TCU at Baylor - 2018 Matchup Preview
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, November 17th 2018 (12:00 PM EST)
Baylor -1 (50.5)
TCU 16 - Baylor: 9  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (22 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU 2nd straight Road Game
BAY is playing their 4th straight game
TCU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -0  (SP+ TCU -5)
Projected Score: TCU: 26 - BAY: 29 (55)
BAY Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TCU Travel: 81 miles
Bears (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (32 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 TCU vs Southern-49.057.5W 55 - 7ON
Fri 9/7 TCU at SMU-23.559.5W 42 - 12UY
Sat 9/15 TCU vs Ohio State+13.058.5L 28 - 40OY
Sat 9/22 TCU at Texas-3.050.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 9/29 TCU vs Iowa State-11.044.5W 17 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/11 TCU vs Texas Tech-7.557.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/20 TCU vs Oklahoma+8.561.0L 27 - 52ON
Sat 10/27 TCU at Kansas-13.046.5L 26 - 27ON
Sat 11/3 TCU vs Kansas State-10.044.5W 14 - 13UN
Sat 11/10 TCU at West Virginia+13.055.5L 10 - 47ON
Sat 11/17 TCU at Baylor+1.050.5W 16 - 9UY
Sat 11/24 TCU vs Oklahoma State+6.052.5W 31 - 24OY
Wed 12/26 TCU vs California+1.538.5W 10 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Baylor's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Baylor vs Abilene Christian-41.0
Sat 9/8 Baylor at UTSA-17.055.0W 37 - 20ON
Sat 9/15 Baylor vs Duke-2.050.5L 27 - 40ON
Sat 9/22 Baylor vs Kansas-7.554.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 9/29 Baylor at Oklahoma+21.069.0L 33 - 66ON
Sat 10/6 Baylor vs Kansas State-3.554.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/13 Baylor at Texas+14.058.5L 17 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/25 Baylor at West Virginia+14.567.0L 14 - 58ON
Sat 11/3 Baylor vs Oklahoma State+6.068.0W 35 - 31UY
Sat 11/10 Baylor at Iowa State+17.051.0L 14 - 28UY
Sat 11/17 Baylor vs TCU-1.050.5L 9 - 16UN
Sat 11/24 Baylor vs Texas Tech+6.063.5W 35 - 24UY
Thu 12/27 Baylor vs Vanderbilt+4.056.5W 45 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.0642%23.543%2.7615738%2112.68.139%23.140%36%3.3939.121.6
BAY.2547%29.552%3.0216842%2903.77.2644%31.743%42%3.61741.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1323.52241.6%2.682193681572114.152%47%43%38%18%.06
BAY Defense1331.725.843.6%3.610.8 - - - - - 47%51%43%42%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1323.125.238.5%3.391.6 - - - - - 49%49%40%36%16%.1
BAY Offense1329.531.547.3%3.771.5254591682904.447%51%52%42%17%.25

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1330:2418.836%35%4.339.121.662.4230.1
Baylor1332:4425.543%59%7.8741.50.84.81.8226.7
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1352%43%38.1156.84.114.012.7667%11%0.87
BAY Defense1347%43% - - - - .273.1185%8%1.23
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1349%40% - - - - .072.6966%10%0.99
BAY Offense1347%52%38.5168.54.425.233.0275%11%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1347%38%18.331.5210.86.711.51815.151.533%27%.087%1.8
BAY Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 8.271.634%35%.395%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1349%36% - - - - - - 12.171.636%31%.296%1.9
BAY Offense1351%42%22.837.4290.47.812.82213.281.634%37%.46%1.8

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2018 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.9  #43
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #91
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9  #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Baylor: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 6.9   Baylor: 2.0




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2018 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #66
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #39
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #85

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


TCU Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

TCU's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 29
TCU 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Baylor 32
TCU 26

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Baylor 27
TCU 26

Total Points: 53
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Baylor's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18TCU42Baylor36TCU -3.5TCU66.5Over
202411/02Baylor37TCU34Baylor -2.5Baylor64.0Over
202311/18TCU42Baylor17TCU -13.0TCU62.0Under
202211/19Baylor28TCU29TCU -2Baylor58.0Under
202111/06TCU30Baylor28Baylor -7.5TCU57.0Over
202010/31Baylor23TCU33TCU -3.0TCU0
201911/09TCU23Baylor29Baylor -3.0Baylor48.5Over
201811/17Baylor9TCU16Baylor -1TCU50.5Under
201711/24TCU45Baylor22TCU -25.5Baylor53.0Over
201611/05Baylor22TCU62Baylor -9TCU65.0Over
201511/27TCU28Baylor21Baylor -2TCU75.0Under
201410/11Baylor61TCU58Baylor -11TCU0
201311/30TCU38Baylor41Baylor -14TCU0
201210/13Baylor21TCU49
201109/02Baylor50TCU48
201009/18TCU45Baylor10
200709/01TCU27Baylor0
200609/03Baylor7TCU17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor546 Overs
TCU1394 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 87 - 63 - 44 - 2
Road Teams8 - 106 - 72 - 44 - 3

(#) TCU at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #66
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #31 #33
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #16
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Baylor -1.0 (50.5)
TCU won at Baylor this year (16-9)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat TCU last year (37-34)
TCU beat Baylor in 2023 (42-17)
TCU beat Baylor in 2022 (29-28)

  
TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD