Rutgers at Michigan State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (12:00 PM EST)
Michigan State -15.5 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Michigan State 49 - Rutgers: 0 (Big Ten)

Scarlet Knights (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (12 - 44 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ MSU -22)
Projected Score: RUTG: 26 - MSU: 33 (59)
MSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
RUTG Travel: 539 miles

Spartans (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RUTG Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Rutgers at Washington	+22.5	56.5	L 13 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/10	Rutgers vs Howard	-42.0
Sat 9/17	Rutgers vs New Mexico	-3.5	56.0	W 37 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Rutgers vs Iowa	+13.5	56.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Rutgers at Ohio State	+37.0	59.5	L 0 - 58	U	N
Sat 10/8	Rutgers vs Michigan	+26.5	52.5	L 0 - 78	O	N
Sat 10/15	Rutgers vs Illinois	+6.0	52.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/22	Rutgers at Minnesota	+21.0	45.0	L 32 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Rutgers vs Indiana	+13.0	58.5	L 27 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Rutgers at Michigan State	+15.5	53.5	L 0 - 49	U	N
Sat 11/19	Rutgers vs Penn State	+22.5	55.0	L 0 - 39	U	N
Sat 11/26	Rutgers at Maryland	+2.0	53.5	L 13 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Michigan State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Michigan State vs Furman	-45.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Michigan State at Notre Dame	+7.0	49.0	W 36 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Michigan State vs Wisconsin	-6.0	42.5	L 6 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/1	Michigan State at Indiana	-8.0	52.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/8	Michigan State vs BYU	-5.0	48.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/15	Michigan State vs Northwestern	-6.5	41.0	L 40 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/22	Michigan State at Maryland	-2.5	49.0	L 17 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/29	Michigan State vs Michigan	+21.0	49.5	L 23 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Michigan State at Illinois	-7.0	47.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-15.5	53.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+23.5	50.0	L 16 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Michigan State at Penn State	+13.5	53.5	L 12 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	-.01	37%	15.7	41%	2.76	145	32%	138	1.93	.16	44%	37.5	46%	40%	3.45	43	1.6	0.9
MSU	.16	42%	24.1	42%	2.78	173	39%	222	3.07	.15	43%	27.8	41%	44%	3.76	60.3	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	12	15.7	11.6	37.2%	1.93	1.6	16	283	145	138	3.6	53%	46%	41%	32%	18%	-.01
MSU Defense	12	27.8	25.3	43.1%	3.76	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	41%	44%	13%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	12	37.5	44	44.3%	3.45	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	46%	40%	15%	.16
MSU Offense	12	24.1	25.1	42.1%	3.07	1.5	21	395	173	222	4.4	53%	45%	42%	39%	16%	.16

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	12	27:10	15.5	31%	44%	5.3	43	1.6	0.9	5.4	1.8	3	28.4
Michigan State	12	31:40	20.5	39%	48%	6.4	60.3	1.5	1.1	4.7	0.9	2	28

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	12	53%	41%	40.8	144.9	3.6	8	.01	2.76	62%	14%	0.84
MSU Defense	12	55%	41%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.5	72%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.04	75%	9%	0.99
MSU Offense	12	53%	42%	39.3	172.7	4.4	14	.03	2.78	76%	10%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	12	46%	32%	13.3	27.7	138.3	5	10.4	11	7	-.02	1.5	33%	27%	.07	5%	1.5
MSU Defense	12	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.26	1.6	32%	37%	.32	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	12	40%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.19	1.6	31%	34%	.34	6%	1.8
MSU Offense	12	45%	39%	17.6	30.8	222.3	7.2	12.6	19	11	.31	1.7	36%	32%	.26	6%	1.7

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: NR
Rutgers's Offense Rating: NR
Rutgers's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Rutgers's 2016 Expected Record: -
Rutgers's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #122
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #79

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: Michigan State: 6.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -14.9 Michigan State: 7.4

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 6.2 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #50
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #55
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 15.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.6
Defense: 37.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 44

Rutgers's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan State 33
Rutgers 26

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 34
Rutgers 32

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Michigan State 33
Rutgers 20

Total Points: 53

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.1
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Michigan State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Michigan State	14	Rutgers	41	Michigan State -1.5	Rutgers	46.5	Over
2023	10/14	Rutgers	27	Michigan State	24	Rutgers -4	Michigan State	38.5	Over
2022	11/12	Michigan State	27	Rutgers	21	Michigan State -10.0	Rutgers	41.0	Over
2021	10/09	Rutgers	13	Michigan State	31	Michigan State -4.5	Michigan State	50.0	Under
2020	10/24	Michigan State	27	Rutgers	38	Michigan State -9.5	Rutgers	45.0	Over
2019	11/23	Rutgers	0	Michigan State	27	Michigan State -22.5	Michigan State	43.5	Under
2018	11/24	Michigan State	14	Rutgers	10	Michigan State -24.5	Rutgers	37.0	Under
2017	11/25	Rutgers	7	Michigan State	40	Michigan State -14	Michigan State	42.5	Over
2016	11/12	Michigan State	49	Rutgers	0	Michigan State -15.5	Michigan State	53.5	Under
2015	10/10	Rutgers	24	Michigan State	31	Michigan State -17	Rutgers	56.0	Under
2014	11/22	Michigan State	45	Rutgers	3	Michigan State -22	Michigan State	0
2004	09/04	Rutgers	19	Michigan State	14
2003	09/06	Michigan State	44	Rutgers	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	9	6	5 Overs
Rutgers	4	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	3 - 8	2 - 5	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 7	8 - 3	3 - 1	5 - 2

(#) RUTG at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RUTG	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#50
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#49	#22
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Rutgers Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#39
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	RUTG Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#55	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 45° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Michigan State -15.5 (53.5)
Michigan State won vs Rutgers this year (49-0)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Michigan State last year (41-14)
Rutgers beat Michigan State in 2023 (27-24)
Michigan State beat Rutgers in 2022 (27-21)

RUTG's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD