Georgia Southern at Arkansas State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Saturday, November 23rd 2019 (3:00 PM EST)
Arkansas State -1 (52.5)
Arkansas State 38 - Georgia Southern: 33 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (20 - 35 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST 2nd straight Home Game
GASO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ ARST -2)
Projected Score: GASO: 26 - ARST: 31 (57)
ARST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
GASO Travel: 561 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia Southern at LSU	+27.0	51.0	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/7	Georgia Southern vs Maine	-8.5	46.5	W 26 - 18	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia Southern at Minnesota	+17.0	45.0	L 32 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	+3.0	56.0	L 24 - 37	O	N
Thu 10/3	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	-10.0	45.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-7.0	43.0	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/26	Georgia Southern vs New Mexico State	-13.5	53.5	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Thu 10/31	Georgia Southern at App State	+15.0	44.5	W 24 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Georgia Southern at Troy	-2.5	57.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-6.5	57.5	W 51 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	+1.0	52.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	-6.5	56.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/21	Georgia Southern vs Liberty	-5.0	59.0	L 16 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arkansas State vs SMU	-1.5	58.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/7	Arkansas State at UNLV	-1.0	63.5	W 43 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas State at Georgia	+32.5	58.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas State vs Southern Illinois	-23.0	62.0	W 41 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/28	Arkansas State at Troy	+7.0	59.5	W 50 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas State at Georgia State	-6.5	69.0	L 38 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	+6.0	69.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-11.5	60.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	-1.0	69.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina	-14.0	60.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern	-1.0	52.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Arkansas State at South Alabama	-10.5	53.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/21	Arkansas State vs Florida International	+1.5	60.0	W 34 - 26	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.2	43%	27.9	44%	3.11	266	33%	79	3.79	.16	46%	32.3	45%	45%	3.61	40.8	0.4	2.1
ARST	.22	46%	25.2	46%	3.35	186	45%	281	3.4	.13	39%	27.4	41%	35%	3.39	68.1	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	13	27.9	19.5	43.2%	3.79	0.4	16	345	266	79	5.4	80%	18%	44%	33%	11%	.2
ARST Defense	13	27.4	27.2	38.8%	3.39	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	41%	35%	20%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	13	32.3	35.3	45.8%	3.61	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	45%	45%	17%	.16
ARST Offense	13	25.2	29	45.8%	3.4	1.2	23	467	186	281	4.8	48%	50%	46%	45%	14%	.22

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	13	29:40	16.4	40%	55%	4.3	40.8	0.4	2.1	4.9	2.1	3	33.3
Arkansas State	13	30:07	23.1	40%	53%	7.6	68.1	1.2	1.5	6.8	2.3	3	28.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	13	80%	44%	49.4	266.3	5.4	35	.18	3.11	71%	10%	1.15
ARST Defense	13	56%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.45	67%	13%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	13	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.8	69%	10%	0.89
ARST Offense	13	48%	46%	39.1	185.7	4.8	18	.17	3.35	70%	8%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	13	18%	33%	5.4	9	79	8.8	14.7	10	0	.32	2.2	29%	32%	.35	1%	2
ARST Defense	13	43%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.9	38%	31%	.28	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	13	47%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.24	1.4	30%	30%	.27	7%	1.6
ARST Offense	13	50%	45%	23.3	36.3	281.5	7.8	12.1	28	10	.29	1.6	31%	34%	.4	6%	1.8

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Southern's 2019 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #86
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #101
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: Arkansas State: 1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -4.5 Arkansas State: -2.9

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 1.05 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #49
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Georgia Southern's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 31
Georgia Southern 26

Projected Total Points: 57

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Arkansas State	34	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia Southern -1.5	Arkansas State	59.5	Under
2021	10/02	Georgia Southern	59	Arkansas State	33	Georgia Southern -1.5	Georgia Southern	66.5	Over
2019	11/23	Arkansas State	38	Georgia Southern	33	Arkansas State -1	Arkansas State	52.5	Over
2018	09/29	Georgia Southern	28	Arkansas State	21	Arkansas State -3	Georgia Southern	53.5	Under
2017	10/04	Georgia Southern	25	Arkansas State	43	Arkansas State -9	Arkansas State	54.5	Over
2016	10/05	Arkansas State	27	Georgia Southern	26	Georgia Southern -5.5	Arkansas State	53.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	4	4	3 Overs
Georgia Southern	2	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 1	5 - 1	2 - 0	3 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 5	1 - 5	1 - 3	0 - 2

(#) GASO at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#76
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#90	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GASO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#61
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Arkansas State -1.0 (52.5)
Arkansas State won vs Georgia Southern this year (38-33)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Georgia Southern last year (34-24)

GASO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD