Texas State at SMU - 2019 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 14th 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
SMU -17.5 (62.0)
SMU 47 - Texas State: 17

Bobcats (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SMU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -13 (SP+ SMU -21)
Projected Score: TXST: 28 - SMU: 33 (61)
SMU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
TXST Travel: 214 miles

Mustangs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
SMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Texas State at Texas A&M	+33.5	56.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/7	Texas State vs Wyoming	+7.5	48.0	L 14 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/14	Texas State at SMU	+17.5	62.0	L 17 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/21	Texas State vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.5	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/28	Texas State vs Nicholls	-2.5	55.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Texas State vs UL Monroe	+3.5	60.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Texas State at Arkansas State	+11.5	60.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/2	Texas State at Louisiana	+23.0	55.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/9	Texas State vs South Alabama	-7.0	41.0	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/16	Texas State vs Troy	+7.0	65.0	L 27 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/23	Texas State at App State	+28.0	51.0	L 13 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	+7.0	52.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

SMU's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	SMU at Arkansas State	+1.5	58.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/7	SMU vs North Texas	-3.5	72.5	W 49 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/14	SMU vs Texas State	-17.5	62.0	W 47 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/21	SMU at TCU	+7.5	54.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/28	SMU at South Florida	-7.0	62.0	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/5	SMU vs Tulsa	-12.0	63.5	W 43 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	SMU vs Temple	-9.0	60.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Thu 10/24	SMU at Houston	-12.0	65.5	W 34 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/2	SMU at Memphis	+6.5	71.0	L 48 - 54	O	Y
Sat 11/9	SMU vs East Carolina	-23.0	74.0	W 59 - 51	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	SMU at Navy	+3.5	68.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/30	SMU vs Tulane	-3.0	71.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 12/21	SMU at Florida Atlantic	-7.5	64.0	L 28 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.07	39%	36.5	40%	2.42	147	37%	182	2.62	.09	37%	29	36%	34%	3.3	49.2	1.9	1.3
SMU	.11	39%	32.2	36%	2.45	116	39%	270	3.39	.18	43%	20.5	43%	43%	3.91	45.3	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	34.2	39.3%	2.62	1.9	17	330	147	182	4	54%	45%	40%	37%	19%	.07
SMU Defense	12	20.5	19.2	43.5%	3.91	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	43%	43%	17%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	29	32.8	36.9%	3.3	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	36%	34%	15%	.09
SMU Offense	12	32.2	36	38.6%	3.39	1.2	20	387	116	270	3.5	43%	56%	36%	39%	17%	.11

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	27:46	17.3	32%	50%	6	49.2	1.9	1.3	4.8	1.3	1	30.2
SMU	12	27:13	20	33%	59%	5.2	45.3	1.2	1.9	7.4	2.1	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	54%	40%	37.3	147.2	4	15	-.01	2.42	57%	12%	0.97
SMU Defense	12	55%	43%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.81	64%	12%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.99	58%	9%	0.98
SMU Offense	12	43%	36%	33.3	116.1	3.5	17	-.01	2.45	63%	11%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	45%	37%	16.1	27.5	182.3	6.6	11.3	15	12	.2	1.7	34%	28%	.24	7%	1.9
SMU Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.27	1.6	33%	38%	.38	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	45%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.15	1.7	36%	31%	.24	6%	1.7
SMU Offense	12	56%	39%	22.3	38.8	270.4	7	12.2	28	7	.23	1.8	37%	31%	.2	6%	2

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #118
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #120
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #94

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: SMU: 4.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -16.2 SMU: 4.4

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 4.7 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2019 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4 #47
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #29
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #65

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2019 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
SMU 33
Texas State 28

Projected Total Points: 61

SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2020	09/05	Texas State	24	SMU	31	SMU -24.5	Texas State	70.0	Under
2019	09/14	SMU	47	Texas State	17	SMU -17.5	SMU	62.0	Over
2008	09/06	SMU	47	Texas State	36

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
SMU	3	1	1 Overs
Texas State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) TXST at (#) SMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	SMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#47
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#108	#67
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

SMU Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	SMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	SMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	SMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

SMU on Offense


CategoryCat	SMU Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

SMU Run Game


CategoryCat	SMU Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

SMU Pass Game


CategoryCat	SMU Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
SMU -17.5 (62.0)
SMU won vs Texas State this year (47-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD