Duke at Pittsburgh - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 27th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Duke -3 (46.0)
Pittsburgh 54 - Duke: 45 (ACC)

Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (27 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ DUKE -2.5)
Projected Score: DUKE: 30 - PITT: 28 (58)
DUKE Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
DUKE Travel: 313 miles

Panthers (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (36 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
DUKE Players
PITT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Duke's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Duke vs Army	-14.0	46.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Duke at Northwestern	+2.5	47.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Duke at Baylor	+2.0	50.5	W 40 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Duke vs North Carolina Central	-46.0	55.5	W 55 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/29	Duke vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Duke at Georgia Tech	+1.5	55.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Duke vs Virginia	-6.5	45.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/27	Duke at Pittsburgh	-3.0	46.0	L 45 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/3	Duke at Miami	+9.5	51.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Duke vs North Carolina	-7.5	58.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/17	Duke at Clemson	+29.5	59.0	L 6 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Duke vs Wake Forest	-9.5	61.5	L 7 - 59	O	N
Thu 12/27	Duke vs Temple	+3.5	56.5	W 56 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Pittsburgh's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Pittsburgh vs UAlbany	-27.0	43.5	W 33 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/8	Pittsburgh vs Penn State	+7.5	51.0	L 6 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/15	Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	54.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	-3.0	48.0	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/29	Pittsburgh at UCF	+13.0	65.5	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/6	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	+3.5	58.0	W 44 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Pittsburgh at Notre Dame	+21.0	56.0	L 14 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27	Pittsburgh vs Duke	+3.0	46.0	W 54 - 45	O	Y
Fri 11/2	Pittsburgh at Virginia	+7.0	45.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech	-4.0	52.0	W 52 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Pittsburgh at Wake Forest	-5.0	62.5	W 34 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Pittsburgh at Miami	+5.5	45.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/1	Pittsburgh vs Clemson	+27.0	53.0	L 10 - 42	U	N
Mon 12/31	Pittsburgh vs Stanford	+3.5	52.5	L 13 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE	.15	43%	29.4	44%	2.93	160	41%	246	3.71	.16	40%	27.4	42%	36%	3.59	34.8	1.5	1
PITT	.2	42%	25.6	47%	3.13	229	33%	142	3.41	.15	42%	27.8	43%	40%	3.48	67.1	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE	#109 (.12)	39% (116)		35% (129)	2.47 (131)	89	42% (69)	226	3.7 (90)	#10 (.06)	38% (16)		41% (51)	34% (5)	3.19 (17)	48.9	1.4	2
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Offense	13	29.4	26.7	42.7%	3.71	1.5	21	406	160	246	4.3	45%	54%	44%	41%	17%	.15
PITT Defense	14	27.8	30.2	42.2%	3.48	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	40%	18%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Defense	13	27.4	24.8	39.8%	3.59	1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	42%	36%	15%	.16
PITT Offense	14	25.6	35.5	42.4%	3.41	1.1	17	371	229	142	5.6	60%	38%	47%	33%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Duke	13	27:42	20.5	42%	43%	4.2	34.8	1.5	1	6	1.8	1	32.2
Pittsburgh	14	33:26	17.2	36%	45%	7.2	67.1	1.1	1.2	5.5	2	3	26.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense	13	45%	44%	36.9	159.6	4.3	19	.13	2.93	73%	10%	0.96
PITT Defense	14	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.92	81%	12%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense	13	53%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	75%	10%	1.1
PITT Offense	14	60%	47%	40.7	229.2	5.6	30	.27	3.13	86%	12%	1.16

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense	13	54%	41%	21.4	36.6	246.1	6.7	11.5	31	10	.17	1.5	33%	32%	.3	7%	1.9
PITT Defense	14	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.16	1.6	33%	30%	.26	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense	13	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.13	1.7	35%	32%	.35	4%	2
PITT Offense	14	38%	33%	13	22.5	141.8	6.3	10.9	12	6	.07	1.6	34%	33%	.36	4%	1.9

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2018 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #51
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #52
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #46

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: Pittsburgh: 3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.0 Pittsburgh: 2.7

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 3.85 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2018 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #61
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #71
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #53

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Duke Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Duke's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Duke 30
Pittsburgh 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 32
Pittsburgh 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Duke 29
Pittsburgh 29

Total Points: 58

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

Pittsburgh's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/25	Duke	30	Pittsburgh	19	Duke -4.5	Duke	40.5	Over
2022	11/19	Pittsburgh	28	Duke	26	Pittsburgh -6.5	Duke	49.0	Over
2021	11/06	Duke	29	Pittsburgh	54	Pittsburgh -21	Pittsburgh	64.5	Over
2019	10/05	Duke	30	Pittsburgh	33	Duke -3.5	Pittsburgh	48.5	Over
2018	10/27	Pittsburgh	54	Duke	45	Duke -3	Pittsburgh	46.0	Over
2017	10/21	Duke	17	Pittsburgh	24	Duke -9	Pittsburgh	49.5	Under
2016	11/19	Pittsburgh	56	Duke	14	Pittsburgh -6.5	Pittsburgh	61.5	Over
2015	11/14	Duke	13	Pittsburgh	31	Duke -4	Pittsburgh	49.0	Under
2014	11/01	Pittsburgh	48	Duke	51	Pittsburgh -2.5	Duke	0
2013	09/21	Duke	55	Pittsburgh	58	Pittsburgh -6	Duke	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Pittsburgh	8	6	6 Overs
Duke	2	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	4 - 6	2 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 4	6 - 4	1 - 2	5 - 2

(#) DUKE at (#) PITT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	DUKE	PITT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#51	#61
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#39	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Duke Injury Report

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	PITT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#53
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	DUKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 46°Rain: 0.012

Rematch from Week 9
Duke 3.0 (46.0)
Pittsburgh won vs Duke this year (54-45)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (30-19)
Pittsburgh beat Duke in 2022 (28-26)

DUKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PITT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD