Utah State at Colorado State - 2018 Matchup Preview
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at Colorado State RamsColorado State logo
Saturday, November 17th 2018 (2:00 PM EST)
Utah State -30.5 (66.5)
Utah State 29 - Colorado State: 24  (Mountain West)

 
Aggies (11 - 2) (8 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 22 (35 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 26.4°
Wind: 12.9 MPH
USU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -10  (SP+ USU -24.5)

Projected Score: USU: 38 - CSU: 21 (59)
USU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
USU Travel: 359 miles
Rams (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 37 (25 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Utah State at Michigan State+23.552.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 9/8 Utah State vs New Mexico State-23.062.0W 60 - 13OY
Thu 9/13 Utah State vs Tennessee Tech-30.5
Sat 9/22 Utah State vs Air Force-10.059.5W 42 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/5 Utah State at BYU+1.055.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/13 Utah State vs UNLV-27.065.0W 59 - 28OY
Sat 10/20 Utah State at Wyoming-13.549.0W 24 - 16UN
Sat 10/27 Utah State vs New Mexico-20.064.0W 61 - 19OY
Sat 11/3 Utah State at Hawai'i-19.071.0W 56 - 17OY
Sat 11/10 Utah State vs San José State-31.063.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 11/17 Utah State at Colorado State-30.566.5W 29 - 24UN
Sat 11/24 Utah State at Boise State+2.565.0L 24 - 33UN
Sat 12/15 Utah State vs North Texas-7.067.5W 52 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Colorado State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/25 Colorado State vs Hawai'i-17.058.0L 34 - 43ON
Fri 8/31 Colorado State vs Colorado+7.065.5L 13 - 45UN
Sat 9/8 Colorado State vs Arkansas+14.070.5W 34 - 27UY
Sat 9/15 Colorado State at Florida+21.560.0L 10 - 48UN
Sat 9/22 Colorado State vs Illinois State-4.058.5L 19 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Colorado State at San José State-3.059.0W 42 - 30OY
Sat 10/13 Colorado State vs New Mexico+1.563.0W 20 - 18UY
Fri 10/19 Colorado State at Boise State+24.063.5L 28 - 56ON
Fri 10/26 Colorado State vs Wyoming+3.047.5L 21 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 Colorado State at Nevada+14.061.5L 10 - 49UN
Sat 11/17 Colorado State vs Utah State+30.566.5L 24 - 29UY
Thu 11/22 Colorado State at Air Force+14.564.0L 19 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU.3550%47.546%2.8220251%2934.49.0339%22.238%37%2.5570.11.32.4
CSU.1542%22.836%2.5610645%3053.23.2650%36.850%46%4.1368.61.80.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)43% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)42% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1347.534.849.9%4.491.3234952022935.644%54%46%51%13%.35
CSU Defense1236.83149.9%4.130.9 - - - - - 57%41%50%46%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1322.224.739.1%2.552.4 - - - - - 51%47%38%37%18%.03
CSU Offense1222.825.341.6%3.231.8234111063053.240%58%36%45%17%.15

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1327:3923.147%60%7.770.11.32.46.32.11032.5
Colorado State1230:3022.843%53%7.868.61.80.95.11.3127.2
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1344%46%36.4202.25.637.212.8272%8%1.06
CSU Defense1257%50% - - - - .23.4175%9%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1351%38% - - - - .012.5868%11%0.88
CSU Offense1240%36%32.7105.63.28-2.5669%9%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1354%51%23.235.7293.18.212.6326.491.630%41%.664%2.1
CSU Defense1241%46% - - - - - - 7.381.728%35%.416%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1347%37% - - - - - - 22.061.733%28%.117%1.8
CSU Offense1258%45%25.341.8304.97.312.12616.271.534%31%.169%1.7

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2  #21
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #22
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #34

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State:    Colorado State: -2.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: 14.2   Colorado State: -10.3




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.65 NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3  #102
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #80
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #110

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 47.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Utah State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 38
Colorado State 21


Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 39
Colorado State 19

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 37
Colorado State 24

Total Points: 61
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 36.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Colorado State's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Colorado State42Utah State37Colorado State -5.5Utah State56.5Over
202310/07Utah State44Colorado State24Colorado State -3Utah State62.0Over
202210/15Colorado State13Utah State17Utah State -14Colorado State45.5Under
202110/22Utah State26Colorado State24Colorado State -3Utah State58.5Under
201909/28Utah State34Colorado State24Utah State -24Colorado State69.0Under
201811/17Colorado State24Utah State29Utah State -30.5Colorado State66.5Under
201710/07Utah State14Colorado State27Colorado State -9.5Colorado State65.0Under
201610/08Colorado State31Utah State24Utah State -6Colorado State53.5Over
201510/03Utah State33Colorado State18Utah State -7Utah State50.0Over
201410/18Colorado State16Utah State13Colorado State -5.5Utah State0
201311/23Utah State13Colorado State0Utah State -6Utah State0
201209/22Colorado State19Utah State31
201109/24Utah State34Colorado State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State554 Overs
Utah State865 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 57 - 42 - 35 - 1
Road Teams5 - 84 - 71 - 53 - 2

(#) USU at (#) CSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSUCSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #102
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #102 #75
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCat
USU OffCSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffCSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCat
USU OffCSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Colorado State on Offense
CategoryCatCSU OffUSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado State Run Game
CategoryCat
CSU OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Colorado State Pass Game
CategoryCatCSU OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 26° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Utah State 30.5 (66.5)
Utah State won at Colorado State this year (29-24)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Utah State last year (42-37)
Utah State beat Colorado State in 2023 (44-24)
Utah State beat Colorado State in 2022 (17-13)

  
USU's OC ()
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USU's DC ()
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CSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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CSU's DC ()
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