Colorado at USC - 2018 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo Colorado Buffaloes at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, October 13th 2018 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -7 (57.0)
USC 31 - Colorado: 20  (Pac-12)

 
Buffaloes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (24 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC coming off BYE
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ USC -10)
Projected Score: COLO: 30 - USC: 28 (58)
USC Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
COLO Travel: 828 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (30 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Colorado vs Colorado State-7.065.5W 45 - 13UY
Sat 9/8 Colorado at Nebraska+3.062.0W 33 - 28UY
Sat 9/15 Colorado vs New Hampshire-37.053.0W 45 - 14ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/28 Colorado vs UCLA-9.056.5W 38 - 16UY
Sat 10/6 Colorado vs Arizona State-2.564.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/13 Colorado at USC+7.057.0L 20 - 31UN
Sat 10/20 Colorado at Washington+18.050.5L 13 - 27UY
Sat 10/27 Colorado vs Oregon State-26.559.5L 34 - 41ON
Fri 11/2 Colorado at Arizona+3.057.0L 34 - 42ON
Sat 11/10 Colorado vs Washington State+5.559.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 11/17 Colorado vs Utah+7.047.0L 7 - 30UN
Sat 11/24 Colorado at California+10.544.5L 21 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
USC's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 USC vs UNLV-24.058.5W 43 - 21ON
Sat 9/8 USC at Stanford+4.554.5L 3 - 17UN
Sat 9/15 USC at Texas+4.047.0L 14 - 37ON
Fri 9/21 USC vs Washington State-4.551.0W 39 - 36ON
Sat 9/29 USC at Arizona-3.561.0W 24 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 USC vs Colorado-7.057.0W 31 - 20UY
Sat 10/20 USC at Utah+6.548.0L 28 - 41ON
Sat 10/27 USC vs Arizona State-3.052.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/3 USC at Oregon State-15.064.5W 38 - 21UY
Sat 11/10 USC vs California-5.545.5L 14 - 15UN
Sat 11/17 USC at UCLA-2.555.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/24 USC vs Notre Dame+12.554.0L 17 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO.1239%27.136%2.4914340%2503.67.1542%27.341%40%3.4254.81.61.3
USC.1643%26.144%2.9413441%2483.13.1539%2738%39%3.3370.21.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1227.124.239%3.671.6213931432503.846%53%36%40%19%.12
USC Defense122725.739.3%3.330.8 - - - - - 49%50%38%39%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1227.332.241.8%3.421.3 - - - - - 50%48%41%40%16%.15
USC Offense1226.129.843.3%3.131.6193831342484.147%51%44%41%19%.16

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1230:5220.636%39%5.854.81.61.36.72.4128
USC1228:4519.338%50%7.870.21.60.85.91.8328.8
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1246%36%37.8143.23.821.032.4969%14%1.17
USC Defense1249%38% - - - - .092.7665%11%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1250%41% - - - - .062.9473%11%0.88
USC Offense1247%44%32.8134.44.117.052.9465%11%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1253%40%22.534.9249.57.211.11912.21.734%31%.245%2.1
USC Defense1250%39% - - - - - - 4.221.636%30%.268%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1248%40% - - - - - - 8.251.734%32%.35%1.8
USC Offense1251%41%20.333.3248.27.512.21810.261.631%33%.278%1.6

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado's 2018 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #79
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0  #85
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado:    USC: 7.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -0.7   USC: 9.7




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 7.35 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2018 Expected Record: -
USC's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7  #34
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #46
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Colorado's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 30
USC 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado 33
USC 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
USC 29
Colorado 26

Total Points: 55
USC Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.7

USC's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Colorado41USC48USC -22Colorado74.5Over
202211/11USC55Colorado17USC -34USC66.0Over
202110/02Colorado14USC37USC -9USC50.5Over
201910/25Colorado31USC35USC -10.5Colorado65.0Over
201810/13USC31Colorado20USC -7USC57.0Under
201711/11Colorado24USC38USC -14NA63.0Under
201610/08USC21Colorado17USC -4Push62.5Under
201511/13Colorado24USC27USC -14.5Colorado58.5Under
201410/18USC56Colorado28USC -20.5USC0
201311/23Colorado29USC47USC -21.5Colorado0
201210/20USC50Colorado6
201111/04Colorado17USC42
200209/14Colorado3USC40
200009/08USC17Colorado14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1444 Overs
Colorado044 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 87 - 13 - 04 - 1
Road Teams8 - 61 - 71 - 40 - 3

(#) COLO at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCOLOUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #53 #4
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Colorado on Offense
CategoryCat
COLO OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado Run Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Colorado Pass Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffCOLO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffCOLO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 68°
Rematch from Week 7
USC -7.0 (57.0)
USC won vs Colorado this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Colorado in 2023 (48-41)
USC beat Colorado in 2022 (55-17)

  
COLO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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COLO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD