Western Michigan at Georgia State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Western Michigan Broncos at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (2:00 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -8.5 (61.0)
Western Michigan 34 - Georgia State: 15

Broncos (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 35 (33 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST is playing their 4th straight game
WMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ WMU -9.5)
Projected Score: WMU: 28 - GAST: 30 (58)
WMU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
WMU Travel: 594 miles

Panthers (2 - 10) (1 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 37 (27 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WMU Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Western Michigan vs Syracuse	+5.0	65.5	L 42 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/8	Western Michigan at Michigan	+27.5	54.5	L 3 - 49	U	N
Sat 9/15	Western Michigan vs Delaware State	-47.0
Sat 9/22	Western Michigan at Georgia State	-8.5	61.0	W 34 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Western Michigan at Miami (OH)	-3.0	52.5	W 40 - 39	O	N
Sat 10/6	Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-4.5	59.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/13	Western Michigan at Bowling Green	-14.5	68.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/20	Western Michigan at Central Michigan	-7.0	54.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/25	Western Michigan vs Toledo	-4.0	69.0	L 24 - 51	O	N
Thu 11/1	Western Michigan vs Ohio	+3.0	65.0	L 14 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/13	Western Michigan at Ball State	-10.0	58.0	L 41 - 42	O	N
Tue 11/20	Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+6.5	48.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
Fri 12/21	Western Michigan vs BYU	+10.0	52.0	L 18 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Georgia State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Georgia State vs Kennesaw State	-13.5
Sat 9/8	Georgia State at NC State	+25.0	56.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
Fri 9/14	Georgia State at Memphis	+28.5	63.0	L 22 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/22	Georgia State vs Western Michigan	+8.5	61.0	L 15 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/29	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	+6.0	65.0	W 46 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/4	Georgia State at Troy	+17.0	55.5	L 20 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/18	Georgia State at Arkansas State	+13.5	55.5	L 35 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/27	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	+2.5	61.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/3	Georgia State vs Texas State	-7.0	53.0	L 30 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/10	Georgia State at Louisiana	+13.5	70.0	L 22 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/17	Georgia State at App State	+27.5	54.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/24	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	+10.0	60.0	L 14 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	.22	46%	32	46%	3.04	200	45%	239	3.48	.25	43%	34.5	39%	46%	4.16	53.7	1.5	1.5
GAST	.18	44%	23.8	45%	2.86	172	41%	207	3.7	.39	48%	37.4	43%	54%	4.04	44.2	1.5	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	#43 (.24)	45% (33)		45% (59)	3.05 (62)	184	46% (27)	187	4.11 (49)	#122 (.29)	49% (128)		48% (115)	51% (132)	4.38 (119)	39.2	1	1.6
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	13	32	32.5	45.8%	3.48	1.5	23	438	200	239	4.6	56%	43%	46%	45%	14%	.22
GAST Defense	12	37.4	30	48.2%	4.04	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	43%	54%	10%	.39

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	13	34.5	31.7	43%	4.16	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	39%	46%	18%	.25
GAST Offense	12	23.8	27.2	43.8%	3.7	1.5	20	379	172	207	4.5	54%	44%	45%	41%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	13	33:36	22.8	37%	59%	5.9	53.7	1.5	1.5	7	2.2	2	33.1
Georgia State	12	33:09	20.3	41%	59%	4.2	44.2	1.5	0.9	3.6	1.1	2	26.3

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	13	56%	46%	43.6	199.8	4.6	32	.18	3.04	69%	9%	1
GAST Defense	12	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.22	81%	7%	1.24

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	13	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.54	63%	13%	1.19
GAST Offense	12	54%	45%	38.5	172.2	4.5	20	.09	2.86	72%	12%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	13	43%	45%	18.6	30.4	238.5	7.9	12.8	20	9	.28	1.4	28%	31%	.26	5%	1.6
GAST Defense	12	40%	54%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.64	1.7	27%	38%	.51	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	13	45%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.44	1.8	33%	37%	.58	4%	2.1
GAST Offense	12	44%	41%	17.3	29.3	206.8	7.1	12	15	6	.29	1.7	34%	37%	.41	4%	1.8

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2018 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7 #104
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #60
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #112

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: Georgia State: -7.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.7 Georgia State: -20.4

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -7.7 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4 #124
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #108
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.5
Defense: 34.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.7

Western Michigan's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 30
Western Michigan 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia State 30
Western Michigan 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Western Michigan 33
Georgia State 29

Total Points: 62

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 37.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Georgia State's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 1 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/14	Western Michigan	57	Georgia State	10	Western Michigan -9	Western Michigan	69.5	Under
2018	09/22	Georgia State	15	Western Michigan	34	Western Michigan -8.5	Western Michigan	61.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	0	0	0 Overs
Western Michigan	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#) WMU at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WMU	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#124
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#84	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Michigan Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	WMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#112
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 87°

Rematch from Week 4
Western Michigan 8.5 (61.0)
Western Michigan won at Georgia State this year (34-15)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD