Duke at Baylor - 2018 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, September 15th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Baylor -2 (50.5)
Duke 40 - Baylor: 27

 
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (27 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ DUKE -3)
Projected Score: DUKE: 30 - BAY: 30 (60)
BAY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
DUKE Travel: 1086 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bears (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (32 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Duke vs Army-14.046.5W 34 - 14OY
Sat 9/8 Duke at Northwestern+2.547.5W 21 - 7UY
Sat 9/15 Duke at Baylor+2.050.5W 40 - 27OY
Sat 9/22 Duke vs North Carolina Central-46.055.5W 55 - 13ON
Sat 9/29 Duke vs Virginia Tech-6.552.0L 14 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Duke at Georgia Tech+1.555.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 10/20 Duke vs Virginia-6.545.5L 14 - 28UN
Sat 10/27 Duke at Pittsburgh-3.046.0L 45 - 54ON
Sat 11/3 Duke at Miami+9.551.0W 20 - 12UY
Sat 11/10 Duke vs North Carolina-7.558.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/17 Duke at Clemson+29.559.0L 6 - 35UY
Sat 11/24 Duke vs Wake Forest-9.561.5L 7 - 59ON
Thu 12/27 Duke vs Temple+3.556.5W 56 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Baylor's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Baylor vs Abilene Christian-41.0
Sat 9/8 Baylor at UTSA-17.055.0W 37 - 20ON
Sat 9/15 Baylor vs Duke-2.050.5L 27 - 40ON
Sat 9/22 Baylor vs Kansas-7.554.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 9/29 Baylor at Oklahoma+21.069.0L 33 - 66ON
Sat 10/6 Baylor vs Kansas State-3.554.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/13 Baylor at Texas+14.058.5L 17 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/25 Baylor at West Virginia+14.567.0L 14 - 58ON
Sat 11/3 Baylor vs Oklahoma State+6.068.0W 35 - 31UY
Sat 11/10 Baylor at Iowa State+17.051.0L 14 - 28UY
Sat 11/17 Baylor vs TCU-1.050.5L 9 - 16UN
Sat 11/24 Baylor vs Texas Tech+6.063.5W 35 - 24UY
Thu 12/27 Baylor vs Vanderbilt+4.056.5W 45 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.1543%29.444%2.9316041%2463.71.1640%27.442%36%3.5934.81.51
BAY.2547%29.552%3.0216842%2903.77.2644%31.743%42%3.61741.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1329.426.742.7%3.711.5214061602464.345%54%44%41%17%.15
BAY Defense1331.725.843.6%3.610.8 - - - - - 47%51%43%42%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1327.424.839.8%3.591 - - - - - 53%46%42%36%15%.16
BAY Offense1329.531.547.3%3.771.5254591682904.447%51%52%42%17%.25

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1327:4220.542%43%4.234.81.5161.8132.2
Baylor1332:4425.543%59%7.8741.50.84.81.8226.7
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1345%44%36.9159.64.319.132.9373%10%0.96
BAY Defense1347%43% - - - - .273.1185%8%1.23
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1353%42% - - - - .17375%10%1.1
BAY Offense1347%52%38.5168.54.425.233.0275%11%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1354%41%21.436.6246.16.711.53110.171.533%32%.37%1.9
BAY Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 8.271.634%35%.395%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 4.131.735%32%.354%2
BAY Offense1351%42%22.837.4290.47.812.82213.281.634%37%.46%1.8

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2018 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0  #51
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #52
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #46

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Baylor: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.0   Baylor: 2.0




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2018 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #66
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #39
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #85

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Duke's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 30
Baylor 30

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Baylor 32
Duke 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Duke 29
Baylor 29

Total Points: 58
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Baylor's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/15Baylor27Duke40Baylor -2Duke50.5Over
201709/16Duke34Baylor20Duke -10.5Duke60.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor001 Overs
Duke221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) DUKE at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #66
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #39 #33
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #46
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 90° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Baylor -2.0 (50.5)
Duke won at Baylor this year (40-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD