Ohio State at Michigan - 2019 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo (#1)Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines(#15)Michigan logo
Saturday, November 30th 2019 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -9 (53.0)
Ohio State 56 - Michigan: 27  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 47 - 14 (53 - 14 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ OSU -14.5)

Projected Score: OSU: 34 - MICH: 27 (61)
OSU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
OSU Travel: 161 miles
Wolverines (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (35 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ohio State vs Florida Atlantic-27.066.0W 45 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 Ohio State vs Cincinnati-14.552.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Ohio State at Indiana-17.060.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 9/21 Ohio State vs Miami (OH)-38.556.5W 76 - 5OY
Sat 9/28 Ohio State at Nebraska-17.066.0W 48 - 7UY
Sat 10/5 Ohio State vs Michigan State-19.051.0W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Ohio State at Northwestern-26.550.0W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/26 Ohio State vs Wisconsin-14.547.0W 38 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Ohio State vs Maryland-42.566.0W 73 - 14OY
Sat 11/16 Ohio State at Rutgers-52.063.0W 56 - 21ON
Sat 11/23 Ohio State vs Penn State-20.059.0W 28 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 Ohio State at Michigan-9.053.0W 56 - 27OY
Sat 12/7 Ohio State vs Wisconsin-17.058.0W 34 - 21UN
Sat 12/28 Ohio State vs Clemson+3.063.5L 23 - 29UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Michigan's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Michigan vs Middle Tennessee-36.056.5W 40 - 21ON
Sat 9/7 Michigan vs Army-21.548.0W 24 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Michigan at Wisconsin+3.046.0L 14 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 Michigan vs Rutgers-27.550.0W 52 - 0OY
Sat 10/5 Michigan vs Iowa-4.048.0W 10 - 3UY
Sat 10/12 Michigan at Illinois-24.549.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Michigan at Penn State+7.547.0L 21 - 28OY
Sat 10/26 Michigan vs Notre Dame+1.546.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/2 Michigan at Maryland-21.557.5W 38 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Michigan vs Michigan State-13.543.5W 44 - 10OY
Sat 11/23 Michigan at Indiana-10.052.5W 39 - 14OY
Sat 11/30 Michigan vs Ohio State+9.053.0L 27 - 56ON
Wed 1/1 Michigan vs Alabama+8.562.0L 16 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.4152%46.950%3.4526754%2634.58.0334%13.736%30%2.52551.12.3
MICH.1744%31.745%2.9915142%2514.11.138%20.738%37%3.1649.91.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1446.952.652.3%4.581.1285302672635.655%44%50%54%13%.41
MICH Defense1320.717.937.8%3.162.1 - - - - - 54%45%38%37%22%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense1413.713.634%2.522.3 - - - - - 48%50%36%30%28%.03
MICH Offense1331.734.644.5%4.111.522402151251451%47%45%42%19%.17

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1431:5828.155%62%5.8551.12.39.64.7133
Michigan1329:312239%55%6.249.91.52.17.83.8130.9
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1455%50%47.4266.85.639.323.4583%10%1.14
MICH Defense1354%38% - - - - .042.5175%14%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1448%36% - - - - .032.3263%18%1.06
MICH Offense1351%45%38.1150.7426.092.9971%11%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1444%54%19.429263.19.113.6483.531.628%47%.693%2
MICH Defense1345%37% - - - - - - 9.171.731%25%.178%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1450%30% - - - - - - 16.031.638%26%.1510%1.7
MICH Offense1347%42%17.531.5250.8814.3259.271.629%31%.248%1.7

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 35.4  #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.4  #4
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State:    Michigan: 12.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 35.4   Michigan: 20.7




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 12.85 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2019 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7  #10
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.7  #21
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 46.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 52.6
Defense: 13.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.6

Ohio State's 2019 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 34
Michigan 27


Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 32
Michigan 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 35
Michigan 24

Total Points: 59
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

Michigan's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Michigan9Ohio State27Ohio State -9.5Ohio State43.5Under
202411/30Ohio State10Michigan13Ohio State -20.5Michigan41.5Under
202311/25Michigan30Ohio State24Michigan -3.0Michigan47.0Over
202211/26Ohio State23Michigan45Ohio State -9Michigan56.0Over
202111/27Michigan42Ohio State27Ohio State -6.5Michigan63.5Over
201911/30Michigan27Ohio State56Ohio State -9Ohio State53.0Over
201811/24Ohio State62Michigan39Michigan -4.5Ohio State52.5Over
201711/25Michigan20Ohio State31Ohio State -12.5Michigan49.0Over
201611/26Ohio State30Michigan27Ohio State -7Michigan44.5Over
201511/28Michigan13Ohio State42Ohio State -2.5Ohio State46.0Over
201411/29Ohio State42Michigan28Ohio State -20Michigan0
201311/30Michigan41Ohio State42Ohio State -13Michigan0
201211/24Ohio State26Michigan21
201111/26Michigan40Ohio State34
201011/27Ohio State37Michigan7
200911/21Michigan10Ohio State21
200811/22Ohio State42Michigan7
200711/17Michigan3Ohio State14
200611/18Ohio State42Michigan39
200511/19Michigan21Ohio State25
200411/20Ohio State37Michigan21
200311/22Michigan35Ohio State21
200111/24Michigan20Ohio State26
200011/17Ohio State26Michigan38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan788 Overs
Ohio State1742 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 125 - 71 - 44 - 3
Road Teams12 - 127 - 53 - 44 - 1

(#) OSU at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #10
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #2 #10
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCat
OSU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #2
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffOSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

OSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 37° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Ohio State 9.0 (53.0)
Ohio State won at Michigan this year (56-27)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Ohio State last year (13-10)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2023 (30-24)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2022 (45-23)

  
OSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD