San Diego State at Nevada - 2018 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at Nevada Wolf Pack

Saturday, October 27th 2018 (10:30 PM EDT)
Nevada -1 (45.5)
Nevada 28 - San Diego State: 24 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (7 - 6) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEV is playing their 9th straight game
SDSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ SDSU -6.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 24 - NEV: 18 (42)
NEV Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
SDSU Travel: 491 miles

Wolf Pack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	San Diego State at Stanford	+13.5	49.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/8	San Diego State vs Sacramento State	-25.5	58.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/15	San Diego State vs Arizona State	+4.5	48.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/22	San Diego State vs Eastern Michigan	-13.0	48.5	W 23 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	San Diego State at Boise State	+13.5	50.0	W 19 - 13	U	Y
Fri 10/12	San Diego State vs Air Force	-11.0	43.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/20	San Diego State vs San José State	-25.5	44.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/27	San Diego State at Nevada	+1.0	45.5	L 24 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/3	San Diego State at New Mexico	-12.0	45.5	W 31 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/10	San Diego State vs UNLV	-24.0	51.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/17	San Diego State at Fresno State	+13.0	42.5	L 14 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/24	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-18.0	54.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Wed 12/19	San Diego State vs Ohio	+2.5	49.0	L 0 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Nevada's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Nevada vs Portland State	-28.0	71.0	W 72 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Nevada at Vanderbilt	+10.0	59.5	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/15	Nevada vs Oregon State	-4.0	67.0	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/22	Nevada at Toledo	+10.5	67.5	L 44 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/29	Nevada at Air Force	+3.5	64.0	W 28 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Nevada vs Fresno State	+15.0	59.0	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/13	Nevada vs Boise State	+15.0	59.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Nevada at Hawai'i	+3.0	67.0	W 40 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Nevada vs San Diego State	-1.0	45.5	W 28 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10	Nevada vs Colorado State	-14.0	61.5	W 49 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Nevada at San José State	-14.5	59.5	W 21 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/24	Nevada at UNLV	-14.0	60.5	L 29 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/29	Nevada vs Arkansas State	-1.5	56.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.22	44%	26.4	43%	2.99	252	41%	148	3.43	.09	40%	15.4	43%	34%	3.27	58.3	1	1.5
NEV	.16	41%	17.6	43%	2.95	127	39%	270	3.99	.24	50%	27.5	47%	52%	3.31	43.3	1.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	13	26.4	18.2	43.5%	3.43	1	20	400	252	148	5.7	64%	34%	43%	41%	14%	.22
NEV Defense	12	27.5	25.2	49.6%	3.31	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	47%	52%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	13	15.4	18.3	40.1%	3.27	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	43%	34%	15%	.09
NEV Offense	12	17.6	19.7	41.4%	3.99	1.8	20	398	127	270	4.2	43%	56%	43%	39%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	13	31:54	19.7	45%	44%	6.5	58.3	1	1.5	4.5	1.8	6	31.7
Nevada	12	25:44	19.8	40%	39%	4.8	43.3	1.8	1.6	6.8	1.9	1	31.5

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	13	64%	43%	44.2	252.5	5.7	33	.21	2.99	70%	11%	1.22
NEV Defense	12	59%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.96	71%	11%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	13	56%	43%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.92	68%	9%	0.81
NEV Offense	12	43%	43%	30.2	127.2	4.2	12	.05	2.95	70%	9%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	13	34%	41%	11.5	19.4	147.7	7.6	12.8	13	4	.27	1.6	34%	34%	.35	4%	1.9
NEV Defense	12	40%	52%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.44	1.6	29%	44%	.53	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	13	43%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.16	1.7	31%	28%	.24	6%	1.9
NEV Offense	12	56%	39%	22.5	37.6	270.4	7.2	12	30	15	.27	1.8	31%	32%	.37	6%	2

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2018 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0 #47
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #92
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #24

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: Nevada: 2.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 6.0 Nevada: -0.5

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 2.25 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2018 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.5 #77
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #82
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #63

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 24
Nevada 18

Projected Total Points: 42

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Nevada	10	San Diego State	44	San Diego State -6.5	San Diego State	42.5	Over
2023	10/21	San Diego State	0	Nevada	6	San Diego State -11	Nevada	48.5	Under
2022	10/22	Nevada	7	San Diego State	23	San Diego State -7.5	San Diego State	36.0	Under
2021	11/13	San Diego State	23	Nevada	21	San Diego State -2.5	Nevada	45.0	Under
2020	11/21	Nevada	26	San Diego State	21	San Diego State -1.5	Nevada	46.5	Over
2019	11/09	San Diego State	13	Nevada	17	San Diego State -17	Nevada	39.5	Under
2018	10/27	Nevada	28	San Diego State	24	Nevada -1	Nevada	45.5	Over
2017	11/18	San Diego State	42	Nevada	23	San Diego State -17.5	San Diego State	56.0	Over
2016	11/12	Nevada	16	San Diego State	46	San Diego State -20.5	San Diego State	50.5	Over
2015	11/28	San Diego State	31	Nevada	14	San Diego State -14	San Diego State	48.5	Under
2014	11/01	Nevada	30	San Diego State	14	Nevada -6	Nevada	0
2013	10/04	San Diego State	51	Nevada	44	San Diego State -5.5	San Diego State	0
2012	10/20	Nevada	38	San Diego State	39
2004	09/25	San Diego State	27	Nevada	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	5	6	5 Overs
San Diego State	9	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 6	6 - 6	5 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 8	6 - 6	3 - 1	3 - 5

(#) SDSU at (#) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#77
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#79	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Nevada -1.0 (45.5)
Nevada won vs San Diego State this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Nevada last year (44-10)
Nevada beat San Diego State in 2023 (6-0)

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD