Oregon State at Nevada - 2018 Matchup Preview

Oregon State Beavers at Nevada Wolf Pack

Saturday, September 15th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
Nevada -4 (67.0)
Nevada 37 - Oregon State: 35

Beavers (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -10.5 (SP+ NEV -16)
Projected Score: ORST: 21 - NEV: 26 (47)
NEV Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 389 miles

Wolf Pack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Oregon State at Ohio State	+40.0	62.0	L 31 - 77	O	N
Sat 9/8	Oregon State vs Southern Utah	-11.0	70.0	W 48 - 25	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Oregon State at Nevada	+4.0	67.0	L 35 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Oregon State vs Arizona	+4.0	72.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/29	Oregon State at Arizona State	+21.5	64.0	L 24 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/6	Oregon State vs Washington State	+17.0	64.5	L 37 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Oregon State vs California	+8.5	58.0	L 7 - 49	U	N
Sat 10/27	Oregon State at Colorado	+26.5	59.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Oregon State vs USC	+15.0	64.5	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/10	Oregon State at Stanford	+23.5	61.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/17	Oregon State at Washington	+32.5	57.5	L 23 - 42	O	Y
Fri 11/23	Oregon State vs Oregon	+18.0	71.0	L 15 - 55	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Nevada's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Nevada vs Portland State	-28.0	71.0	W 72 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Nevada at Vanderbilt	+10.0	59.5	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/15	Nevada vs Oregon State	-4.0	67.0	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/22	Nevada at Toledo	+10.5	67.5	L 44 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/29	Nevada at Air Force	+3.5	64.0	W 28 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Nevada vs Fresno State	+15.0	59.0	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/13	Nevada vs Boise State	+15.0	59.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Nevada at Hawai'i	+3.0	67.0	W 40 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Nevada vs San Diego State	-1.0	45.5	W 28 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10	Nevada vs Colorado State	-14.0	61.5	W 49 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Nevada at San José State	-14.5	59.5	W 21 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/24	Nevada at UNLV	-14.0	60.5	L 29 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/29	Nevada vs Arkansas State	-1.5	56.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	.13	44%	17.6	45%	2.69	138	41%	196	3.19	.33	51%	29.4	50%	50%	4.73	68	2.3	1.2
NEV	.16	41%	17.6	43%	2.95	127	39%	270	3.99	.24	50%	27.5	47%	52%	3.31	43.3	1.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	12	17.6	11.8	44.1%	3.19	2.3	19	334	138	196	4	50%	48%	45%	41%	16%	.13
NEV Defense	12	27.5	25.2	49.6%	3.31	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	47%	52%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	12	29.4	35.2	50.8%	4.73	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	50%	50%	12%	.33
NEV Offense	12	17.6	19.7	41.4%	3.99	1.8	20	398	127	270	4.2	43%	56%	43%	39%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	12	29:11	19	40%	62%	7	68	2.3	1.2	4.1	1.2	1	28.7
Nevada	12	25:44	19.8	40%	39%	4.8	43.3	1.8	1.6	6.8	1.9	1	31.5

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	12	50%	45%	34.3	137.5	4	18	.09	2.69	68%	10%	0.89
NEV Defense	12	59%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.96	71%	11%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	12	56%	50%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.27	82%	7%	1.03
NEV Offense	12	43%	43%	30.2	127.2	4.2	12	.05	2.95	70%	9%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	12	48%	41%	17.8	30.2	196.3	6.5	11	11	12	.19	1.5	31%	33%	.26	6%	1.7
NEV Defense	12	40%	52%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.44	1.6	29%	44%	.53	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	12	42%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.48	1.7	28%	46%	.56	4%	1.8
NEV Offense	12	56%	39%	22.5	37.6	270.4	7.2	12	30	15	.27	1.8	31%	32%	.37	6%	2

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #111
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.4 #126

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: Nevada: 2.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -16.0 Nevada: -0.5

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 2.25 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2018 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.5 #77
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #82
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #63

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Nevada 26
Oregon State 21

Projected Total Points: 47

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Nevada	42	Oregon State	37	Oregon State -3	Nevada	47.0	Over
2018	09/15	Nevada	37	Oregon State	35	Nevada -4	Oregon State	67.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	2	1	2 Overs
Oregon State	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#) ORST at (#) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORST	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#77
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#68	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oregon State Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	ORST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Nevada -4.0 (67.0)
Nevada won vs Oregon State this year (37-35)

Previous Matchups
Nevada beat Oregon State in 2024 (42-37)

ORST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD