Utah State at BYU - 2018 Matchup Preview
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at BYU Cougars(#23)BYU logo
Friday, October 5th 2018 (9:00 PM EDT)
BYU -1 (55.0)
Utah State 45 - BYU: 20

 
Aggies (11 - 2) (8 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 22 (35 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USU coming off BYE
BYU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ USU -8)
Projected Score: USU: 27 - BYU: 21 (48)
BYU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
USU Travel: 104 miles
Cougars (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (28 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Utah State at Michigan State+23.552.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 9/8 Utah State vs New Mexico State-23.062.0W 60 - 13OY
Thu 9/13 Utah State vs Tennessee Tech-30.5
Sat 9/22 Utah State vs Air Force-10.059.5W 42 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/5 Utah State at BYU+1.055.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/13 Utah State vs UNLV-27.065.0W 59 - 28OY
Sat 10/20 Utah State at Wyoming-13.549.0W 24 - 16UN
Sat 10/27 Utah State vs New Mexico-20.064.0W 61 - 19OY
Sat 11/3 Utah State at Hawai'i-19.071.0W 56 - 17OY
Sat 11/10 Utah State vs San José State-31.063.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 11/17 Utah State at Colorado State-30.566.5W 29 - 24UN
Sat 11/24 Utah State at Boise State+2.565.0L 24 - 33UN
Sat 12/15 Utah State vs North Texas-7.067.5W 52 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
BYU's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 BYU at Arizona+10.060.5W 28 - 23UY
Sat 9/8 BYU vs California-2.547.5L 18 - 21UN
Sat 9/15 BYU at Wisconsin+23.551.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 9/22 BYU vs McNeese-24.541.5W 30 - 3UY
Sat 9/29 BYU at Washington+18.547.5L 7 - 35UN
Fri 10/5 BYU vs Utah State-1.055.0L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/13 BYU vs Hawai'i-10.558.0W 49 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 BYU vs Northern Illinois-6.543.5L 6 - 7UN
Sat 11/3 BYU at Boise State+12.053.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 11/10 BYU at Massachusetts-14.057.0W 35 - 16UY
Sat 11/17 BYU vs New Mexico State-25.558.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 11/24 BYU at Utah+10.544.5L 27 - 35OY
Fri 12/21 BYU vs Western Michigan-10.052.0W 49 - 18OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU.3550%47.546%2.8220251%2934.49.0339%22.238%37%2.5570.11.32.4
BYU.1644%27.245%2.8415342%2123.93.1343%21.444%41%3.4548.71.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1347.534.849.9%4.491.3234952022935.644%54%46%51%13%.35
BYU Defense1321.418.242.6%3.451.4 - - - - - 50%49%44%41%12%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1322.224.739.1%2.552.4 - - - - - 51%47%38%37%18%.03
BYU Offense1327.22844%3.931.3193651532124.151%47%45%42%17%.16

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1327:3923.147%60%7.770.11.32.46.32.11032.5
BYU1330:0619.237%45%5.748.71.31.43.71.6031.4
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1344%46%36.4202.25.637.212.8272%8%1.06
BYU Defense1350%44% - - - - .092.973%8%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1351%38% - - - - .012.5868%11%0.88
BYU Offense1351%45%37.1153.34.127.142.8466%11%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1354%51%23.235.7293.18.212.6326.491.630%41%.664%2.1
BYU Defense1349%41% - - - - - - 9.181.329%30%.264%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1347%37% - - - - - - 22.061.733%28%.117%1.8
BYU Offense1347%42%18.228.7211.87.411.7187.191.532%31%.296%1.8

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2  #21
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #22
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #34

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State:    BYU: 5.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: 14.2   BYU: 6.2




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 5.6 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2018 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #46
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #72
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #33

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 47.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Utah State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 27
BYU 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 22
BYU 15

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 31
BYU 26

Total Points: 57
BYU Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 21.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.2

BYU's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/29BYU38Utah State26BYU -26Utah State60.0Over
202110/01Utah State20BYU34BYU -9BYU66.0Under
201911/02Utah State14BYU42Utah State -3BYU51.0Over
201810/05BYU20Utah State45BYU -1Utah State55.0Over
201709/29Utah State40BYU24Utah State -1Utah State48.5Over
201611/26BYU28Utah State10BYU -17BYU51.5Under
201511/28Utah State28BYU51BYU -2BYU51.0Over
201410/03BYU20Utah State35BYU -21Utah State0
201310/04Utah State14BYU31Utah State -6BYU0
201210/05BYU6Utah State3
201109/30BYU27Utah State24
201010/01Utah State31BYU16
200910/02BYU35Utah State17
200810/03Utah State14BYU34
200609/23BYU38Utah State0
200210/04Utah State34BYU35
200110/05BYU54Utah State34
200010/05BYU38Utah State14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU1455 Overs
Utah State442 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 82 - 72 - 50 - 2
Road Teams8 - 107 - 22 - 05 - 2

(#) USU at (#) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSUBYU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #46
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #102 #56
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCat
USU OffBYU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCat
USU OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCatBYU OffUSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCatBYU OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 53° - Wind: 5 mph
Rematch from Week 6
BYU -1.0 (55.0)
Utah State won at BYU this year (45-20)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Utah State in 2022 (38-26)

  
USU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BYU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BYU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD