NC State at Pittsburgh - 2017 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, October 14th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
NC State -11 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
NC State 35 - Pittsburgh: 17  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (23 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT is playing their 7th straight game
NCST is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ NCST -7)
Projected Score: NCST: 30 - PITT: 25 (55)
NCST Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 329 miles
Panthers (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 NC State vs South Carolina+7.550.0L 28 - 35OY
Sat 9/9 NC State vs Marshall-21.055.0W 37 - 20ON
Sat 9/16 NC State vs Furman-37.0
Sat 9/23 NC State at Florida State+11.550.0W 27 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 NC State vs Syracuse-14.062.0W 33 - 25UN
Thu 10/5 NC State vs Louisville+3.567.0W 39 - 25UY
Sat 10/14 NC State at Pittsburgh-11.055.0W 35 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 NC State at Notre Dame+7.061.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 NC State vs Clemson+9.551.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 NC State at Boston College-3.054.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 11/18 NC State at Wake Forest+3.062.0L 24 - 30UN
Sat 11/25 NC State vs North Carolina-14.557.0W 33 - 21UN
Fri 12/29 NC State vs Arizona State-5.062.5W 52 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State-13.064.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh at Penn State+20.063.5L 14 - 33UY
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh vs Oklahoma State+11.066.0L 21 - 59ON
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+7.555.0L 17 - 35UN
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh vs Rice-20.552.0W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Pittsburgh at Syracuse+3.063.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs NC State+11.055.0L 17 - 35UN
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Duke+9.049.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-1.049.0W 31 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/9 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-10.050.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/18 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech+14.049.5L 14 - 20UY
Fri 11/24 Pittsburgh vs Miami+12.054.0W 24 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.2245%32.243%2.7817746%2753.63.1341%25.241%40%3.5454.811.6
PITT.1545%23.945%2.7914843%2183.63.1542%26.645%38%3.4338.21.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1332.223.444.9%3.631234521772754.648%51%43%46%15%.22
PITT Defense1226.626.742.1%3.431.3 - - - - - 48%51%45%38%16%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1325.223.441.2%3.541.6 - - - - - 44%55%41%40%18%.13
PITT Offense1223.927.744.9%3.631.3203661482183.952%46%45%43%18%.15

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1332:4523.245%56%654.811.66.52.3433.7
Pittsburgh1232:2719.736%65%3.838.21.31.34.71.9227.7
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1348%43%38.2176.74.635.112.7876%10%1.05
PITT Defense1248%45% - - - - .093.2276%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1344%41% - - - - .072.5970%10%0.95
PITT Offense1252%45%38.3148.33.921.092.7963%11%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1351%46%24.237.2275.17.411.4176.341.532%38%.446%2
PITT Defense1251%38% - - - - - - 9.221.733%37%.437%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1355%40% - - - - - - 14.181.634%32%.227%1.8
PITT Offense1246%43%18.730.2217.77.211.7128.231.531%35%.347%1.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2017 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.9  #24
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #15
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Pittsburgh: 5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 12.9   Pittsburgh: 6.0




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 5.5 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2017 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0  #47
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #48
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #48

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


NC State Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.4

NC State's 2017 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 30
Pittsburgh 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 33
Pittsburgh 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
NC State 27
Pittsburgh 25

Total Points: 52
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

Pittsburgh's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Pittsburgh53NC State34Pittsburgh -5.5Pittsburgh52.5Over
202010/03Pittsburgh29NC State30Pittsburgh -14NC State45.5Over
201710/14Pittsburgh17NC State35NC State -11NC State55.0Under
200909/26NC State38Pittsburgh31
200112/20NC State19Pittsburgh34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh212 Overs
NC State321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 31 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) NCST at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #47
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #44 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70°
Rematch from Week 7
NC State 11.0 (55.0)
NC State won at Pittsburgh this year (35-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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PITT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PITT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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