Wake Forest at Duke - 2018 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Duke Blue Devils

Saturday, November 24th 2018 (12:30 PM EST)
Duke -9.5 (61.5)
Wake Forest 59 - Duke: 7 (ACC)

Demon Deacons (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 33 (36 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Heavy Rain Predicted
DUKE is playing their 7th straight game
WAKE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ DUKE -1)
Projected Score: WAKE: 34 - DUKE: 31 (65)
DUKE Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
WAKE Travel: 74 miles

Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Wake Forest at Tulane	-7.0	56.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/8	Wake Forest vs Towson	-34.0	57.5	W 51 - 20	O	N
Thu 9/13	Wake Forest vs Boston College	+6.5	58.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/22	Wake Forest vs Notre Dame	+6.0	59.5	L 27 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/29	Wake Forest vs Rice	-28.0	67.0	W 56 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Wake Forest vs Clemson	+20.5	60.0	L 3 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Wake Forest at Florida State	+10.5	57.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/27	Wake Forest at Louisville	+3.0	68.0	W 56 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Wake Forest vs Syracuse	+6.0	77.0	L 24 - 41	U	N
Thu 11/8	Wake Forest at NC State	+17.0	69.0	W 27 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh	+5.0	62.5	L 13 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/24	Wake Forest at Duke	+9.5	61.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/22	Wake Forest vs Memphis	+2.0	71.0	W 37 - 34	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Duke's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Duke vs Army	-14.0	46.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Duke at Northwestern	+2.5	47.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Duke at Baylor	+2.0	50.5	W 40 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Duke vs North Carolina Central	-46.0	55.5	W 55 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/29	Duke vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Duke at Georgia Tech	+1.5	55.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Duke vs Virginia	-6.5	45.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/27	Duke at Pittsburgh	-3.0	46.0	L 45 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/3	Duke at Miami	+9.5	51.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Duke vs North Carolina	-7.5	58.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/17	Duke at Clemson	+29.5	59.0	L 6 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Duke vs Wake Forest	-9.5	61.5	L 7 - 59	O	N
Thu 12/27	Duke vs Temple	+3.5	56.5	W 56 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	.16	43%	32.8	44%	3.14	215	40%	236	4.03	.19	42%	33.3	41%	41%	4.15	41.8	1.5	1.2
DUKE	.15	43%	29.4	44%	2.93	160	41%	246	3.71	.16	40%	27.4	42%	36%	3.59	34.8	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	#104 (.13)	42% (81)		43% (79)	3 (79)	131	41% (75)	240	3.2 (121)	#118 (.27)	51% (134)		48% (110)	53% (133)	4.12 (99)	45.9	1.8	1.4
DUKE	#109 (.12)	39% (116)		35% (129)	2.47 (131)	89	42% (69)	226	3.7 (90)	#10 (.06)	38% (16)		41% (51)	34% (5)	3.19 (17)	48.9	1.4	2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	13	32.8	36.4	43.5%	4.03	1.5	25	451	215	236	4.5	51%	47%	44%	40%	15%	.16
DUKE Defense	13	27.4	30	39.8%	3.59	1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	42%	36%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	13	33.3	24	41.5%	4.15	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	41%	41%	15%	.19
DUKE Offense	13	29.4	27.7	42.7%	3.71	1.5	21	406	160	246	4.3	45%	54%	44%	41%	17%	.15

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	13	28:12	24.6	42%	58%	4.2	41.8	1.5	1.2	6.4	1.9	4	27.9
Duke	13	27:42	20.5	42%	43%	4.2	34.8	1.5	1	6	1.8	1	32.2

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	13	51%	44%	48.1	214.9	4.5	21	.12	3.14	84%	9%	0.83
DUKE Defense	13	53%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	75%	10%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	13	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.7	84%	10%	1.1
DUKE Offense	13	45%	44%	36.9	159.6	4.3	19	.13	2.93	73%	10%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	13	47%	40%	19	34	236.1	6.9	12.4	25	13	.23	1.7	35%	35%	.28	6%	1.6
DUKE Defense	13	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.13	1.7	35%	32%	.35	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.25	1.6	35%	33%	.38	6%	1.9
DUKE Offense	13	54%	41%	21.4	36.6	246.1	6.7	11.5	31	10	.17	1.5	33%	32%	.3	7%	1.9

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wake Forest's 2018 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #57
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #48
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: Duke: 5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: 3.6 Duke: 5.0

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2018 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #51
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #52
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #46

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.4
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Wake Forest's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Wake Forest 34
Duke 31

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Wake Forest 35
Duke 33

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Wake Forest 32
Duke 28

Total Points: 60

Duke Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Duke's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Duke	49	Wake Forest	32	Duke -2.5	Duke	54.0	Over
2024	11/30	Wake Forest	17	Duke	23	Duke -3.5	Duke	53.5	Under
2023	11/02	Duke	24	Wake Forest	21	Duke -6.5	Wake Forest	41.0	Over
2022	11/26	Duke	34	Wake Forest	31	Wake Forest -3	Duke	67.0	Under
2021	10/30	Wake Forest	45	Duke	7	Wake Forest -16.5	Wake Forest	71.5	Under
2019	11/23	Wake Forest	39	Duke	27	Wake Forest -6.5	Wake Forest	50.0	Over
2018	11/24	Duke	7	Wake Forest	59	Duke -9.5	Wake Forest	61.5	Over
2017	11/25	Wake Forest	23	Duke	31	Wake Forest -10.5	Duke	59.0	Under
2016	09/10	Duke	14	Wake Forest	24	Duke -8.5	Wake Forest	45.5	Under
2015	11/28	Wake Forest	21	Duke	27	Duke -4	Duke	45.0	Over
2014	11/29	Duke	41	Wake Forest	21	Duke -18	Duke	0
2013	11/23	Wake Forest	21	Duke	28	Duke -5.5	Duke	0
2012	09/29	Wake Forest	27	Duke	34
2011	10/22	Duke	23	Wake Forest	24
2010	09/11	Wake Forest	54	Duke	48
2009	11/28	Duke	34	Wake Forest	45
2008	11/01	Wake Forest	33	Duke	30
2007	10/06	Duke	36	Wake Forest	41
2006	09/09	Wake Forest	14	Duke	13
2005	10/29	Duke	6	Wake Forest	44
2004	10/30	Wake Forest	24	Duke	22
2003	10/18	Duke	13	Wake Forest	42
2002	10/12	Wake Forest	36	Duke	10
2001	10/13	Duke	35	Wake Forest	42
2000	11/03	Wake Forest	28	Duke	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	9	7	5 Overs
Wake Forest	16	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	5 - 7	4 - 4	1 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 12	7 - 5	3 - 1	4 - 4

(#) WAKE at (#) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#51
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#70	#39
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wake Forest Injury Report

Duke Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	WAKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 38°Rain: 0.075

Rematch from Week 13
Duke -9.5 (61.5)
Wake Forest won at Duke this year (59-7)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Wake Forest last year (23-17)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2023 (24-21)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2022 (34-31)

WAKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

DUKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD