North Carolina at Pittsburgh - 2017 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers(#24)Pittsburgh logo
Thursday, November 9th 2017 (7:30 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -10 (50.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
North Carolina 34 - Pittsburgh: 31  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 31 (24 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC coming off BYE
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ PITT -2)
Projected Score: UNC: 21 - PITT: 33 (54)
PITT Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
UNC Travel: 318 miles
Panthers (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs California-12.557.5L 30 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs Louisville+11.565.5L 35 - 47ON
Sat 9/16 North Carolina at Old Dominion-11.556.0W 53 - 23OY
Sat 9/23 North Carolina vs Duke-1.561.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+10.058.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Notre Dame+13.063.5L 10 - 33UN
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Virginia+3.054.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 10/21 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+20.052.5L 7 - 59ON
Sat 10/28 North Carolina vs Miami+21.056.0L 19 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/9 North Carolina at Pittsburgh+10.050.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 North Carolina vs Western Carolina-21.0
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State+14.557.0L 21 - 33UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State-13.064.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh at Penn State+20.063.5L 14 - 33UY
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh vs Oklahoma State+11.066.0L 21 - 59ON
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+7.555.0L 17 - 35UN
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh vs Rice-20.552.0W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Pittsburgh at Syracuse+3.063.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs NC State+11.055.0L 17 - 35UN
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Duke+9.049.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-1.049.0W 31 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/9 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-10.050.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/18 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech+14.049.5L 14 - 20UY
Fri 11/24 Pittsburgh vs Miami+12.054.0W 24 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.0941%2641%2.6314440%2253.39.2145%31.348%40%3.2872.71.81.3
PITT.1545%23.945%2.7914843%2183.63.1542%26.645%38%3.4338.21.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense122624.440.8%3.391.8203701442254.146%53%41%40%19%.09
PITT Defense1226.626.742.1%3.431.3 - - - - - 48%51%45%38%16%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1231.335.845%3.281.3 - - - - - 55%43%48%40%17%.21
PITT Offense1223.927.744.9%3.631.3203661482183.952%46%45%43%18%.15

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1226:3219.630%62%7.872.71.81.361.9232.1
Pittsburgh1232:2719.736%65%3.838.21.31.34.71.9227.7
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1246%41%35.6144.24.117.042.6374%11%0.93
PITT Defense1248%45% - - - - .093.2276%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1255%48% - - - - .173.0474%10%0.98
PITT Offense1252%45%38.3148.33.921.092.7963%11%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1253%40%18.433.9225.46.712.22016.151.633%33%.228%1.8
PITT Defense1251%38% - - - - - - 9.221.733%37%.437%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1243%40% - - - - - - 7.291.732%36%.47%1.9
PITT Offense1246%43%18.730.2217.77.211.7128.231.531%35%.347%1.8

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2017 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3  #55
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #56
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Pittsburgh: 5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 4.3   Pittsburgh: 6.0




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 5.5 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2017 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0  #47
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #48
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #48

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

North Carolina's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 33
North Carolina 21

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 35
North Carolina 17

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 30
North Carolina 26

Total Points: 56
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

Pittsburgh's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05North Carolina24Pittsburgh34Pittsburgh -2.5Pittsburgh63.0Under
202309/23Pittsburgh24North Carolina41North Carolina -7North Carolina49.5Over
202210/29North Carolina42Pittsburgh24North Carolina -2.5North Carolina65.5Over
202111/11Pittsburgh30North Carolina23Pittsburgh -6.5Pittsburgh72.0Under
201911/14Pittsburgh34North Carolina27Pittsburgh -4Pittsburgh49.0Over
201809/22North Carolina38Pittsburgh35Pittsburgh -3North Carolina48.0Over
201711/09Pittsburgh31North Carolina34Pittsburgh -10North Carolina50.5Over
201609/24North Carolina37Pittsburgh36North Carolina -7Pittsburgh67.0Over
201510/29Pittsburgh19North Carolina26North Carolina -2.5North Carolina59.0Under
201411/15North Carolina40Pittsburgh35North Carolina -1.5North Carolina0
201311/16Pittsburgh27North Carolina34North Carolina -1North Carolina53.0Over
200912/26North Carolina17Pittsburgh19
200011/03Pittsburgh17North Carolina20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh447 Overs
North Carolina973 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 75 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams7 - 66 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#) UNC at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #47
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #27 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Pittsburgh -10.0 (50.5)
North Carolina won at Pittsburgh this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat North Carolina last year (34-24)
North Carolina beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (41-24)
North Carolina beat Pittsburgh in 2022 (42-24)

  
UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PITT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD