Boise State at Nevada - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 13th 2018 (10:30 PM EDT)
Boise State -15 (59.5)
Boise State 31 - Nevada: 27 (Mountain West)

Broncos (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEV 2nd straight Home Game
NEV is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ BSU -12.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 26 - NEV: 21 (47)
BSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
BSU Travel: 337 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wolf Pack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Boise State at Troy	-9.0	48.5	W 56 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Boise State vs UConn	-34.0	63.5	W 62 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Boise State at Oklahoma State	-2.0	65.5	L 21 - 44	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	Boise State at Wyoming	-15.5	47.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Boise State vs San Diego State	-13.5	50.0	L 13 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/13	Boise State at Nevada	-15.0	59.5	W 31 - 27	U	N
Fri 10/19	Boise State vs Colorado State	-24.0	63.5	W 56 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Boise State at Air Force	-10.0	58.0	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/3	Boise State vs BYU	-12.0	53.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
Fri 11/9	Boise State vs Fresno State	+2.5	56.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/16	Boise State at New Mexico	-21.0	61.0	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Boise State vs Utah State	-2.5	65.0	W 33 - 24	U	Y
Sat 12/1	Boise State vs Fresno State	-2.0	51.5	L 16 - 19	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Nevada's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Nevada vs Portland State	-28.0	71.0	W 72 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Nevada at Vanderbilt	+10.0	59.5	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/15	Nevada vs Oregon State	-4.0	67.0	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/22	Nevada at Toledo	+10.5	67.5	L 44 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/29	Nevada at Air Force	+3.5	64.0	W 28 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Nevada vs Fresno State	+15.0	59.0	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/13	Nevada vs Boise State	+15.0	59.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Nevada at Hawai'i	+3.0	67.0	W 40 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Nevada vs San Diego State	-1.0	45.5	W 28 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10	Nevada vs Colorado State	-14.0	61.5	W 49 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Nevada at San José State	-14.5	59.5	W 21 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/24	Nevada at UNLV	-14.0	60.5	L 29 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/29	Nevada vs Arkansas State	-1.5	56.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.16	45%	29.9	42%	2.62	143	45%	263	3.32	.1	41%	24.1	39%	43%	3.5	50	0.9	1.7
NEV	.16	41%	17.6	43%	2.95	127	39%	270	3.99	.24	50%	27.5	47%	52%	3.31	43.3	1.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	14	29.9	19.8	44.7%	3.32	0.9	21	406	143	263	3.8	50%	48%	42%	45%	13%	.16
NEV Defense	12	27.5	25.2	49.6%	3.31	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	47%	52%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	14	24.1	23.8	41.3%	3.5	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	39%	43%	17%	.1
NEV Offense	12	17.6	19.7	41.4%	3.99	1.8	20	398	127	270	4.2	43%	56%	43%	39%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	14	31:15	21.1	46%	18%	5.9	50	0.9	1.7	5.7	2.4	3	34.1
Nevada	12	25:44	19.8	40%	39%	4.8	43.3	1.8	1.6	6.8	1.9	1	31.5

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	14	50%	42%	38	143.1	3.8	25	-.01	2.62	70%	9%	0.79
NEV Defense	12	59%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.96	71%	11%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	14	47%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.57	68%	10%	0.93
NEV Offense	12	43%	43%	30.2	127.2	4.2	12	.05	2.95	70%	9%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	14	48%	45%	20.1	32.1	262.6	8.2	13.1	26	7	.37	1.6	32%	37%	.4	4%	1.7
NEV Defense	12	40%	52%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.44	1.6	29%	44%	.53	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	14	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.4	31%	30%	.16	7%	1.7
NEV Offense	12	56%	39%	22.5	37.6	270.4	7.2	12	30	15	.27	1.8	31%	32%	.37	6%	2

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #28
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #18
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #37

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: Nevada: 2.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 12.2 Nevada: -0.5

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 2.25 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2018 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.5 #77
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #82
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #63

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 26
Nevada 21

Projected Total Points: 47

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/24	Nevada	3	Boise State	24	Boise State -20.5	Boise State	51.5	Under
2024	11/09	Boise State	28	Nevada	21	Boise State -23.5	Nevada	60.5	Under
2022	11/12	Nevada	3	Boise State	41	Boise State -21	Boise State	47.0	Under
2021	10/02	Boise State	31	Nevada	41	Boise State -3.5	Nevada	59.0	Over
2018	10/13	Nevada	27	Boise State	31	Boise State -15	Nevada	59.5	Under
2017	11/04	Boise State	41	Nevada	14	Boise State -20.5	Boise State	63.0	Under
2014	10/04	Nevada	46	Boise State	51	Boise State -1.5	Boise State	0
2013	10/19	Boise State	34	Nevada	17	Boise State -21.5	Nevada	0
2012	12/01	Nevada	21	Boise State	27
2011	10/01	Boise State	30	Nevada	10
2010	11/26	Nevada	34	Boise State	31
2009	11/27	Boise State	44	Nevada	33
2008	11/22	Nevada	34	Boise State	41
2007	10/14	Boise State	69	Nevada	67
2006	11/25	Nevada	7	Boise State	38
2005	10/29	Boise State	49	Nevada	14
2004	11/27	Nevada	21	Boise State	58
2003	11/29	Boise State	56	Nevada	3
2001	10/27	Boise State	49	Nevada	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	2	4	1 Overs
Boise State	17	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	2 - 6	1 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 10	6 - 2	3 - 1	3 - 1

(#) BSU at (#) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#77
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#65	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boise State Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Boise State 15.0 (59.5)
Boise State won at Nevada this year (31-27)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Nevada last year (24-3)
Boise State beat Nevada in 2024 (28-21)

BSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD