Tulsa at SMU - 2019 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo   Tulsa Golden Hurricane at SMU Mustangs  SMU logo
Saturday, October 5th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
SMU -12 (63.5)
SMU 43 - Tulsa: 37  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA coming off BYE
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ SMU -7)
Projected Score: TLSA: 21 - SMU: 32 (53)
SMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
TLSA Travel: 234 miles
Mustangs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Tulsa at Michigan State+22.047.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Tulsa at San José State-6.553.5W 34 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+14.064.0L 21 - 40UN
Sat 9/21 Tulsa vs Wyoming-5.546.0W 24 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Tulsa at SMU+12.063.5L 37 - 43OY
Sat 10/12 Tulsa vs Navy-1.052.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 10/19 Tulsa at Cincinnati+16.047.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Tulsa vs Memphis+10.059.5L 41 - 42OY
Sat 11/2 Tulsa at Tulane+10.059.5L 26 - 38ON
Fri 11/8 Tulsa vs UCF+17.068.5W 34 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Tulsa vs Houston-5.057.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Tulsa at East Carolina-7.064.0W 49 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
SMU's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 SMU at Arkansas State+1.558.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 SMU vs North Texas-3.572.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 9/14 SMU vs Texas State-17.562.0W 47 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 SMU at TCU+7.554.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/28 SMU at South Florida-7.062.0W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/5 SMU vs Tulsa-12.063.5W 43 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 SMU vs Temple-9.060.5W 45 - 21OY
Thu 10/24 SMU at Houston-12.065.5W 34 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 SMU at Memphis+6.571.0L 48 - 54OY
Sat 11/9 SMU vs East Carolina-23.074.0W 59 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 SMU at Navy+3.568.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/30 SMU vs Tulane-3.071.0W 37 - 20UY
Sat 12/21 SMU at Florida Atlantic-7.564.0L 28 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.1143%23.246%2.9220137%1773.57.1544%28.944%42%3.6463.421.8
SMU.1139%32.236%2.4511639%2703.39.1843%20.543%43%3.9145.31.21.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1223.21943.2%3.572203782011774.160%38%46%37%19%.11
SMU Defense1220.519.243.5%3.911.9 - - - - - 55%43%43%43%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1228.930.744.4%3.641.8 - - - - - 61%37%44%42%14%.15
SMU Offense1232.23638.6%3.391.2203871162703.543%56%36%39%17%.11

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1228:4720.243%58%7.263.421.84.91.2029.6
SMU1227:132033%59%5.245.31.21.97.42.1129.7
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1260%46%48.5200.74.123.112.9274%13%0.87
SMU Defense1255%43% - - - - .132.8164%12%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1261%44% - - - - .153.1474%9%1.02
SMU Offense1243%36%33.3116.13.517-.012.4563%11%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1238%37%14.326.4177.16.712.41310.131.732%35%.297%1.8
SMU Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 12.271.633%38%.385%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1237%42% - - - - - - 9.181.431%34%.296%1.7
SMU Offense1256%39%22.338.8270.4712.2287.231.837%31%.26%2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2019 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5  #73
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #87
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #50

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    SMU: 4.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -2.5   SMU: 4.4




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 4.7 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2019 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4  #47
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #29
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #65

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 32
Tulsa 21

Projected Total Points: 53
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28SMU69Tulsa10SMU -20.5SMU55.0Over
202210/29Tulsa34SMU45SMU -1SMU63.5Over
202111/27SMU31Tulsa34SMU -6Tulsa63.0Over
202011/14Tulsa28SMU24SMU -2.0Tulsa64.0Under
201910/05SMU43Tulsa37SMU -12Tulsa63.5Over
201811/24Tulsa27SMU24SMU -2.5Tulsa52.5Under
201710/27SMU38Tulsa34SMU -11.5Tulsa76.5Under
201610/07Tulsa43SMU40Tulsa -11SMU68.0Over
201510/31SMU31Tulsa40Tulsa -1.5Tulsa75.5Under
201411/08Tulsa38SMU28Tulsa -9.5Tulsa0
201211/24SMU35Tulsa27
201110/29Tulsa38SMU7
201010/09SMU21Tulsa18
200910/31Tulsa13SMU27
200810/11SMU31Tulsa37
200710/27Tulsa29SMU23
200611/18SMU34Tulsa24
200510/22Tulsa20SMU13
200411/06SMU41Tulsa35
200310/25Tulsa35SMU16
200111/17Tulsa14SMU24
200011/10SMU24Tulsa20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU1135 Overs
Tulsa1174 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 64 - 62 - 42 - 2
Road Teams6 - 166 - 42 - 24 - 2

(#) TLSA at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSASMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #47
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #88 #67
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
SMU -12.0 (63.5)
SMU won vs Tulsa this year (43-37)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Tulsa in 2023 (69-10)

  
TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD