UNLV at USC - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 1st 2018 (4:00 PM EDT)
USC -24 (58.5)
USC 43 - UNLV: 21

Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 37 (27 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -13 (SP+ USC -21)
Projected Score: UNLV: 27 - USC: 33 (60)
USC Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
UNLV Travel: 232 miles

Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (30 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
USC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	UNLV at USC	+24.0	58.5	L 21 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/8	UNLV vs UTEP	-22.5	53.5	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/15	UNLV vs Prairie View A&M	-32.0	67.0	W 46 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/22	UNLV at Arkansas State	+8.0	66.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	UNLV vs New Mexico	-8.0	62.5	L 14 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/13	UNLV at Utah State	+27.0	65.0	L 28 - 59	O	N
Fri 10/19	UNLV vs Air Force	+9.5	55.5	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/27	UNLV at San José State	+2.5	57.5	L 37 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/3	UNLV vs Fresno State	+27.0	58.5	L 3 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/10	UNLV at San Diego State	+24.0	51.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/17	UNLV at Hawai'i	+6.0	71.0	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/24	UNLV vs Nevada	+14.0	60.5	W 34 - 29	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

USC's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	USC vs UNLV	-24.0	58.5	W 43 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/8	USC at Stanford	+4.5	54.5	L 3 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/15	USC at Texas	+4.0	47.0	L 14 - 37	O	N
Fri 9/21	USC vs Washington State	-4.5	51.0	W 39 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/29	USC at Arizona	-3.5	61.0	W 24 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	USC vs Colorado	-7.0	57.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/20	USC at Utah	+6.5	48.0	L 28 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/27	USC vs Arizona State	-3.0	52.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/3	USC at Oregon State	-15.0	64.5	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/10	USC vs California	-5.5	45.5	L 14 - 15	U	N
Sat 11/17	USC at UCLA	-2.5	55.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/24	USC vs Notre Dame	+12.5	54.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.2	42%	28.8	47%	3.06	225	35%	167	3.74	.28	45%	37.3	42%	45%	4.38	45.7	1.4	1.7
USC	.16	43%	26.1	44%	2.94	134	41%	248	3.13	.15	39%	27	38%	39%	3.33	70.2	1.6	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	#56 (.21)	42% (84)		43% (83)	3.36 (16)	248	40% (90)	173	4.26 (33)	#34 (.11)	37% (14)		40% (39)	36% (14)	4.05 (97)	49.2	0.6	1.6
USC	#41 (.24)	48% (11)		52% (10)	3.49 (9)	138	46% (26)	269	3.76 (85)	#78 (.18)	44% (94)		44% (78)	44% (103)	3.64 (49)	46	1.4	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	12	28.8	26.8	42.2%	3.74	1.4	21	392	225	167	5	58%	41%	47%	35%	17%	.2
USC Defense	12	27	25.7	39.3%	3.33	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	38%	39%	18%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	12	37.3	39.7	45.4%	4.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	48%	42%	45%	16%	.28
USC Offense	12	26.1	29.8	43.3%	3.13	1.6	19	383	134	248	4.1	47%	51%	44%	41%	19%	.16

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	12	30:04	20.5	37%	55%	5.4	45.7	1.4	1.7	6	1.8	0	28.7
USC	12	28:45	19.3	38%	50%	7.8	70.2	1.6	0.8	5.9	1.8	3	28.8

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	12	58%	47%	45.2	224.7	5	23	.23	3.06	76%	11%	1.05
USC Defense	12	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.76	65%	11%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	12	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.84	73%	11%	1.05
USC Offense	12	47%	44%	32.8	134.4	4.1	17	.05	2.94	65%	11%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	12	41%	35%	14.8	28.9	166.8	5.8	11.3	24	12	.16	1.8	33%	29%	.26	6%	2.1
USC Defense	12	50%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.22	1.6	36%	30%	.26	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.42	1.8	33%	38%	.51	5%	2
USC Offense	12	51%	41%	20.3	33.3	248.2	7.5	12.2	18	10	.26	1.6	31%	33%	.27	8%	1.6

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2018 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #106
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #50
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: USC: 7.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -11.1 USC: 9.7

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 7.35 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2018 Expected Record: -
USC's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7 #34
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #46
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.8
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

UNLV's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
USC 33
UNLV 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
USC 33
UNLV 28

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
USC 33
UNLV 27

Total Points: 60

USC Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.7

USC's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/01	USC	43	UNLV	21	USC -24	UNLV	58.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
USC	1	0	1 Overs
UNLV	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) UNLV at (#) USC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNLV	USC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#34
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#96	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UNLV Injury Report

USC Injury Report

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	USC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#34
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	USC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	USC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

USC on Offense


CategoryCat	USC Off	UNLV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#46	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

USC Run Game


CategoryCat	USC Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

USC Pass Game


CategoryCat	USC Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 77° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 1
USC -24.0 (58.5)
USC won vs UNLV this year (43-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UNLV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD