California at USC - 2018 Matchup Preview

California Golden Bears at USC Trojans

Saturday, November 10th 2018 (10:30 PM EST)
USC -5.5 (45.5)
California 15 - USC: 14 (Pac-12)

Golden Bears (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CAL 2nd straight Road Game
USC is playing their 5th straight game
CAL is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ USC -6)
Projected Score: CAL: 22 - USC: 34 (56)
USC Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
CAL Travel: 347 miles

Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CAL Players
USC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

California's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	California vs North Carolina	-7.0	57.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/8	California at BYU	+2.5	47.5	W 21 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/15	California vs Idaho State	-36.5	58.5	W 45 - 23	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	California vs Oregon	+2.0	58.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/6	California at Arizona	-2.5	54.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/13	California vs UCLA	-6.5	53.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/20	California at Oregon State	-8.5	58.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/27	California vs Washington	+12.0	46.0	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/3	California at Washington State	+7.0	51.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/10	California at USC	+5.5	45.5	W 15 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/24	California vs Colorado	-10.5	44.5	W 33 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/1	California vs Stanford	+3.0	46.5	L 13 - 23	U	N
Wed 12/26	California vs TCU	-1.5	38.5	L 7 - 10	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

USC's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	USC vs UNLV	-24.0	58.5	W 43 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/8	USC at Stanford	+4.5	54.5	L 3 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/15	USC at Texas	+4.0	47.0	L 14 - 37	O	N
Fri 9/21	USC vs Washington State	-4.5	51.0	W 39 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/29	USC at Arizona	-3.5	61.0	W 24 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	USC vs Colorado	-7.0	57.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/20	USC at Utah	+6.5	48.0	L 28 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/27	USC vs Arizona State	-3.0	52.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/3	USC at Oregon State	-15.0	64.5	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/10	USC vs California	-5.5	45.5	L 14 - 15	U	N
Sat 11/17	USC at UCLA	-2.5	55.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/24	USC vs Notre Dame	+12.5	54.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL	.14	43%	25.3	44%	2.81	126	40%	259	3.24	.18	47%	27.2	48%	44%	3.24	54.8	1.7	1.9
USC	.24	47%	35.8	45%	2.99	185	46%	299	3.45	.14	41%	23	44%	36%	3.34	69.6	1.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Offense	12	25.3	23.7	43%	3.24	1.7	22	385	126	259	3.6	42%	56%	44%	40%	17%	.14
USC Defense	14	23	17.9	40.6%	3.34	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	44%	36%	18%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Defense	12	27.2	29.6	47.1%	3.24	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	48%	44%	15%	.18
USC Offense	14	35.8	43	46.6%	3.45	1.9	24	484	185	299	4.8	48%	50%	45%	46%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
California	12	29:29	22.1	40%	68%	6.5	54.8	1.7	1.9	5.6	2.3	1	30
USC	14	30:54	24.3	41%	44%	7.6	69.6	1.9	1.8	5.8	3.1	5	29.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Offense	12	42%	44%	34.7	125.6	3.6	17	.09	2.81	65%	11%	0.96
USC Defense	14	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.01	65%	10%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Defense	12	51%	48%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.06	88%	10%	0.85
USC Offense	14	48%	45%	38.8	185.1	4.8	29	.12	2.99	71%	9%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Offense	12	56%	40%	23.2	39.7	258.9	6.5	11.2	19	12	.18	1.6	35%	39%	.39	6%	1.7
USC Defense	14	52%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.14	1.7	35%	32%	.28	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Defense	12	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.25	1.5	30%	35%	.24	6%	1.6
USC Offense	14	50%	46%	22.1	35.1	299	8.5	13.6	26	13	.36	1.6	31%	35%	.38	5%	2

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2018 Expected Record: -
California's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #118
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California: USC: 7.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 3.9 USC: 9.7

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 7.35 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2018 Expected Record: -
USC's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7 #34
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #46
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
USC 34
California 22

Projected Total Points: 56

USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	California	49	USC	50	USC -10.5	California	67.5	Over
2022	11/05	USC	41	California	35	USC -21.5	California	60.5	Over
2021	12/04	California	24	USC	14	California -4.5	California	57.5	Under
2019	11/16	California	17	USC	41	USC -4.5	USC	47.5	Over
2018	11/10	USC	14	California	15	USC -5.5	California	45.5	Under
2017	09/23	California	20	USC	30	USC -17	California	63.0	Under
2016	10/27	USC	45	California	24	USC -14.5	USC	73.0	Under
2015	10/31	California	21	USC	27	USC -4	USC	69.0	Under
2014	11/13	USC	38	California	30	USC -12	California	0
2013	11/09	California	28	USC	62	USC -17	USC	0
2012	09/22	USC	27	California	9
2011	10/13	California	9	USC	30
2010	10/16	USC	48	California	14
2009	10/03	California	3	USC	30
2008	11/08	USC	17	California	3
2007	11/10	California	17	USC	24
2006	11/18	USC	23	California	9
2005	11/12	California	10	USC	35
2004	10/09	USC	23	California	17
2003	09/27	California	34	USC	31
2002	10/12	USC	30	California	28
2001	11/10	California	14	USC	55
2000	10/27	USC	16	California	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
USC	19	4	3 Overs
California	4	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 12	4 - 6	2 - 3	2 - 3
Road Teams	12 - 11	6 - 4	3 - 2	3 - 2

(#) CAL at (#) USC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CAL	USC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#55	#34
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#45	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

California Injury Report

USC Injury Report

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	USC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#34
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	USC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	USC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

USC on Offense


CategoryCat	USC Off	CAL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#46	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

USC Run Game


CategoryCat	USC Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

USC Pass Game


CategoryCat	USC Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
USC -5.5 (45.5)
California won at USC this year (15-14)

Previous Matchups
USC beat California in 2023 (50-49)

CAL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD