New Mexico State at Louisiana - 2018 Matchup Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Saturday, October 13th 2018 (5:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana -7.5 (66.5)
Louisiana 66 - New Mexico State: 38

Aggies (3 - 9) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 41 (20 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.8 MPH
ULL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ ULL -13)
Projected Score: NMSU: 29 - ULL: 37 (66)
ULL Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 879 miles, 1 hrs behind

Ragin' Cajuns (7 - 7) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 34 (46 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NMSU Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/25	New Mexico State vs Wyoming	+5.0	47.0	L 7 - 29	U	N
Thu 8/30	New Mexico State at Minnesota	+21.5	49.0	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/8	New Mexico State at Utah State	+23.0	62.0	L 13 - 60	O	N
Sat 9/15	New Mexico State vs New Mexico	+3.0	60.5	L 25 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/22	New Mexico State at UTEP	-4.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	New Mexico State vs Liberty	+3.0	64.0	W 49 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/13	New Mexico State at Louisiana	+7.5	66.5	L 38 - 66	O	N
Sat 10/20	New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern	+9.5	52.5	L 31 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/27	New Mexico State at Texas State	+1.0	56.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/3	New Mexico State vs Alcorn State	-13.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17	New Mexico State at BYU	+25.5	58.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/24	New Mexico State at Liberty	+7.0	72.5	L 21 - 28	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

Louisiana's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Louisiana vs Grambling	-14.0	61.0	W 49 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15	Louisiana at Mississippi State	+34.0	62.5	L 10 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/22	Louisiana vs Coastal Carolina	-3.0	61.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/29	Louisiana at Alabama	+49.0	70.0	L 14 - 56	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Louisiana at Texas State	-3.0	57.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Louisiana vs New Mexico State	-7.5	66.5	W 66 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Louisiana at App State	+25.0	65.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	+3.0	69.0	W 47 - 43	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Louisiana at Troy	+7.5	64.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/10	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-13.5	70.0	W 36 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-19.0	66.0	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/24	Louisiana at UL Monroe	+1.5	71.0	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 12/1	Louisiana at App State	+17.5	54.0	L 19 - 30	U	Y
Sat 12/15	Louisiana vs Tulane	+3.5	60.5	L 24 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.07	39%	25.3	43%	2.81	106	36%	260	2.81	.21	46%	41.3	47%	43%	4.39	52.8	2.1	1.3
ULL	.26	44%	31.9	44%	3.17	219	42%	206	3.99	.29	47%	34.2	47%	44%	4.2	44	1.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)		46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (64)		43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	12	25.3	19.9	39.1%	2.81	2.1	20	366	106	260	3.6	35%	63%	43%	36%	18%	.07
ULL Defense	14	34.2	31.3	46.7%	4.2	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	60%	38%	47%	44%	12%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	12	41.3	42	46.3%	4.39	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	47%	43%	14%	.21
ULL Offense	14	31.9	45.7	44.4%	3.99	1.2	20	424	219	206	5.5	57%	41%	44%	42%	16%	.26

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	12	24:52	20.4	36%	48%	6.3	52.8	2.1	1.3	6.2	2.3	7	27.6
Louisiana	14	28:33	19.7	47%	42%	4.9	44	1.2	1.1	4.5	1.9	0	30.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	12	35%	43%	29.4	105.8	3.6	14	.13	2.81	68%	10%	1.03
ULL Defense	14	60%	47%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.22	78%	7%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	12	61%	47%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.16	75%	9%	1
ULL Offense	14	57%	44%	39.5	218.7	5.5	31	.22	3.17	71%	11%	1.17

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	12	63%	36%	24.8	44.8	260.3	5.8	10.5	16	16	.06	1.5	37%	31%	.26	9%	1.9
ULL Defense	14	38%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.4	1.7	30%	35%	.37	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	12	37%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.28	1.7	31%	39%	.46	4%	1.9
ULL Offense	14	41%	42%	15.7	24.9	205.6	8.3	13.1	27	14	.35	1.8	30%	37%	.46	5%	2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2018 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #123
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: Louisiana: -0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -20.2 Louisiana: -6.9

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -0.95 NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana's 2018 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #94
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #52
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.9
Defense: 41.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

New Mexico State's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 37
New Mexico State 29

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana 33
New Mexico State 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana 40
New Mexico State 28

Total Points: 68

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Louisiana's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	10/13	Louisiana	66	New Mexico State	38	Louisiana -7.5	Louisiana	66.5	Over
2017	11/18	Louisiana	47	New Mexico State	34	New Mexico State -3.5	Louisiana	65.0	Over
2016	10/01	New Mexico State	37	Louisiana	31	Louisiana -8	New Mexico State	67.5	Over
2015	11/21	Louisiana	34	New Mexico State	37	Louisiana -15.5	New Mexico State	62.0	Over
2014	11/08	New Mexico State	16	Louisiana	44	Louisiana -16.5	Louisiana	67.0	Under
2013	11/02	Louisiana	49	New Mexico State	35	Louisiana -27	New Mexico State	0
2004	10/09	New Mexico State	35	Louisiana	32
2003	10/16	Louisiana	26	New Mexico State	24
2002	10/12	New Mexico State	31	Louisiana	28
2001	11/17	Louisiana	46	New Mexico State	49

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	5	3	4 Overs
New Mexico State	5	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 3	3 - 3	1 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 7	3 - 3	1 - 2	2 - 1

(#) NMSU at (#) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NMSU	ULL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#94
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#127	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico State Injury Report

Louisiana Injury Report

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ULL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	NMSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Louisiana -7.5 (66.5)
Louisiana won vs New Mexico State this year (66-38)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD