Fresno State at UNLV - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 3rd 2018 (10:30 PM EDT)
Fresno State -27 (58.5)
Fresno State 48 - UNLV: 3 (Mountain West)

Bulldogs (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 14 (28 - 13 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV is playing their 5th straight game
FRES is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ FRES -28.5)
Projected Score: FRES: 37 - UNLV: 19 (56)
FRES Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
FRES Travel: 268 miles

Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 37 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Fresno State vs Idaho	-24.5	43.0	W 79 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Fresno State at Minnesota	+1.0	50.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/15	Fresno State at UCLA	-2.5	50.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	Fresno State vs Toledo	-10.0	61.0	W 49 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Fresno State at Nevada	-15.0	59.0	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/13	Fresno State vs Wyoming	-17.5	44.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Fresno State at New Mexico	-14.0	52.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	-24.5	59.5	W 50 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Fresno State at UNLV	-27.0	58.5	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/9	Fresno State at Boise State	-2.5	56.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/17	Fresno State vs San Diego State	-13.0	42.5	W 23 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/24	Fresno State vs San José State	-31.5	51.0	W 31 - 13	U	N
Sat 12/1	Fresno State at Boise State	+2.0	51.5	W 19 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/15	Fresno State vs Arizona State	-6.0	54.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

UNLV's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	UNLV at USC	+24.0	58.5	L 21 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/8	UNLV vs UTEP	-22.5	53.5	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/15	UNLV vs Prairie View A&M	-32.0	67.0	W 46 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/22	UNLV at Arkansas State	+8.0	66.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	UNLV vs New Mexico	-8.0	62.5	L 14 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/13	UNLV at Utah State	+27.0	65.0	L 28 - 59	O	N
Fri 10/19	UNLV vs Air Force	+9.5	55.5	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/27	UNLV at San José State	+2.5	57.5	L 37 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/3	UNLV vs Fresno State	+27.0	58.5	L 3 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/10	UNLV at San Diego State	+24.0	51.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/17	UNLV at Hawai'i	+6.0	71.0	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/24	UNLV vs Nevada	+14.0	60.5	W 34 - 29	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.24	48%	34.6	44%	2.83	154	50%	267	4	.04	35%	14.1	33%	36%	2.28	43.8	1	1.8
UNLV	.2	42%	28.8	47%	3.06	225	35%	167	3.74	.28	45%	37.3	42%	45%	4.38	45.7	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5
UNLV	#56 (.21)	42% (84)		43% (83)	3.36 (16)	248	40% (90)	173	4.26 (33)	#34 (.11)	37% (14)		40% (39)	36% (14)	4.05 (97)	49.2	0.6	1.6

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	34.6	27.9	48.3%	4	1	20	421	154	267	4.3	48%	51%	44%	50%	12%	.24
UNLV Defense	12	37.3	34.8	45.4%	4.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	48%	42%	45%	16%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	14.1	12.6	35.5%	2.28	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	33%	36%	17%	.04
UNLV Offense	12	28.8	30.7	42.2%	3.74	1.4	21	392	225	167	5	58%	41%	47%	35%	17%	.2

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	30:21	20.1	45%	70%	5.1	43.8	1	1.8	4.9	1.7	4	31.2
UNLV	12	30:04	20.5	37%	55%	5.4	45.7	1.4	1.7	6	1.8	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	48%	44%	35.8	154.4	4.3	31	.12	2.83	69%	7%	0.91
UNLV Defense	12	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.84	73%	11%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	51%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.85	57%	8%	0.89
UNLV Offense	12	58%	47%	45.2	224.7	5	23	.23	3.06	76%	11%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	51%	50%	21.5	31.4	267.1	8.5	12.4	26	6	.38	1.4	26%	41%	.38	5%	1.6
UNLV Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.42	1.8	33%	38%	.51	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.07	1.7	35%	26%	.17	9%	2
UNLV Offense	12	41%	35%	14.8	28.9	166.8	5.8	11.3	24	12	.16	1.8	33%	29%	.26	6%	2.1

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #16
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #37
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: UNLV: -3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 17.4 UNLV: -11.1

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -3.05 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2018 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #106
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #50
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.9
Defense: 14.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 12.6

Fresno State's 2018 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 37
UNLV 19

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 40
UNLV 17

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 34
UNLV 22

Total Points: 56

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

UNLV's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	UNLV	59	Fresno State	14	UNLV -2.5	UNLV	51.0	Over
2023	10/28	Fresno State	31	UNLV	24	Fresno State -10.5	UNLV	56.0	Under
2022	11/11	UNLV	30	Fresno State	37	Fresno State -9	UNLV	61.5	Over
2021	09/24	Fresno State	38	UNLV	30	Fresno State -30	UNLV	59.0	Over
2020	11/07	UNLV	27	Fresno State	40	Fresno State -11	Fresno State	57.5	Over
2019	10/18	Fresno State	56	UNLV	27	Fresno State -14.5	Fresno State	52.0	Over
2018	11/03	UNLV	3	Fresno State	48	Fresno State -27	Fresno State	58.5	Under
2017	10/28	Fresno State	16	UNLV	26	Fresno State -21.5	UNLV	59.0	Under
2016	10/01	UNLV	45	Fresno State	20	UNLV -11.5	UNLV	56.5	Over
2015	10/16	Fresno State	31	UNLV	28	UNLV -5.5	Fresno State	49.0	Over
2014	10/10	UNLV	30	Fresno State	27	Fresno State -9	UNLV	0
2013	10/19	Fresno State	38	UNLV	14	Fresno State -21	Fresno State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	4	7	7 Overs
Fresno State	8	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	7 - 5	4 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	5 - 7	2 - 3	3 - 4

(#) FRES at (#) UNLV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	UNLV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#106
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#81	#96
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

UNLV Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNLV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sam Boyd Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 69° - Wind: 5 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Fresno State 27.0 (58.5)
Fresno State won at UNLV this year (48-3)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Fresno State last year (59-14)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2023 (31-24)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2022 (37-30)

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNLV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD