Arizona State at USC - 2018 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo (#24)Arizona State Sun Devils at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, October 27th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
USC -3 (52.5)
Arizona State 38 - USC: 35  (Pac-12)

 
Sun Devils (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (28 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -5  (SP+ USC -5)
Projected Score: ASU: 27 - USC: 29 (56)
USC Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ASU Travel: 367 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (30 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Arizona State vs UTSA-17.053.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 9/8 Arizona State vs Michigan State+4.554.0W 16 - 13UY
Sat 9/15 Arizona State at San Diego State-4.548.5L 21 - 28ON
Sat 9/22 Arizona State at Washington+17.553.0L 20 - 27UY
Sat 9/29 Arizona State vs Oregon State-21.564.0W 52 - 24OY
Sat 10/6 Arizona State at Colorado+2.564.0L 21 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/18 Arizona State vs Stanford+2.057.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/27 Arizona State at USC+3.052.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/3 Arizona State vs Utah+7.554.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 11/10 Arizona State vs UCLA-11.564.5W 31 - 28UN
Sat 11/17 Arizona State at Oregon+3.564.0L 29 - 31UY
Sat 11/24 Arizona State at Arizona-1.566.0W 41 - 40ON
Sat 12/15 Arizona State vs Fresno State+6.054.0L 20 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
USC's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 USC vs UNLV-24.058.5W 43 - 21ON
Sat 9/8 USC at Stanford+4.554.5L 3 - 17UN
Sat 9/15 USC at Texas+4.047.0L 14 - 37ON
Fri 9/21 USC vs Washington State-4.551.0W 39 - 36ON
Sat 9/29 USC at Arizona-3.561.0W 24 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 USC vs Colorado-7.057.0W 31 - 20UY
Sat 10/20 USC at Utah+6.548.0L 28 - 41ON
Sat 10/27 USC vs Arizona State-3.052.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/3 USC at Oregon State-15.064.5W 38 - 21UY
Sat 11/10 USC vs California-5.545.5L 14 - 15UN
Sat 11/17 USC at UCLA-2.555.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/24 USC vs Notre Dame+12.554.0L 17 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU.2245%29.946%2.9318442%2333.61.1847%25.546%45%3.4948.90.81.6
USC.1643%26.144%2.9413441%2483.13.1539%2738%39%3.3370.21.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1329.928.345.4%3.610.8214171842334.853%45%46%42%15%.22
USC Defense122725.739.3%3.330.8 - - - - - 49%50%38%39%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1325.531.546.5%3.491.6 - - - - - 53%45%46%45%16%.18
USC Offense1226.129.843.3%3.131.6193831342484.147%51%44%41%19%.16

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1329:2621.342%78%6.248.90.81.66.42.2228.4
USC1228:4519.338%50%7.870.21.60.85.91.8328.8
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1353%46%38.5184.14.826.172.9369%9%0.98
USC Defense1249%38% - - - - .092.7665%11%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1353%46% - - - - .092.9375%11%0.88
USC Offense1247%44%32.8134.44.117.052.9465%11%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1345%42%18.930.4232.57.712.3207.311.630%37%.296%1.6
USC Defense1250%39% - - - - - - 4.221.636%30%.268%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1345%45% - - - - - - 12.31.529%35%.36%1.6
USC Offense1251%41%20.333.3248.27.512.21810.261.631%33%.278%1.6

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0  #51
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #35
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #86

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State:    USC: 7.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 5.0   USC: 9.7




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 7.35 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2018 Expected Record: -
USC's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7  #34
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #46
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.3
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.5

Arizona State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
USC 29
Arizona State 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
USC 29
Arizona State 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Arizona State 28
USC 28

Total Points: 56
USC Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.7

USC's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Arizona State28USC42USC -34.5Arizona State62.0Over
202210/01USC42Arizona State25USC -24.5Arizona State61.0Over
202111/06Arizona State31USC16Arizona State -10Arizona State61.0Under
202011/07USC28Arizona State27USC -11.5Arizona State56.5Under
201911/09Arizona State26USC31USC -5NA54.0Over
201810/27USC35Arizona State38USC -3Arizona State52.5Over
201710/28Arizona State17USC48USC -4.5USC58.5Over
201610/01USC41Arizona State20USC -8USC63.5Under
201509/26Arizona State14USC42USC -6USC62.0Under
201410/04USC34Arizona State38USC -10.5Arizona State0
201309/28Arizona State62USC41Arizona State -5Arizona State0
201211/10USC38Arizona State17
201109/24Arizona State43USC22
201011/06USC34Arizona State33
200911/07Arizona State9USC14
200810/11USC28Arizona State0
200711/22Arizona State24USC44
200610/14USC28Arizona State21
200510/01Arizona State28USC38
200410/16USC45Arizona State7
200310/04Arizona State17USC37
200110/13USC48Arizona State17
200011/03Arizona State38USC44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1835 Overs
Arizona State574 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 114 - 63 - 41 - 2
Road Teams11 - 126 - 42 - 14 - 3

(#) ASU at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #29 #4
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffASU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #86
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffASU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffASU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 72° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 9
USC -3.0 (52.5)
Arizona State won at USC this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona State in 2023 (42-28)
USC beat Arizona State in 2022 (42-25)

  
ASU's OC ()
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ASU's DC ()
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USC's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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USC's DC ()
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