22	46%	25.2	46%	3.35	186	45%	281	3.4	.13	39%	27.4	41%	35%	3.39	68.1	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	14	26	23.8	44.4%	3.99	1.2	20	424	219	206	5.5	57%	41%	44%	42%	16%	.26
ARST Defense	13	27.4	27.2	38.8%	3.39	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	41%	35%	20%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	14	29.2	32.8	46.7%	4.2	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	60%	38%	47%	44%	12%	.29
ARST Offense	13	25.2	29	45.8%	3.4	1.2	23	467	186	281	4.8	48%	50%	46%	45%	14%	.22

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	14	28:33	19.7	47%	42%	4.9	44	1.2	1.1	4.5	1.9	0	30.9
Arkansas State	13	30:07	23.1	40%	53%	7.6	68.1	1.2	1.5	6.8	2.3	3	28.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	14	57%	44%	39.5	218.7	5.5	31	.22	3.17	71%	11%	1.17
ARST Defense	13	56%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.45	67%	13%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	14	60%	47%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.22	78%	7%	1.02
ARST Offense	13	48%	46%	39.1	185.7	4.8	18	.17	3.35	70%	8%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	14	41%	42%	15.7	24.9	205.6	8.3	13.1	27	14	.35	1.8	30%	37%	.46	5%	2
ARST Defense	13	43%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.9	38%	31%	.28	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	14	38%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.4	1.7	30%	35%	.37	5%	1.8
ARST Offense	13	50%	45%	23.3	36.3	281.5	7.8	12.1	28	10	.29	1.6	31%	34%	.4	6%	1.8

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana's 2019 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #32
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #15
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: Arkansas State: 1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 9.6 Arkansas State: -2.9

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 1.05 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #49
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 29
Louisiana 26

Projected Total Points: 55

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/20	Arkansas State	30	Louisiana	34	Arkansas State -2.5	Louisiana	54.5	Over
2024	11/09	Louisiana	55	Arkansas State	19	Louisiana -14.0	Louisiana	60.0	Over
2023	11/04	Arkansas State	37	Louisiana	17	Louisiana -9	Arkansas State	60.0	Under
2022	10/22	Louisiana	38	Arkansas State	18	Louisiana -6	Louisiana	51.0	Over
2021	10/21	Arkansas State	27	Louisiana	28	Louisiana -17	Arkansas State	70.0	Under
2020	11/07	Louisiana	27	Arkansas State	20	Louisiana -13.5	Arkansas State	69.5	Under
2019	10/17	Arkansas State	20	Louisiana	37	Louisiana -6	Louisiana	69.0	Under
2018	10/27	Louisiana	47	Arkansas State	43	Arkansas State -3	Louisiana	69.0	Over
2017	10/19	Arkansas State	47	Louisiana	3	Arkansas State -12	Arkansas State	66.5	Under
2016	11/26	Louisiana	24	Arkansas State	19	Arkansas State -6.5	Louisiana	50.5	Under
2015	10/20	Arkansas State	37	Louisiana	27	Arkansas State -6	Arkansas State	55.5	Over
2014	10/21	Louisiana	55	Arkansas State	40	Arkansas State -3	Louisiana	59.0	Over
2013	10/22	Arkansas State	7	Louisiana	23	Louisiana -6.5	Louisiana	0
2012	10/23	Louisiana	27	Arkansas State	50
2011	11/12	Arkansas State	30	Louisiana	21
2010	09/11	Louisiana	31	Arkansas State	24
2009	11/07	Arkansas State	18	Louisiana	21
2008	10/18	Louisiana	28	Arkansas State	23
2007	10/13	Arkansas State	52	Louisiana	21
2006	11/25	Louisiana	28	Arkansas State	13
2005	10/13	Arkansas State	39	Louisiana	36
2004	10/23	Louisiana	27	Arkansas State	24
2002	11/09	Louisiana	13	Arkansas State	10
2001	10/13	Arkansas State	26	Louisiana	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	8	5	6 Overs
Louisiana	16	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	18 - 6	9 - 4	4 - 2	5 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 18	4 - 9	2 - 5	2 - 4

(#) ULL at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#76
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#92	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Louisiana 6.0 (69.0)
Louisiana won at Arkansas State this year (37-20)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Arkansas State last year (34-30)
Louisiana beat Arkansas State in 2024 (55-19)
Arkansas State beat Louisiana in 2023 (37-17)

ULL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD