Georgia State at Troy - 2018 Matchup Preview

Thursday, October 4th 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
Troy -17 (55.5)
Troy 37 - Georgia State: 20 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (2 - 10) (1 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 37 (21 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TROY 2nd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 6th straight game
GAST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -14 (SP+ TROY -23)
Projected Score: GAST: 20 - TROY: 41 (61)
TROY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
GAST Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Trojans (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
TROY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Georgia State vs Kennesaw State	-13.5
Sat 9/8	Georgia State at NC State	+25.0	56.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
Fri 9/14	Georgia State at Memphis	+28.5	63.0	L 22 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/22	Georgia State vs Western Michigan	+8.5	61.0	L 15 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/29	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	+6.0	65.0	W 46 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/4	Georgia State at Troy	+17.0	55.5	L 20 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/18	Georgia State at Arkansas State	+13.5	55.5	L 35 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/27	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	+2.5	61.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/3	Georgia State vs Texas State	-7.0	53.0	L 30 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/10	Georgia State at Louisiana	+13.5	70.0	L 22 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/17	Georgia State at App State	+27.5	54.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/24	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	+10.0	60.0	L 14 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Troy's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Troy vs Boise State	+9.0	48.5	L 20 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/8	Troy vs Florida A&M	-34.5	59.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Troy at Nebraska	+13.0	55.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Troy at UL Monroe	-4.5	59.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Troy vs Coastal Carolina	-13.5	57.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Thu 10/4	Troy vs Georgia State	-17.0	55.5	W 37 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/13	Troy at Liberty	-12.0	62.5	L 16 - 22	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23	Troy at South Alabama	-11.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Troy vs Louisiana	-7.5	64.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Troy at Georgia Southern	-2.0	44.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Troy vs Texas State	-23.0	47.5	W 12 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/24	Troy at App State	+12.0	45.0	L 10 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/22	Troy vs Buffalo	+2.0	50.5	W 42 - 32	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.18	44%	23.8	45%	2.86	172	41%	207	3.7	.39	48%	37.4	43%	54%	4.04	44.2	1.5	0.9
TROY	.18	42%	30.7	38%	2.71	175	42%	215	3.56	.12	41%	22	40%	41%	3.45	55.9	1.6	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)		42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)		45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	12	23.8	20.5	43.8%	3.7	1.5	20	379	172	207	4.5	54%	44%	45%	41%	16%	.18
TROY Defense	13	22	21.2	40.9%	3.45	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	40%	41%	20%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	12	37.4	44.8	48.2%	4.04	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	43%	54%	10%	.39
TROY Offense	13	30.7	33.2	41.6%	3.56	1.6	19	390	175	215	4.7	52%	46%	38%	42%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	12	33:09	20.3	41%	59%	4.2	44.2	1.5	0.9	3.6	1.1	2	26.3
Troy	13	30:02	19.1	38%	48%	7	55.9	1.6	2.3	7.7	3	3	31.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	12	54%	45%	38.5	172.2	4.5	20	.09	2.86	72%	12%	0.98
TROY Defense	13	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.58	67%	14%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	12	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.22	81%	7%	1.24
TROY Offense	13	52%	38%	37.2	174.5	4.7	21	.12	2.71	79%	10%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	12	44%	41%	17.3	29.3	206.8	7.1	12	15	6	.29	1.7	34%	37%	.41	4%	1.8
TROY Defense	13	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.29	1.7	34%	33%	.35	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	12	40%	54%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.64	1.7	27%	38%	.51	4%	2
TROY Offense	13	46%	42%	19.1	28.7	215.3	7.5	11.3	25	8	.27	1.5	33%	26%	.23	5%	2.1

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4 #124
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #108
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: Troy: 3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -20.4 Troy: 2.6

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 3.8 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2018 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.6 #62
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #89
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 37.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.8

Georgia State's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 1 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 41
Georgia State 20

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 45
Georgia State 17

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Troy 37
Georgia State 22

Total Points: 59

Troy Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Troy's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Troy	31	Georgia State	19	Troy -9.5	Troy	51.0	Under
2023	09/30	Georgia State	7	Troy	28	Georgia State -1	Troy	50.5	Under
2021	11/27	Georgia State	37	Troy	10	Georgia State -6.5	Georgia State	49.5	Under
2020	10/24	Troy	34	Georgia State	36	Troy -1.5	Georgia State	68.5	Over
2019	10/26	Georgia State	52	Troy	33	Troy -1	Georgia State	67.0	Over
2018	10/04	Troy	37	Georgia State	20	Troy -17	Push	55.5	Over
2017	10/21	Georgia State	10	Troy	34	Troy -7	Troy	51.5	Under
2016	10/15	Troy	31	Georgia State	21	Troy -16.5	Georgia State	54.0	Under
2015	11/27	Georgia State	31	Troy	21	Georgia State -1	Georgia State	56.0	Under
2014	11/08	Troy	45	Georgia State	21	Troy -8.5	Troy	0
2013	10/12	Georgia State	28	Troy	35	Troy -16	Georgia State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	7	4	3 Overs
Georgia State	4	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 4	6 - 4	4 - 3	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 7	4 - 6	1 - 2	3 - 4

(#) GAST at (#) TROY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	TROY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#62
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#95	#113
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia State Injury Report

Troy Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	TROY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#48
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 85°

Rematch from Week 6
Troy -17.0 (55.5)
Troy won vs Georgia State this year (37-20)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Georgia State in 2023 (28-7)

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TROY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD