Utah State at Michigan State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies at Michigan State Spartans

Friday, August 31st 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
Michigan State -23.5 (52.5)
Michigan State 38 - Utah State: 31

Aggies (11 - 2) (8 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 22 (35 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -1 (SP+ USU -2.5)
Projected Score: USU: 27 - MSU: 22 (49)
MSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
USU Travel: 1393 miles, 2 hrs behind

Spartans (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 17 (20 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Utah State at Michigan State	+23.5	52.5	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Utah State vs New Mexico State	-23.0	62.0	W 60 - 13	O	Y
Thu 9/13	Utah State vs Tennessee Tech	-30.5
Sat 9/22	Utah State vs Air Force	-10.0	59.5	W 42 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/5	Utah State at BYU	+1.0	55.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Utah State vs UNLV	-27.0	65.0	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Utah State at Wyoming	-13.5	49.0	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/27	Utah State vs New Mexico	-20.0	64.0	W 61 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Utah State at Hawai'i	-19.0	71.0	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Utah State vs San José State	-31.0	63.5	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Utah State at Colorado State	-30.5	66.5	W 29 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/24	Utah State at Boise State	+2.5	65.0	L 24 - 33	U	N
Sat 12/15	Utah State vs North Texas	-7.0	67.5	W 52 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Michigan State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Michigan State vs Utah State	-23.5	52.5	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/8	Michigan State at Arizona State	-4.5	54.0	L 13 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Michigan State at Indiana	-5.5	51.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-27.5	46.0	W 31 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/6	Michigan State vs Northwestern	-10.5	43.0	L 19 - 29	O	N
Sat 10/13	Michigan State at Penn State	+13.5	53.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Michigan State vs Michigan	+7.5	38.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/27	Michigan State vs Purdue	+2.5	48.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Michigan State at Maryland	-3.0	43.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+3.0	50.0	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/17	Michigan State at Nebraska	+1.5	48.5	L 6 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/24	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-24.5	37.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Mon 12/31	Michigan State vs Oregon	-1.0	47.0	L 6 - 7	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.35	50%	47.5	46%	2.82	202	51%	293	4.49	.03	39%	22.2	38%	37%	2.55	70.1	1.3	2.4
MSU	.02	38%	18.7	37%	2.51	125	36%	217	2.77	.01	37%	17.2	30%	39%	2.29	54.5	1.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	47.5	34.8	49.9%	4.49	1.3	23	495	202	293	5.6	44%	54%	46%	51%	13%	.35
MSU Defense	13	17.2	21.4	36.6%	2.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	57%	30%	39%	20%	.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	22.2	24.7	39.1%	2.55	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	37%	18%	.03
MSU Offense	13	18.7	19.7	37.7%	2.77	1.7	20	342	125	217	3.5	45%	53%	37%	36%	17%	.02

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	27:39	23.1	47%	60%	7.7	70.1	1.3	2.4	6.3	2.1	10	32.5
Michigan State	13	32:50	20.2	33%	37%	6	54.5	1.7	1.8	6.5	2	1	28

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	44%	46%	36.4	202.2	5.6	37	.21	2.82	72%	8%	1.06
MSU Defense	13	41%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.17	2.03	59%	12%	0.79

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.58	68%	11%	0.88
MSU Offense	13	45%	37%	35.8	124.7	3.5	13	.01	2.51	68%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	54%	51%	23.2	35.7	293.1	8.2	12.6	32	6	.49	1.6	30%	41%	.66	4%	2.1
MSU Defense	13	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.16	1.4	36%	27%	.18	9%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	47%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.06	1.7	33%	28%	.11	7%	1.8
MSU Offense	13	53%	36%	19.5	37.8	217.4	5.8	11.1	12	14	.05	1.4	34%	30%	.08	8%	1.5

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2 #21
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #22
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #34

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: Michigan State: 8.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: 14.2 Michigan State: 11.5

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 8.25 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #30
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #111
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 47.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Utah State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 27
Michigan State 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 24
Michigan State 23

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 30
Michigan State 22

Total Points: 52

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 17.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Michigan State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	08/31	Michigan State	38	Utah State	31	Michigan State -23.5	Utah State	52.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	1	0	1 Overs
Utah State	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) USU at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#30
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#102	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Utah State Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#34
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.004

Rematch from Week 1
Michigan State -23.5 (52.5)
Michigan State won vs Utah State this year (38-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD