USC at Oregon State - 2018 Matchup Preview
USC logo (#23)USC Trojans at Oregon State BeaversOregon State logo
Saturday, November 3rd 2018 (10:00 PM EDT)
USC -15 (64.5)
USC 38 - Oregon State: 21  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (22 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ USC -25.5)
Projected Score: USC: 36 - ORST: 27 (63)
USC Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
USC Travel: 776 miles
Beavers (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 46 (24 - 43 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 USC vs UNLV-24.058.5W 43 - 21ON
Sat 9/8 USC at Stanford+4.554.5L 3 - 17UN
Sat 9/15 USC at Texas+4.047.0L 14 - 37ON
Fri 9/21 USC vs Washington State-4.551.0W 39 - 36ON
Sat 9/29 USC at Arizona-3.561.0W 24 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 USC vs Colorado-7.057.0W 31 - 20UY
Sat 10/20 USC at Utah+6.548.0L 28 - 41ON
Sat 10/27 USC vs Arizona State-3.052.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/3 USC at Oregon State-15.064.5W 38 - 21UY
Sat 11/10 USC vs California-5.545.5L 14 - 15UN
Sat 11/17 USC at UCLA-2.555.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/24 USC vs Notre Dame+12.554.0L 17 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Oregon State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Oregon State at Ohio State+40.062.0L 31 - 77ON
Sat 9/8 Oregon State vs Southern Utah-11.070.0W 48 - 25OY
Sat 9/15 Oregon State at Nevada+4.067.0L 35 - 37OY
Sat 9/22 Oregon State vs Arizona+4.072.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/29 Oregon State at Arizona State+21.564.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/6 Oregon State vs Washington State+17.064.5L 37 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Oregon State vs California+8.558.0L 7 - 49UN
Sat 10/27 Oregon State at Colorado+26.559.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 11/3 Oregon State vs USC+15.064.5L 21 - 38UN
Sat 11/10 Oregon State at Stanford+23.561.5L 17 - 48ON
Sat 11/17 Oregon State at Washington+32.557.5L 23 - 42OY
Fri 11/23 Oregon State vs Oregon+18.071.0L 15 - 55UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.1643%26.144%2.9413441%2483.13.1539%2738%39%3.3370.21.60.8
ORST.1742%26.141%2.6515642%2493.42.454%45.757%50%4.6250.21.50.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)47% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)50% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1226.122.343.3%3.131.6193831342484.147%51%44%41%19%.16
ORST Defense1245.74354.2%4.620.7 - - - - - 55%44%57%50%11%.4
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense122728.339.3%3.330.8 - - - - - 49%50%38%39%18%.15
ORST Offense1226.123.742.3%3.421.5224051562493.947%52%41%42%18%.17

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1228:4519.338%50%7.870.21.60.85.91.8328.8
Oregon State1230:1021.936%70%5.650.21.50.74.51.3027
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1247%44%32.8134.44.117.052.9465%11%0.88
ORST Defense1255%57% - - - - .383.6481%7%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1249%38% - - - - .092.7665%11%1.1
ORST Offense1247%41%40.4155.73.923.092.6579%12%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1251%41%20.333.3248.27.512.21810.261.631%33%.278%1.6
ORST Defense1244%50% - - - - - - 3.451.624%42%.614%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1250%39% - - - - - - 4.221.636%30%.268%2
ORST Offense1252%42%21.635.8249.2711.5179.261.636%31%.266%1.9

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2018 Expected Record: -
USC's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7  #34
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #46
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Oregon State: -5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 9.7   Oregon State: -16.0




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -5.5 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0  #111
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.4  #126

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


USC Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

USC's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
USC 36
Oregon State 27

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
USC 39
Oregon State 27

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
USC 34
Oregon State 27

Total Points: 61
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 45.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 43

Oregon State's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24Oregon State14USC17USC -5.5Oregon State70.5Under
202109/25USC27Oregon State45USC -11Oregon State62.5Over
201811/03Oregon State21USC38USC -15USC64.5Under
201710/07USC38Oregon State10USC -33Oregon State57.0Under
201409/27USC35Oregon State10USC -13USC0
201311/01Oregon State14USC31Oregon State -2USC0
201011/20Oregon State36USC7
200910/24USC42Oregon State36
200809/25Oregon State27USC21
200711/03USC24Oregon State3
200610/28Oregon State33USC31
200411/06Oregon State20USC28
200312/06USC52Oregon State28
200209/28USC22Oregon State0
200111/03USC16Oregon State13
200009/29Oregon State31USC21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State531 Overs
USC1133 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 52 - 41 - 31 - 1
Road Teams5 - 114 - 21 - 13 - 1

(#) USC at (#) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCORST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #111
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #4 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffORST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #126
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffORST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCatORST OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCatORST OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55°
Rematch from Week 10
USC 15.0 (64.5)
USC won at Oregon State this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Oregon State in 2022 (17-14)

  
USC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USC's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ORST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ORST's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD