USC at Stanford - 2018 Matchup Preview
USC logo USC Trojans at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, September 8th 2018 (8:30 PM EDT)
Stanford -4.5 (54.5)
Stanford 17 - USC: 3  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (22 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 15.5 MPH
STAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ STAN -3)

Projected Score: USC: 25 - STAN: 28 (53)
STAN Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USC Travel: 321 miles
Cardinal (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 USC vs UNLV-24.058.5W 43 - 21ON
Sat 9/8 USC at Stanford+4.554.5L 3 - 17UN
Sat 9/15 USC at Texas+4.047.0L 14 - 37ON
Fri 9/21 USC vs Washington State-4.551.0W 39 - 36ON
Sat 9/29 USC at Arizona-3.561.0W 24 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 USC vs Colorado-7.057.0W 31 - 20UY
Sat 10/20 USC at Utah+6.548.0L 28 - 41ON
Sat 10/27 USC vs Arizona State-3.052.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/3 USC at Oregon State-15.064.5W 38 - 21UY
Sat 11/10 USC vs California-5.545.5L 14 - 15UN
Sat 11/17 USC at UCLA-2.555.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/24 USC vs Notre Dame+12.554.0L 17 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Stanford's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Stanford vs San Diego State-13.549.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/8 Stanford vs USC-4.554.5W 17 - 3UY
Sat 9/15 Stanford vs UC Davis-31.066.5W 30 - 10UN
Sat 9/22 Stanford at Oregon-2.559.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/29 Stanford at Notre Dame+4.552.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 10/6 Stanford vs Utah-3.545.0L 21 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/18 Stanford at Arizona State-2.057.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/27 Stanford vs Washington State-2.555.0L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/3 Stanford at Washington+9.543.5L 23 - 27OY
Sat 11/10 Stanford vs Oregon State-23.561.5W 48 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/24 Stanford at UCLA-7.061.0W 49 - 42ON
Sat 12/1 Stanford at California-3.046.5W 23 - 13UY
Mon 12/31 Stanford vs Pittsburgh-3.552.5W 14 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.1643%26.144%2.9413441%2483.13.1539%2738%39%3.3370.21.60.8
STAN.2144%28.436%2.5110849%2723.71.1744%22.942%44%2.7339.81.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1226.122.343.3%3.131.6193831342484.147%51%44%41%19%.16
STAN Defense1322.920.244.4%2.731.5 - - - - - 46%52%42%44%17%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense122728.339.3%3.330.8 - - - - - 49%50%38%39%18%.15
STAN Offense1328.430.844.2%3.711.2193801082723.743%55%36%49%21%.21

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1228:4519.338%50%7.870.21.60.85.91.8328.8
Stanford1329:5619.239%67%5.439.81.21.55.52.8030.5
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1247%44%32.8134.44.117.052.9465%11%0.88
STAN Defense1346%42% - - - - .123.0369%9%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1249%38% - - - - .092.7665%11%1.1
STAN Offense1343%36%29.5107.93.716-.022.5172%10%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1251%41%20.333.3248.27.512.21810.261.631%33%.278%1.6
STAN Defense1352%44% - - - - - - 11.251.532%34%.248%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1250%39% - - - - - - 4.221.636%30%.268%2
STAN Offense1355%49%20.832.5271.68.413.12911.421.633%33%.4210%2.1

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2018 Expected Record: -
USC's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7  #34
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #46
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Stanford: 9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 9.7   Stanford: 13.0




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: 9 NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Stanford's 2018 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0  #26
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #26
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #43

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


USC Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

USC's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Stanford 28
USC 25


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Stanford 28
USC 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Stanford 29
USC 23

Total Points: 52
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Stanford's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09USC56Stanford10USC -28.5USC70.5Under
202209/10Stanford28USC41USC -9.5USC66.5Over
202109/11USC28Stanford42USC -17Stanford53.0Over
201909/07USC45Stanford20USC -3USC43.0Over
201809/08Stanford17USC3Stanford -4.5Stanford54.5Under
201712/01USC31Stanford28USC -3.5Stanford58.5Over
201709/09USC42Stanford24USC -4USC54.5Over
201609/17Stanford27USC10Stanford -6.5Stanford48.5Under
201509/19USC31Stanford41USC -8Stanford51.0Over
201512/05Stanford41USC22Stanford -4Stanford59.0Over
201409/06Stanford10USC13Stanford -4USC0
201311/16USC20Stanford17Stanford -3USC0
201209/15Stanford21USC14
201110/29USC48Stanford56
201010/09Stanford37USC35
200911/14USC21Stanford55
200811/15Stanford23USC45
200710/06USC23Stanford24
200611/04Stanford0USC42
200511/05USC51Stanford21
200409/25Stanford28USC31
200310/11USC44Stanford21
200211/09Stanford17USC49
200109/29USC16Stanford21
200010/20Stanford32USC30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford1267 Overs
USC1363 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 56 - 41 - 1
Road Teams12 - 135 - 71 - 14 - 6

(#) USC at (#) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCSTAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #26
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #4 #17
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffSTAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Stanford on Offense
CategoryCatSTAN OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #26 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stanford Run Game
CategoryCat
STAN OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Stanford Pass Game
CategoryCatSTAN OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 82° - Wind: 16 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Stanford -4.5 (54.5)
Stanford won vs USC this year (17-3)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Stanford in 2023 (56-10)
USC beat Stanford in 2022 (41-28)

  
USC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

STAN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD