New Mexico State at Utah State - 2018 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Utah State AggiesUtah State logo
Saturday, September 8th 2018 (8:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -23 (62.0)
Utah State 60 - New Mexico State: 13

 
Aggies (3 - 9) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 41 (20 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -19.5  (SP+ USU -34)
Projected Score: NMSU: 17 - USU: 42 (59)
USU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
NMSU Travel: 711 miles
Aggies (11 - 2) (8 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 22 (60 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/25 New Mexico State vs Wyoming+5.047.0L 7 - 29UN
Thu 8/30 New Mexico State at Minnesota+21.549.0L 10 - 48ON
Sat 9/8 New Mexico State at Utah State+23.062.0L 13 - 60ON
Sat 9/15 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+3.060.5L 25 - 42ON
Sat 9/22 New Mexico State at UTEP-4.550.5W 27 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 New Mexico State vs Liberty+3.064.0W 49 - 41OY
Sat 10/13 New Mexico State at Louisiana+7.566.5L 38 - 66ON
Sat 10/20 New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern+9.552.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/27 New Mexico State at Texas State+1.056.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 11/3 New Mexico State vs Alcorn State-13.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 New Mexico State at BYU+25.558.0L 10 - 45UN
Sat 11/24 New Mexico State at Liberty+7.072.5L 21 - 28UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Utah State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Utah State at Michigan State+23.552.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 9/8 Utah State vs New Mexico State-23.062.0W 60 - 13OY
Thu 9/13 Utah State vs Tennessee Tech-30.5
Sat 9/22 Utah State vs Air Force-10.059.5W 42 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/5 Utah State at BYU+1.055.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/13 Utah State vs UNLV-27.065.0W 59 - 28OY
Sat 10/20 Utah State at Wyoming-13.549.0W 24 - 16UN
Sat 10/27 Utah State vs New Mexico-20.064.0W 61 - 19OY
Sat 11/3 Utah State at Hawai'i-19.071.0W 56 - 17OY
Sat 11/10 Utah State vs San José State-31.063.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 11/17 Utah State at Colorado State-30.566.5W 29 - 24UN
Sat 11/24 Utah State at Boise State+2.565.0L 24 - 33UN
Sat 12/15 Utah State vs North Texas-7.067.5W 52 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.0739%25.343%2.8110636%2602.81.2146%41.347%43%4.3952.82.11.3
USU.3550%47.546%2.8220251%2934.49.0339%22.238%37%2.5570.11.32.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)46% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)43% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1225.319.939.1%2.812.1203661062603.635%63%43%36%18%.07
USU Defense1322.221.339.1%2.552.4 - - - - - 51%47%38%37%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1241.34246.3%4.391.3 - - - - - 61%37%47%43%14%.21
USU Offense1347.559.549.9%4.491.3234952022935.644%54%46%51%13%.35

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1224:5220.436%48%6.352.82.11.36.22.3727.6
Utah State1327:3923.147%60%7.770.11.32.46.32.11032.5
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1235%43%29.4105.83.614.132.8168%10%1.03
USU Defense1351%38% - - - - .012.5868%11%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1261%47% - - - - .183.1675%9%1
USU Offense1344%46%36.4202.25.637.212.8272%8%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1263%36%24.844.8260.35.810.51616.061.537%31%.269%1.9
USU Defense1347%37% - - - - - - 22.061.733%28%.117%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1237%43% - - - - - - 6.281.731%39%.464%1.9
USU Offense1354%51%23.235.7293.18.212.6326.491.630%41%.664%2.1

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2018 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2  #123
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #116
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Utah State: 9.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -20.2   Utah State: 14.2




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 9.6 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2  #21
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #22
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #34

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.9
Defense: 41.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

New Mexico State's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 42
New Mexico State 17

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 38
New Mexico State 12

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 47
New Mexico State 22

Total Points: 69
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 47.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 59.5
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Utah State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/06New Mexico State13Utah State35Utah State -18Utah State72.0Under
201809/08Utah State60New Mexico State13Utah State -23Utah State62.0Over
201712/29Utah State20New Mexico State26New Mexico State -4New Mexico State61.0Under
201210/20Utah State41New Mexico State7
201112/03New Mexico State21Utah State24
201011/06Utah State27New Mexico State22
200910/10New Mexico State20Utah State17
200811/29Utah State47New Mexico State2
200711/17New Mexico State17Utah State35
200611/25Utah State20New Mexico State42
200511/26New Mexico State21Utah State24
200411/20Utah State34New Mexico State25
200311/06New Mexico State26Utah State21
200211/09Utah State32New Mexico State30
200011/03New Mexico State37Utah State44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State1121 Overs
New Mexico State412 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 71 - 21 - 00 - 2
Road Teams7 - 82 - 12 - 00 - 1

(#) NMSU at (#) USU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUUSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #21
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #127 #102
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCatUSU OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #113
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCatUSU OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 89° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Utah State -23.0 (62.0)
Utah State won vs New Mexico State this year (60-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD