Baylor at West Virginia - 2018 Matchup Preview

Baylor Bears at West Virginia Mountaineers

Thursday, October 25th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
West Virginia -14.5 (67.0)
West Virginia 58 - Baylor: 14 (Big 12)

Bears (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (23 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BAY coming off BYE
WVU coming off BYE
Our Line: -8 (SP+ WVU -11)
Projected Score: BAY: 24 - WVU: 38 (62)
WVU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
BAY Travel: 1112 miles, 1 hrs behind

Mountaineers (8 - 4) (6 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 27 (48 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BAY Players
WVU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Baylor's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Baylor vs Abilene Christian	-41.0
Sat 9/8	Baylor at UTSA	-17.0	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/15	Baylor vs Duke	-2.0	50.5	L 27 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/22	Baylor vs Kansas	-7.5	54.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Baylor at Oklahoma	+21.0	69.0	L 33 - 66	O	N
Sat 10/6	Baylor vs Kansas State	-3.5	54.0	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/13	Baylor at Texas	+14.0	58.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/25	Baylor at West Virginia	+14.5	67.0	L 14 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/3	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	+6.0	68.0	W 35 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Baylor at Iowa State	+17.0	51.0	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Baylor vs TCU	-1.0	50.5	L 9 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/24	Baylor vs Texas Tech	+6.0	63.5	W 35 - 24	U	Y
Thu 12/27	Baylor vs Vanderbilt	+4.0	56.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

West Virginia's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	West Virginia vs Tennessee	-10.0	59.5	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/8	West Virginia vs Youngstown State	-33.5	63.5	W 52 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	West Virginia vs Kansas State	-15.5	60.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/29	West Virginia at Texas Tech	-3.5	73.0	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/6	West Virginia vs Kansas	-27.0	61.0	W 38 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/13	West Virginia at Iowa State	-4.0	54.5	L 14 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/25	West Virginia vs Baylor	-14.5	67.0	W 58 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/3	West Virginia at Texas	-1.0	58.0	W 42 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/10	West Virginia vs TCU	-13.0	55.5	W 47 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/17	West Virginia at Oklahoma State	-6.0	74.0	L 41 - 45	O	N
Fri 11/23	West Virginia vs Oklahoma	+3.0	86.0	L 56 - 59	O	Y
Fri 12/28	West Virginia vs Syracuse	+3.0	67.5	L 18 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY	.25	47%	29.5	52%	3.02	168	42%	290	3.77	.26	44%	31.7	43%	42%	3.61	74	1.5	0.8
WVU	.3	48%	40.3	44%	2.76	161	50%	351	4.04	.2	46%	27.2	45%	45%	3.95	65	1.4	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY	#29 (.25)	47% (23)		46% (37)	3.19 (43)	174	48% (14)	227	4.28 (30)	#74 (.18)	39% (38)		38% (13)	42% (78)	3.85 (77)	58.1	1	1.6
WVU	#63 (.2)	43% (69)		44% (75)	3.05 (64)	196	41% (73)	210	4.6 (16)	#124 (.3)	45% (103)		41% (46)	49% (128)	4.74 (131)	33.9	1.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Offense	13	29.5	23	47.3%	3.77	1.5	25	459	168	290	4.4	47%	51%	52%	42%	17%	.25
WVU Defense	12	27.2	21.3	46.1%	3.95	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	45%	45%	21%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Defense	13	31.7	39	43.6%	3.61	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	43%	42%	13%	.26
WVU Offense	12	40.3	47.7	48.1%	4.04	1.4	24	512	161	351	4.5	43%	55%	44%	50%	15%	.3

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Baylor	13	32:44	25.5	43%	59%	7.8	74	1.5	0.8	4.8	1.8	2	26.7
West Virginia	12	28:48	24.2	43%	56%	6.9	65	1.4	1.8	7.8	2.3	1	31.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Offense	13	47%	52%	38.5	168.5	4.4	25	.23	3.02	75%	11%	0.93
WVU Defense	12	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.61	70%	14%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.11	85%	8%	1.23
WVU Offense	12	43%	44%	35.4	160.6	4.5	22	.09	2.76	65%	10%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Offense	13	51%	42%	22.8	37.4	290.4	7.8	12.8	22	13	.28	1.6	34%	37%	.4	6%	1.8
WVU Defense	12	47%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.35	1.6	31%	36%	.43	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.27	1.6	34%	35%	.39	5%	2
WVU Offense	12	55%	50%	24.3	37.1	351.3	9.5	14.5	38	10	.46	1.6	31%	40%	.47	6%	2

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2018 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #66
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #39
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: West Virginia: 9.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 2.0 West Virginia: 13.2

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 9.1 NR
West Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
West Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
West Virginia's 2018 Expected Record: -
West Virginia's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.2 #24
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #9
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #76

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Baylor's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
West Virginia 38
Baylor 24

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
West Virginia 36
Baylor 23

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
West Virginia 40
Baylor 25

Total Points: 65

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

West Virginia's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	West Virginia	35	Baylor	49	Baylor -2	Baylor	60.0	Over
2023	11/25	Baylor	31	West Virginia	34	West Virginia -6.5	Baylor	53.5	Over
2022	10/13	West Virginia	43	Baylor	40	Baylor -3.0	West Virginia	55.0	Over
2021	10/09	Baylor	45	West Virginia	20	Baylor -1.0	Baylor	45.0	Over
2020	10/03	West Virginia	27	Baylor	21	Baylor -1.5	West Virginia	54.5	Under
2019	10/31	Baylor	17	West Virginia	14	Baylor -19	West Virginia	57.0	Under
2018	10/25	West Virginia	58	Baylor	14	West Virginia -14.5	West Virginia	67.0	Over
2017	10/21	Baylor	36	West Virginia	38	West Virginia -10.5	Baylor	67.5	Over
2016	12/03	West Virginia	24	Baylor	21	West Virginia -14.5	Baylor	69.0	Under
2015	10/17	Baylor	62	West Virginia	38	Baylor -18	Baylor	75.5	Over
2014	10/18	West Virginia	41	Baylor	27	Baylor -9.5	West Virginia	0
2013	10/05	Baylor	73	West Virginia	42	Baylor -30	Baylor	0
2012	09/29	West Virginia	70	Baylor	63

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
West Virginia	8	5	7 Overs
Baylor	5	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 3	9 - 3	4 - 2	5 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 10	3 - 9	1 - 5	2 - 4

(#) BAY at (#) WVU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BAY	WVU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#66	#24
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#33	#36
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Baylor Injury Report

West Virginia Injury Report

Baylor on Offense


CategoryCat	BAY Off	WVU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#76
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Baylor Run Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Baylor Pass Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

West Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	WVU Off	BAY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

West Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

West Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 44°

Rematch from Week 9
West Virginia -14.5 (67.0)
West Virginia won vs Baylor this year (58-14)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat West Virginia last year (49-35)
West Virginia beat Baylor in 2023 (34-31)
West Virginia beat Baylor in 2022 (43-40)

BAY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WVU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD