New Mexico State at BYU - 2018 Matchup Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at BYU Cougars

Saturday, November 17th 2018 (10:15 PM EST)
BYU -25.5 (58.0)
BYU 45 - New Mexico State: 10

Aggies (3 - 9) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NMSU coming off BYE
BYU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -15.5 (SP+ BYU -26)
Projected Score: NMSU: 18 - BYU: 35 (53)
BYU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
NMSU Travel: 615 miles

Cougars (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NMSU Players
BYU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/25	New Mexico State vs Wyoming	+5.0	47.0	L 7 - 29	U	N
Thu 8/30	New Mexico State at Minnesota	+21.5	49.0	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/8	New Mexico State at Utah State	+23.0	62.0	L 13 - 60	O	N
Sat 9/15	New Mexico State vs New Mexico	+3.0	60.5	L 25 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/22	New Mexico State at UTEP	-4.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	New Mexico State vs Liberty	+3.0	64.0	W 49 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/13	New Mexico State at Louisiana	+7.5	66.5	L 38 - 66	O	N
Sat 10/20	New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern	+9.5	52.5	L 31 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/27	New Mexico State at Texas State	+1.0	56.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/3	New Mexico State vs Alcorn State	-13.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17	New Mexico State at BYU	+25.5	58.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/24	New Mexico State at Liberty	+7.0	72.5	L 21 - 28	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

BYU's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	BYU at Arizona	+10.0	60.5	W 28 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/8	BYU vs California	-2.5	47.5	L 18 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/15	BYU at Wisconsin	+23.5	51.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/22	BYU vs McNeese	-24.5	41.5	W 30 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/29	BYU at Washington	+18.5	47.5	L 7 - 35	U	N
Fri 10/5	BYU vs Utah State	-1.0	55.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/13	BYU vs Hawai'i	-10.5	58.0	W 49 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27	BYU vs Northern Illinois	-6.5	43.5	L 6 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/3	BYU at Boise State	+12.0	53.5	L 16 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/10	BYU at Massachusetts	-14.0	57.0	W 35 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/17	BYU vs New Mexico State	-25.5	58.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/24	BYU at Utah	+10.5	44.5	L 27 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/21	BYU vs Western Michigan	-10.0	52.0	W 49 - 18	O	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.14	42%	21.6	43%	2.96	107	40%	340	3.58	.11	41%	27.6	41%	40%	3.17	56.1	2.2	2.1
BYU	.07	40%	31.4	43%	3.14	131	36%	195	3.08	.14	45%	19.1	42%	45%	3.47	39.2	2.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	13	21.6	20	41.7%	3.58	2.2	22	447	107	340	3.9	33%	66%	43%	40%	18%	.14
BYU Defense	13	19.1	13.7	44.5%	3.47	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	42%	45%	13%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	13	27.6	37.5	41.3%	3.17	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	40%	18%	.11
BYU Offense	13	31.4	40.5	39.9%	3.08	2.1	17	325	131	195	4.2	47%	52%	43%	36%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	13	28:20	22.3	44%	54%	6.8	56.1	2.2	2.1	7.3	3.4	3	29.3
BYU	13	27:53	16.5	36%	31%	4.5	39.2	2.1	1.3	4.3	1.3	1	30.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	13	33%	43%	27.5	106.8	3.9	18	.11	2.96	66%	9%	0.93
BYU Defense	13	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.89	76%	8%	0.74

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.77	70%	12%	1.01
BYU Offense	13	47%	43%	31.1	130.5	4.2	12	.09	3.14	73%	7%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	13	66%	40%	30.5	49.3	340.2	6.9	11.1	29	22	.17	1.5	37%	37%	.41	9%	1.9
BYU Defense	13	44%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.32	1.5	29%	34%	.27	5%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.15	1.5	33%	31%	.26	7%	2
BYU Offense	13	52%	36%	17.5	32.2	194.6	6.1	11.1	13	19	.06	1.5	33%	28%	.12	11%	1.7

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2018 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #123
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: BYU: 5.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -20.2 BYU: 6.2

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 5.6 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2018 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2 #46
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #72
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #33

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 35
New Mexico State 18

Projected Total Points: 53

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	11/17	BYU	45	New Mexico State	10	BYU -25.5	BYU	58.0	Under
2012	11/24	New Mexico State	14	BYU	50
2011	11/19	BYU	42	New Mexico State	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
BYU	3	1	0 Overs
New Mexico State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) NMSU at (#) BYU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NMSU	BYU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#46
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#127	#56
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico State Injury Report

BYU Injury Report

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	BYU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#33
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

BYU on Offense


CategoryCat	BYU Off	NMSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

BYU Run Game


CategoryCat	BYU Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

BYU Pass Game


CategoryCat	BYU Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
BYU -25.5 (58.0)
BYU won vs New Mexico State this year (45-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BYU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD