Alcorn State at New Mexico State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Alcorn State Braves at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, November 3rd 2018 (4:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico State -13
New Mexico State 52 - Alcorn State: 42

Braves (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 47 (21 - 47 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ALCN coming off BYE
NMSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ NMSU -20)
NMSU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%

Aggies (3 - 9) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 41 (33 - 40 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALCN Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alcorn State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Alcorn State at Georgia Tech	+43.0	58.5	L 0 - 41	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Alcorn State at New Mexico State	+13.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alcorn State's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/25	New Mexico State vs Wyoming	+5.0	47.0	L 7 - 29	U	N
Thu 8/30	New Mexico State at Minnesota	+21.5	49.0	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/8	New Mexico State at Utah State	+23.0	62.0	L 13 - 60	O	N
Sat 9/15	New Mexico State vs New Mexico	+3.0	60.5	L 25 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/22	New Mexico State at UTEP	-4.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	New Mexico State vs Liberty	+3.0	64.0	W 49 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/13	New Mexico State at Louisiana	+7.5	66.5	L 38 - 66	O	N
Sat 10/20	New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern	+9.5	52.5	L 31 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/27	New Mexico State at Texas State	+1.0	56.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/3	New Mexico State vs Alcorn State	-13.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17	New Mexico State at BYU	+25.5	58.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/24	New Mexico State at Liberty	+7.0	72.5	L 21 - 28	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALCN		0%	21	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	46.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU	.07	39%	25.3	43%	2.81	106	36%	260	2.81	.21	46%	41.3	47%	43%	4.39	52.8	2.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALCN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)		46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (64)		43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALCN Offense	2	21	21	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NMSU Defense	12	41.3	40.4	46.3%	4.39	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	47%	43%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALCN Defense	2	46.5	46.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NMSU Offense	12	25.3	32.8	39.1%	2.81	2.1	20	366	106	260	3.6	35%	63%	43%	36%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alcorn State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
New Mexico State	12	24:52	20.4	36%	48%	6.3	52.8	2.1	1.3	6.2	2.3	7	27.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALCN Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
NMSU Defense	12	61%	47%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.16	75%	9%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALCN Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
NMSU Offense	12	35%	43%	29.4	105.8	3.6	14	.13	2.81	68%	10%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALCN Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
NMSU Defense	12	37%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.28	1.7	31%	39%	.46	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALCN Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
NMSU Offense	12	63%	36%	24.8	44.8	260.3	5.8	10.5	16	16	.06	1.5	37%	31%	.26	9%	1.9

Alcorn State's Power Ratings
Alcorn State's Power Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Offense Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #207
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alcorn State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Alcorn State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State: New Mexico State: -7.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State: New Mexico State: -20.2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -7.6 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2018 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #123
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Alcorn State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 46.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 46.5

Alcorn State's 2018 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 41
Alcorn State 28

Total Points: 69

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico State 43
Alcorn State 25

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
New Mexico State 38
Alcorn State 31

Total Points: 69

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.8
Defense: 41.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 40.4

New Mexico State's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	11/03	New Mexico State	52	Alcorn State	42	New Mexico State -13	Alcorn State	0
2008	10/04	New Mexico State	45	Alcorn State	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	2	0	0 Overs
Alcorn State	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) ALCN at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ALCN	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#123
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#207	#127
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Alcorn State Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

Alcorn State on Offense


CategoryCat	ALCN Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alcorn State Run Game


CategoryCat	ALCN Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Alcorn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALCN Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ALCN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ALCN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ALCN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ALCN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 71° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 10
New Mexico State -13.0 (0)
New Mexico State won vs Alcorn State this year (52-42)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ALCN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alcorn State's Full Roster

ALCN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD