New Mexico at UNLV - 2018 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, October 6th 2018 (4:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -8 (62.5)
New Mexico 50 - UNLV: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (28 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 20.8 MPH
UNLV coming off BYE
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ UNM -1.5)

Projected Score: UNM: 31 - UNLV: 36 (67)
UNLV Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
UNM Travel: 477 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 37 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 New Mexico vs Incarnate Word-36.063.5W 62 - 30ON
Sat 9/8 New Mexico at Wisconsin+35.558.0L 14 - 45OY
Sat 9/15 New Mexico at New Mexico State-3.060.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 New Mexico vs Liberty-7.065.0L 43 - 52ON
Sat 10/6 New Mexico at UNLV+8.062.5W 50 - 14OY
Sat 10/13 New Mexico at Colorado State-1.563.0L 18 - 20UN
Sat 10/20 New Mexico vs Fresno State+14.052.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 10/27 New Mexico at Utah State+20.064.0L 19 - 61ON
Sat 11/3 New Mexico vs San Diego State+12.045.5L 23 - 31OY
Sat 11/10 New Mexico at Air Force+14.055.0L 24 - 42ON
Fri 11/16 New Mexico vs Boise State+21.061.0L 14 - 45UN
Sat 11/24 New Mexico vs Wyoming+7.043.0L 3 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
UNLV's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 UNLV at USC+24.058.5L 21 - 43OY
Sat 9/8 UNLV vs UTEP-22.553.5W 52 - 24OY
Sat 9/15 UNLV vs Prairie View A&M-32.067.0W 46 - 17UN
Sat 9/22 UNLV at Arkansas State+8.066.5L 20 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 UNLV vs New Mexico-8.062.5L 14 - 50ON
Sat 10/13 UNLV at Utah State+27.065.0L 28 - 59ON
Fri 10/19 UNLV vs Air Force+9.555.5L 35 - 41OY
Sat 10/27 UNLV at San José State+2.557.5L 37 - 50ON
Sat 11/3 UNLV vs Fresno State+27.058.5L 3 - 48UN
Sat 11/10 UNLV at San Diego State+24.051.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/17 UNLV at Hawai'i+6.071.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/24 UNLV vs Nevada+14.060.5W 34 - 29OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM.1142%26.644%2.6915336%1784.02.2847%36.249%42%3.8148.72.21.8
UNLV.242%28.847%3.0622535%1673.74.2845%37.342%45%4.3845.71.41.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1226.627.841.6%4.022.2183311531783.761%38%44%36%18%.11
UNLV Defense1237.334.845.4%4.381.7 - - - - - 49%48%42%45%16%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1236.234.546.7%3.811.8 - - - - - 54%44%49%42%14%.28
UNLV Offense1228.830.742.2%3.741.421392225167558%41%47%35%17%.2

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1227:2917.537%33%4.848.72.21.85.52.2229.7
UNLV1230:0420.537%55%5.445.71.41.761.8028.7
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1261%44%42153.23.717.042.6974%12%0.82
UNLV Defense1249%42% - - - - .152.8473%11%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1254%49% - - - - .223.3175%9%1
UNLV Offense1258%47%45.2224.7523.233.0676%11%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1238%36%12.824178.17.4142117.21230%30%.366%2.3
UNLV Defense1248%45% - - - - - - 10.421.833%38%.515%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1244%42% - - - - - - 9.381.929%38%.485%2
UNLV Offense1241%35%14.828.9166.85.811.32412.161.833%29%.266%2.1

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2018 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5  #99
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #106
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7  #109

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico:    UNLV: -3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -9.5   UNLV: -11.1




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -3.05 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2018 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1  #106
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #50
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9  #116

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.5

New Mexico's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 36
New Mexico 31


Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 39
New Mexico 29

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 33
New Mexico 32

Total Points: 65
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

UNLV's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01UNLV35New Mexico40UNLV -3.5New Mexico61.5Over
202311/04New Mexico14UNLV56UNLV -10UNLV61.0Over
202209/30UNLV31New Mexico20UNLV -14New Mexico44.0Over
202111/06New Mexico17UNLV31New Mexico -1.5UNLV45.0Over
201810/06UNLV14New Mexico50UNLV -8New Mexico62.5Over
201711/17New Mexico35UNLV38New Mexico -3UNLV55.5Over
201411/01UNLV28New Mexico31UNLV -1New Mexico62.0Under
201309/28New Mexico42UNLV56New Mexico -1UNLV0
201211/03UNLV35New Mexico7
201111/12New Mexico21UNLV14
201009/25UNLV45New Mexico10
200910/24New Mexico17UNLV34
200811/08UNLV27New Mexico20
200711/24New Mexico27UNLV6
200610/14UNLV36New Mexico39
200509/05New Mexico24UNLV22
200410/16UNLV20New Mexico24
200311/01New Mexico35UNLV37
200210/12UNLV16New Mexico25
200111/10New Mexico27UNLV17
200011/10UNLV18New Mexico14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV1146 Overs
New Mexico1041 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 120 - 80 - 70 - 1
Road Teams12 - 98 - 01 - 07 - 0

(#) UNM at (#) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMUNLV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99 #106
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #93 #96
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCat
UNM OffUNLV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCatUNLV OffUNM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCatUNLV OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sam Boyd Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74° - Wind: 21 mph
Rematch from Week 6
UNLV -8.0 (62.5)
New Mexico won at UNLV this year (50-14)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2023 (56-14)
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2022 (31-20)

  
UNM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNLV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNLV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD