USC at Arizona - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 29th 2018 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -3.5 (61.0)
USC 24 - Arizona: 20 (Pac-12)

Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (22 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARIZ is playing their 5th straight game
USC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ USC -6)
Projected Score: USC: 25 - ARIZ: 32 (57)
USC Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USC Travel: 442 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wildcats (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (36 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USC Players
ARIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

USC's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	USC vs UNLV	-24.0	58.5	W 43 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/8	USC at Stanford	+4.5	54.5	L 3 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/15	USC at Texas	+4.0	47.0	L 14 - 37	O	N
Fri 9/21	USC vs Washington State	-4.5	51.0	W 39 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/29	USC at Arizona	-3.5	61.0	W 24 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	USC vs Colorado	-7.0	57.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/20	USC at Utah	+6.5	48.0	L 28 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/27	USC vs Arizona State	-3.0	52.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/3	USC at Oregon State	-15.0	64.5	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/10	USC vs California	-5.5	45.5	L 14 - 15	U	N
Sat 11/17	USC at UCLA	-2.5	55.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/24	USC vs Notre Dame	+12.5	54.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Arizona's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arizona vs BYU	-10.0	60.5	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/8	Arizona at Houston	+3.0	71.0	L 18 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/15	Arizona vs Southern Utah	-26.5	70.5	W 62 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Arizona at Oregon State	-4.0	72.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Arizona vs USC	+3.5	61.0	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/6	Arizona vs California	+2.5	54.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Fri 10/12	Arizona at Utah	+13.5	53.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/20	Arizona at UCLA	+10.0	55.0	L 30 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Arizona vs Oregon	+7.5	64.5	W 44 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/2	Arizona vs Colorado	-3.0	57.0	W 42 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17	Arizona at Washington State	+10.5	63.5	L 28 - 69	O	N
Sat 11/24	Arizona vs Arizona State	+1.5	66.0	L 40 - 41	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USC	.16	43%	26.1	44%	2.94	134	41%	248	3.13	.15	39%	27	38%	39%	3.33	70.2	1.6	0.8
ARIZ	.23	43%	31.3	41%	3.16	202	42%	255	3.51	.2	42%	32.6	41%	41%	3.94	71	1.6	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USC	#41 (.24)	48% (11)		52% (10)	3.49 (9)	138	46% (26)	269	3.76 (85)	#78 (.18)	44% (94)		44% (78)	44% (103)	3.64 (49)	46	1.4	1.2
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)		37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)		45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USC Offense	12	26.1	22.3	43.3%	3.13	1.6	19	383	134	248	4.1	47%	51%	44%	41%	19%	.16
ARIZ Defense	12	32.6	27.1	41.7%	3.94	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	41%	15%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USC Defense	12	27	28.3	39.3%	3.33	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	38%	39%	18%	.15
ARIZ Offense	12	31.3	36.4	43.3%	3.51	1.6	22	458	202	255	4.9	54%	44%	41%	42%	11%	.23

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
USC	12	28:45	19.3	38%	50%	7.8	70.2	1.6	0.8	5.9	1.8	3	28.8
Arizona	12	26:00	22	45%	62%	7.5	71	1.6	1.3	5.9	1.9	2	28.3

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USC Offense	12	47%	44%	32.8	134.4	4.1	17	.05	2.94	65%	11%	0.88
ARIZ Defense	12	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.78	69%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USC Defense	12	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.76	65%	11%	1.1
ARIZ Offense	12	54%	41%	41.1	202.4	4.9	14	.13	3.16	66%	6%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USC Offense	12	51%	41%	20.3	33.3	248.2	7.5	12.2	18	10	.26	1.6	31%	33%	.27	8%	1.6
ARIZ Defense	12	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.31	1.6	34%	35%	.42	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USC Defense	12	50%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.22	1.6	36%	30%	.26	8%	2
ARIZ Offense	12	44%	42%	18	32.4	255.3	7.9	14.2	29	10	.37	1.8	31%	35%	.45	4%	1.9

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2018 Expected Record: -
USC's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7 #34
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #46
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: Arizona: 4.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 9.7 Arizona: 3.6

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 4.3 NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #57
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #43
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #73

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

USC Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

USC's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 32
USC 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona 33
USC 23

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Arizona 31
USC 27

Total Points: 58

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Arizona's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	USC	43	Arizona	41	USC -21	Arizona	69.5	Over
2022	10/29	Arizona	37	USC	45	USC -14	Arizona	74.0	Over
2021	10/30	USC	41	Arizona	34	USC -22	Arizona	55.5	Over
2020	11/14	Arizona	30	USC	34	USC -15	Arizona	67.0	Under
2019	10/19	USC	41	Arizona	14	USC -10	USC	68.0	Under
2018	09/29	Arizona	20	USC	24	USC -3.5	USC	61.0	Under
2017	11/04	USC	49	Arizona	35	USC -6.5	USC	76.0	Over
2016	10/15	Arizona	14	USC	48	USC -7	USC	65.0	Under
2015	11/07	USC	38	Arizona	30	USC -16.5	Arizona	69.5	Under
2014	10/11	Arizona	26	USC	28	USC -2.5	Arizona	0
2013	10/10	USC	38	Arizona	31	USC -5	USC	0
2012	10/27	Arizona	39	USC	36
2011	10/01	USC	48	Arizona	41
2010	11/13	Arizona	21	USC	24
2009	12/05	USC	17	Arizona	21
2008	10/25	Arizona	10	USC	17
2007	10/13	USC	20	Arizona	13
2006	09/23	Arizona	3	USC	20
2005	10/08	USC	42	Arizona	21
2004	11/13	USC	49	Arizona	9
2003	11/15	Arizona	0	USC	45
2001	10/27	Arizona	34	USC	41
2000	10/06	USC	15	Arizona	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona	3	6	4 Overs
USC	20	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 12	6 - 5	3 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 11	5 - 6	2 - 3	3 - 3

(#) USC at (#) ARIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USC	ARIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#57
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#4	#50
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

USC Injury Report

Arizona Injury Report

USC on Offense


CategoryCat	USC Off	ARIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#46	#73
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

USC Run Game


CategoryCat	USC Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

USC Pass Game


CategoryCat	USC Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	USC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#34
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	USC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	USC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 90° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 5
USC 3.5 (61.0)
USC won at Arizona this year (24-20)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona in 2023 (43-41)
USC beat Arizona in 2022 (45-37)

USC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARIZ's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD