SMU at Houston - 2019 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Houston CougarsHouston logo
Thursday, October 24th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
SMU -12 (65.5)
SMU 34 - Houston: 31  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 33 (38 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Heavy Rain Shower Predicted
Our Line: -2  (SP+ SMU -8.5)

Projected Score: SMU: 39 - HOU: 31 (70)
SMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
SMU Travel: 231 miles
Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 34 (32 - 38 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 SMU at Arkansas State+1.558.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 SMU vs North Texas-3.572.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 9/14 SMU vs Texas State-17.562.0W 47 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 SMU at TCU+7.554.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/28 SMU at South Florida-7.062.0W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/5 SMU vs Tulsa-12.063.5W 43 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 SMU vs Temple-9.060.5W 45 - 21OY
Thu 10/24 SMU at Houston-12.065.5W 34 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 SMU at Memphis+6.571.0L 48 - 54OY
Sat 11/9 SMU vs East Carolina-23.074.0W 59 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 SMU at Navy+3.568.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/30 SMU vs Tulane-3.071.0W 37 - 20UY
Sat 12/21 SMU at Florida Atlantic-7.564.0L 28 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Houston's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 Houston at Oklahoma+21.580.0L 31 - 49UY
Sat 9/7 Houston vs Prairie View A&M-35.077.5W 37 - 17UN
Fri 9/13 Houston vs Washington State+9.073.5L 24 - 31UY
Thu 9/19 Houston at Tulane+4.057.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/28 Houston at North Texas+7.559.0W 46 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Houston vs Cincinnati+10.050.5L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/19 Houston at UConn-21.056.0W 24 - 17UN
Thu 10/24 Houston vs SMU+12.065.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 11/2 Houston at UCF+22.072.0L 29 - 44OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Houston vs Memphis+9.071.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 11/23 Houston at Tulsa+5.057.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Houston vs Navy+9.056.5L 41 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.2243%41.843%2.7817843%3094.25.1742%33.439%42%3.6357.21.22.2
HOU.1642%30.744%3.0618837%2033.43.2945%3443%46%448.31.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1341.837.743.3%4.251.2254871783094.348%51%43%43%17%.22
HOU Defense12343845.3%41.4 - - - - - 47%51%43%46%20%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1333.437.341.6%3.632.2 - - - - - 47%51%39%42%25%.17
HOU Offense1230.731.842.4%3.431.8193921882034.954%43%44%37%23%.16

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1328:5124.844%73%6.457.21.22.210.65.5331.6
Houston1230:5719.335%71%4.848.31.81.46.71.8530.1
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1348%43%41.1178.24.335.082.7871%10%0.97
HOU Defense1247%43% - - - - .172.761%11%1.17
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1347%39% - - - - .12.870%16%1.02
HOU Offense1254%44%38.8188.24.920.183.0662%16%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1351%43%24.138.7309.1812.83511.371.732%33%.37%1.9
HOU Defense1251%46% - - - - - - 8.41.733%38%.559%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 9.241.735%34%.299%1.9
HOU Offense1243%37%14.726.2203.37.813.91912.171.935%32%.248%1.9

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2019 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4  #47
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #29
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #65

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Houston: 0.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 4.4   Houston: -4.3




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 0.35 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2019 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3  #82
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #56
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 41.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.7
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

SMU's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 39
Houston 31


Total Points: 70

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 39
Houston 28

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
SMU 38
Houston 33

Total Points: 71
Houston Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 38

Houston's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05SMU77Houston63SMU -3.5SMU66.0Over
202110/30Houston44SMU37SMU -1Houston61.5Over
201910/24Houston31SMU34SMU -12Houston65.5Under
201811/03SMU45Houston31Houston -14SMU71.0Over
201710/07Houston35SMU22Houston -10Houston60.5Under
201610/22SMU38Houston16Houston -24SMU60.0Under
201510/08Houston49SMU28Houston -21Push70.0Over
201411/28SMU9Houston35Houston -22.5Houston0
201311/29Houston34SMU0Houston -10Houston0
201210/18SMU72Houston42
201111/19Houston37SMU7
201010/23SMU20Houston45
200910/24Houston38SMU15
200810/18SMU38Houston44
200711/04Houston38SMU28
200611/11SMU27Houston37
200511/19Houston24SMU29
200009/29Houston17SMU15
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston1254 Overs
SMU633 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 67 - 13 - 04 - 1
Road Teams6 - 121 - 71 - 40 - 3

(#) SMU at (#) HOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUHOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #82
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #67 #56
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffHOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffHOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffHOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCatHOU OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCatHOU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain Shower
Temp: 77° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 9
SMU 12.0 (65.5)
SMU won at Houston this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Houston in 2022 (77-63)

  
SMU's OC ()
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SMU's DC ()
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HOU's OC ()
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HOU's DC ()
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