Baylor at UTSA - 2018 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Saturday, September 8th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
Baylor -17 (55.0)
Baylor 37 - UTSA: 20

 
Bears (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (23 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ BAY -24)
Projected Score: BAY: 26 - UTSA: 26 (52)
BAY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
BAY Travel: 169 miles
Roadrunners (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 31 (18 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Baylor vs Abilene Christian-41.0
Sat 9/8 Baylor at UTSA-17.055.0W 37 - 20ON
Sat 9/15 Baylor vs Duke-2.050.5L 27 - 40ON
Sat 9/22 Baylor vs Kansas-7.554.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 9/29 Baylor at Oklahoma+21.069.0L 33 - 66ON
Sat 10/6 Baylor vs Kansas State-3.554.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/13 Baylor at Texas+14.058.5L 17 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/25 Baylor at West Virginia+14.567.0L 14 - 58ON
Sat 11/3 Baylor vs Oklahoma State+6.068.0W 35 - 31UY
Sat 11/10 Baylor at Iowa State+17.051.0L 14 - 28UY
Sat 11/17 Baylor vs TCU-1.050.5L 9 - 16UN
Sat 11/24 Baylor vs Texas Tech+6.063.5W 35 - 24UY
Thu 12/27 Baylor vs Vanderbilt+4.056.5W 45 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
UTSA's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 UTSA at Arizona State+17.053.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 9/8 UTSA vs Baylor+17.055.0L 20 - 37OY
Sat 9/15 UTSA at Kansas State+20.546.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 9/22 UTSA vs Texas State-7.049.0W 25 - 21UN
Sat 9/29 UTSA vs UTEP-10.046.5W 30 - 21ON
Sat 10/6 UTSA at Rice+1.050.0W 20 - 3UY
Sat 10/13 UTSA vs Louisiana Tech+13.045.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 10/20 UTSA at Southern Miss+16.044.0L 17 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 UTSA at UAB+21.542.5L 3 - 52ON
Sat 11/10 UTSA vs Florida International+10.546.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 11/17 UTSA at Marshall+27.548.0L 0 - 23UY
Sat 11/24 UTSA vs North Texas+25.051.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.2547%29.552%3.0216842%2903.77.2644%31.743%42%3.61741.50.8
UTSA-.0434%14.236%2.628731%1602.37.2244%31.240%46%3.7941.61.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1329.52347.3%3.771.5254591682904.447%51%52%42%17%.25
UTSA Defense1231.229.844.2%3.791.6 - - - - - 51%47%40%46%16%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1331.73943.6%3.610.8 - - - - - 47%51%43%42%13%.26
UTSA Offense1214.217.734.2%2.371.51524787160343%55%36%31%21%-.04

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1332:4425.543%59%7.8741.50.84.81.8226.7
UTSA1227:3815.333%50%5.441.61.51.66.51.9128.5
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1347%52%38.5168.54.425.233.0275%11%0.93
UTSA Defense1251%40% - - - - .022.756%11%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1347%43% - - - - .273.1185%8%1.23
UTSA Offense1243%36%29.587.337-.032.6265%13%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1351%42%22.837.4290.47.812.82213.281.634%37%.46%1.8
UTSA Defense1247%46% - - - - - - 9.461.831%36%.555%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 8.271.634%35%.395%2
UTSA Offense1255%31%1733.7159.84.89.4910-.061.438%26%.019%1.5

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2018 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #66
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #39
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #85

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    UTSA: -8.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 2.0   UTSA: -22.1




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -8.55 NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UTSA's 2018 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1  #127
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.1  #129
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #102

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Baylor's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 26
UTSA 26

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
UTSA 26
Baylor 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Baylor 28
UTSA 26

Total Points: 54
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.7
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.8

UTSA's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/07Baylor63UTSA14Baylor -25Baylor58.5Over
201809/08UTSA20Baylor37Baylor -17NA55.0Over
201709/09Baylor10UTSA17Baylor -12UTSA57.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA112 Overs
Baylor211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) BAY at (#) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYUTSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #66 #127
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #33 #94
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffUTSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCatUTSA OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #129 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCatUTSA OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 85° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Baylor 17.0 (55.0)
Baylor won at UTSA this year (37-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BAY's OC ()
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BAY's DC ()
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UTSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UTSA's DC ()
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