New Mexico at Utah State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 27th 2018 (4:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -20 (64.0)
Utah State 61 - New Mexico: 19 (Mountain West)

Lobos (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (28 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USU is playing their 4th straight game
UNM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -14.5 (SP+ USU -24)
Projected Score: UNM: 27 - USU: 40 (67)
USU Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
UNM Travel: 540 miles

Aggies (11 - 2) (8 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 22 (60 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNM Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	New Mexico vs Incarnate Word	-36.0	63.5	W 62 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/8	New Mexico at Wisconsin	+35.5	58.0	L 14 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/15	New Mexico at New Mexico State	-3.0	60.5	W 42 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	New Mexico vs Liberty	-7.0	65.0	L 43 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/6	New Mexico at UNLV	+8.0	62.5	W 50 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/13	New Mexico at Colorado State	-1.5	63.0	L 18 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/20	New Mexico vs Fresno State	+14.0	52.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/27	New Mexico at Utah State	+20.0	64.0	L 19 - 61	O	N
Sat 11/3	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+12.0	45.5	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/10	New Mexico at Air Force	+14.0	55.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/16	New Mexico vs Boise State	+21.0	61.0	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/24	New Mexico vs Wyoming	+7.0	43.0	L 3 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Utah State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Utah State at Michigan State	+23.5	52.5	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Utah State vs New Mexico State	-23.0	62.0	W 60 - 13	O	Y
Thu 9/13	Utah State vs Tennessee Tech	-30.5
Sat 9/22	Utah State vs Air Force	-10.0	59.5	W 42 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/5	Utah State at BYU	+1.0	55.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Utah State vs UNLV	-27.0	65.0	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Utah State at Wyoming	-13.5	49.0	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/27	Utah State vs New Mexico	-20.0	64.0	W 61 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Utah State at Hawai'i	-19.0	71.0	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Utah State vs San José State	-31.0	63.5	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Utah State at Colorado State	-30.5	66.5	W 29 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/24	Utah State at Boise State	+2.5	65.0	L 24 - 33	U	N
Sat 12/15	Utah State vs North Texas	-7.0	67.5	W 52 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	.11	42%	26.6	44%	2.69	153	36%	178	4.02	.28	47%	36.2	49%	42%	3.81	48.7	2.2	1.8
USU	.35	50%	47.5	46%	2.82	202	51%	293	4.49	.03	39%	22.2	38%	37%	2.55	70.1	1.3	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)		53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)		50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Offense	12	26.6	27.8	41.6%	4.02	2.2	18	331	153	178	3.7	61%	38%	44%	36%	18%	.11
USU Defense	13	22.2	21.3	39.1%	2.55	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	37%	18%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Defense	12	36.2	34.5	46.7%	3.81	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	49%	42%	14%	.28
USU Offense	13	47.5	59.5	49.9%	4.49	1.3	23	495	202	293	5.6	44%	54%	46%	51%	13%	.35

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico	12	27:29	17.5	37%	33%	4.8	48.7	2.2	1.8	5.5	2.2	2	29.7
Utah State	13	27:39	23.1	47%	60%	7.7	70.1	1.3	2.4	6.3	2.1	10	32.5

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Offense	12	61%	44%	42	153.2	3.7	17	.04	2.69	74%	12%	0.82
USU Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.58	68%	11%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Defense	12	54%	49%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.31	75%	9%	1
USU Offense	13	44%	46%	36.4	202.2	5.6	37	.21	2.82	72%	8%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Offense	12	38%	36%	12.8	24	178.1	7.4	14	21	17	.21	2	30%	30%	.36	6%	2.3
USU Defense	13	47%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.06	1.7	33%	28%	.11	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Defense	12	44%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.38	1.9	29%	38%	.48	5%	2
USU Offense	13	54%	51%	23.2	35.7	293.1	8.2	12.6	32	6	.49	1.6	30%	41%	.66	4%	2.1

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2018 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #99
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #106
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #109

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: Utah State: 9.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -9.5 Utah State: 14.2

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 9.6 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2 #21
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #22
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #34

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.5

New Mexico's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 40
New Mexico 27

Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 35
New Mexico 29

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 45
New Mexico 24

Total Points: 69

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 47.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 59.5
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Utah State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	New Mexico	33	Utah State	14	New Mexico -3	New Mexico	61.5	Under
2024	10/19	Utah State	45	New Mexico	50	New Mexico -1	New Mexico	78.5	Over
2023	11/24	New Mexico	41	Utah State	44	Utah State -4.5	New Mexico	58.5	Over
2022	11/05	Utah State	27	New Mexico	10	Utah State -14.5	Utah State	42.5	Under
2021	11/26	New Mexico	10	Utah State	35	Utah State -17	Utah State	48.0	Under
2020	11/26	Utah State	41	New Mexico	27	New Mexico -6	Utah State	49.0	Over
2019	11/30	New Mexico	25	Utah State	38	Utah State -12	Utah State	63.0	Push
2018	10/27	Utah State	61	New Mexico	19	Utah State -20	Utah State	64.0	Over
2017	11/04	New Mexico	10	Utah State	24	New Mexico -3.5	Utah State	52.5	Under
2016	11/12	Utah State	21	New Mexico	24	Utah State -2.5	New Mexico	57.0	Under
2015	11/07	New Mexico	14	Utah State	13	Utah State -14.5	New Mexico	57.5	Under
2014	11/15	Utah State	28	New Mexico	21	Utah State -16	New Mexico	0
2013	10/19	New Mexico	10	Utah State	45	Utah State -10	Utah State	0
2003	10/04	New Mexico	34	Utah State	7
2002	10/19	Utah State	45	New Mexico	44

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	10	7	4 Overs
New Mexico	5	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	6 - 7	3 - 3	3 - 4
Road Teams	7 - 8	7 - 6	4 - 3	3 - 3

(#) UNM at (#) USU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNM	USU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#21
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#93	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico Injury Report

Utah State Injury Report

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	USU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#34
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	UNM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 65°

Rematch from Week 9
Utah State -20.0 (64.0)
Utah State won vs New Mexico this year (61-19)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Utah State last year (50-45)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2023 (44-41)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2022 (27-10)

UNM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD